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2019-20 PCISA SoCal 1 Gold

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Dos Pueblos Dos Pueblos Chargers 2 15 15
2 Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 3 15 15
3 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 5 32 32
4 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 2 33 33
5 Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 2 38 38
6 Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 1 43 43
7 Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Dons 1 43 43
8 Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 2 50 50
9 Unregistered-PCISA Unregistered-PCISA UNREGISTERED 54 54
10 Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Dons 2 66 66
11 Parker Parker Parker 66 66
12 Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 1 71 71
13 Dos Pueblos Dos Pueblos Chargers 1 74 74
14 Palos Verdes High School Palos Verdes High School Sea Kings 75 75
15 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 1 82 82
16 Sage Hill School Sage Hill School Lightning 92 92
17 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 3 92 92
18 Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Dons 3 97 97
19 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 4 102 102
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Dos Pueblos Dos Pueblos Chargers 2 1 2 2 1 8 1 15 Oliver Stokke '22
Claire Wicker '21
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 3 2 1 1 4 2 5 15 Cole Tillson '22
Maggie Fleming '23
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 5 10 10 3 5 1 3 32 Michael Gaffney '21
No Show
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 2 3 11 4 3 10 2 33 Ethan Simpson '23
Lauren Simpson '21
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 2 9 3 8 2 12 4 38 Alice Schmid '23
Samantha Gardner '23
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 1 5 12 5 11 4 6 43 Calvin Schmid '22
Dylan Gardner '21
Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Dons 1 6 7 7 10 5 8 43 Oakley Cunningham '23
Carolina Ternero '22
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 2 7 6 13 12 3 9 50 No Show
Tara Afshar '22
Unregistered-PCISA Unregistered-PCISA UNREGISTERED 11 4 11 8 7 13 54 No Show
No Show
Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Dons 2 12 16 10 7 9 12 66 Jacob Titcomb '21 [1-6]
Claire Backer '21 [1-4]
Avery Fretwell '23 [5-6]
Parker Parker Parker 16 15 6 9 13 7 66 Garrett Henderson '23
Katherine Crosby '20
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 1 15 19 14 6 6 11 71 Marlo Bozza '21
Ashley Highland '23
Dos Pueblos Dos Pueblos Chargers 1 4 17 12 15 11 15 74 Grace Forgea '20
Jack Forgea '23
Palos Verdes High School Palos Verdes High School Sea Kings 14 8 9 17 17 10 75 George Soliman '20
Aidan O'Donnell '22
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 1 13 5 15 19 14 16 82 Shay Wood '23
Elsa Wiley '23
Sage Hill School Sage Hill School Lightning 8 13 17 16 19 19 92 Brooks Orradre '23
Carter Bryant '23
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 3 19 9 18 13 16 17 92 William Jacobsen '23
Victoria Lucia '23
Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Dons 3 18 14 19 14 18 14 97 Grant Goodrich '23 [1-6]
Michael Murphy '22 [1-4]
Casey Krupinsky '21 [5-6]
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 4 17 18 16 18 15 18 102 Jake Johansson '23
Dillion Garcia '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2016 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Cathedral Catholic High SchoolCathedral Catholic High School Dons 1111111
Cathedral Catholic High SchoolCathedral Catholic High School Dons 2252525252525
Cathedral Catholic High SchoolCathedral Catholic High School Dons 3333333
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School Sea Kings 1212121212121
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School Sea Kings 2262626262626
Dos PueblosDos Pueblos Chargers 1444444
Dos PueblosDos Pueblos Chargers 2555555
ParkerParker Parker777777
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 1343434343434
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 2222222
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 3232323232323
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 4141414141414
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 5151515151515
Palos Verdes High SchoolPalos Verdes High School Sea Kings666666
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers 1121212121212
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers 2131313131313
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers 3101010101010
Sage Hill SchoolSage Hill School Lightning161616161616
Unregistered-PCISAUnregistered-PCISA UNREGISTERED242424242424

Conditions — 09/14/2019 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 70%  ·  Pressure 1025.9 hPa

Temperature

69°F
↑ 70°F   ↓ 64°F
Feels like 65°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
13.1 kn
avg  ·  max 15.3 kn
Gusts to 27.8 kn
From S (180°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover41% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity70% Pressure1025.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 15 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Newport Harbor Yacht Club: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.00
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.18 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Newport Harbor Yacht Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Newport Harbor Yacht Club, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →