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VISA NA/Cox Fleet JV Regatta

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 11 11
2 Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 27 27
3 Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 28 28
4 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 34 34
5 Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders 49 49
6 York High School York High School Varsity 50 50
7 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 55 55
8 Granby High School Granby High School Comets 57 57
9 Oaks Oaks Oaks 78 MRP 78 MRP
10 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 79 79
11 Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Trojans 80 80
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 1 3 1 2 1 1 1 11 Rebecca Schill '23 [1-2, 5-8]
Connor Bott '22 [3-4]
Marin Soderberg '24 [1-2]
Hunter Wheary '24 [3-4]
Sam Nashold '24 [5-6]
Carrie Collenberg '24 [7-8]
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 2 2 2 3 4 2 4 8 27 Tyler Brown '23
Peyton Crum '23
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 4 3 5 4 3 4 2 3 28 Lane Kilduff '25 [1-2, 5-8]
Emily Britt '23 [3-4]
Sophia Bibbo '20 [1-2, 7-8]
Gabby Cloe '24 [3-6]
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 7 8 1 2 1 6 7 2 34 Daniel Hager '24 [1-2, 6-7]
Parker Moore '25 [3-5, 8]
Olivia Slade '22 [1-2, 6-7]
Liam Ambrosino '23 [3-5, 8]
Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders 8 7 4 7 5 3 10 5 49 Nolan Swetland '21
Camden Edwards '22
York High School York High School Varsity 5 5 6 8 7 7 6 6 50 Hunter Bryson '22
Reilly Warren '21
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 6 4 7 6 6 9 8 9 55 Jack Bickel '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Wally Yu '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Peyton Smith '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Cindy Wang '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Granby High School Granby High School Comets 10 9 9 9 8 5 3 4 57 Huaqiu "Cho-Cho" Williams '22 [1-2, 5-8]
Ben Powell '22 [3-4]
Katherine Cason '20 [1-2, 7-8]
Jack Carson '22 [3-6]
Oaks Oaks Oaks 3 6 8 5 10 11 5 10 78 MRP
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 11 11 11 11 9 8 11 7 79 Matthew Stout '23
Olivia Gilmore '23
Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Trojans 9 10 10 10 11 10 9 11 80 Jamie Papazis '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Mike Laccheo '23 [3-4, 7-8]
Sidney Woloszynowski '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Jack Pflika '22 [3-4]
Joshua Morris '23 [7-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2018 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Catholic High SchoolCatholic High School Crusaders88888888
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses99999999
Granby High SchoolGranby High School Comets1010101010101010
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators1111111111111111
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors1212121212121212
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores1313131313131313
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs1414141414141414
OaksOaks Oaks1515151515151515
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders1616161616161616
Walsingham AcademyWalsingham Academy Trojans1717171717171717
York High SchoolYork High School Varsity1818181818181818
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders Nolan Swetland '21 Camden Edwards '22
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses Jack Bickel '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Wally Yu '21 [3-4, 7-8]		 Peyton Smith '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Cindy Wang '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Granby High School Granby High School Comets Huaqiu "Cho-Cho" Williams '22 [1-2, 5-8]
Ben Powell '22 [3-4]		 Katherine Cason '20 [1-2, 7-8]
Jack Carson '22 [3-6]
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators Daniel Hager '24 [1-2, 6-7]
Parker Moore '25 [3-5, 8]		 Olivia Slade '22 [1-2, 6-7]
Liam Ambrosino '23 [3-5, 8]
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors Tyler Brown '23 Peyton Crum '23
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores Lane Kilduff '25 [1-2, 5-8]
Emily Britt '23 [3-4]		 Sophia Bibbo '20 [1-2, 7-8]
Gabby Cloe '24 [3-6]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs Rebecca Schill '23 [1-2, 5-8]
Connor Bott '22 [3-4]		 Marin Soderberg '24 [1-2]
Hunter Wheary '24 [3-4]
Sam Nashold '24 [5-6]
Carrie Collenberg '24 [7-8]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders Matthew Stout '23 Olivia Gilmore '23
Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Trojans Jamie Papazis '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Mike Laccheo '23 [3-4, 7-8]		 Sidney Woloszynowski '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Jack Pflika '22 [3-4]
Joshua Morris '23 [7-8]
York High School York High School Varsity Hunter Bryson '22 Reilly Warren '21

Conditions — 09/22/2018 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 76%  ·  Pressure 1018.6 hPa

Temperature

79°F
↑ 82°F   ↓ 71°F
Feels like 84°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.0 kn
avg  ·  max 9.0 kn
Gusts to 17.7 kn
From NNW (344°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover55% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity76% Pressure1018.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Norfolk Yacht Club: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.19 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.13
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.45 ± 0.19)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Norfolk Yacht Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Norfolk Yacht Club, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →