2019 Allstate Sugar Bowl Great Oaks Regatta GOLD

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Novi Novi Varsity 16 16
2 Lake Travis High School Lake Travis High School Cavaliers 25 25
3 Bay High School Bay High School Varsity 30 30
4 Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Battlin' Baron 41 41
5 Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Panthers 44 44
6 Isidore Newman School Isidore Newman School Greenies 47 47
7 Lutheran South Academy Lutheran South Academy Varsity 52 52
8 St. Stanislaus St. Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 57 57
9 Indian Hill Indian Hill Braves 61 61
10 Mount Carmel Academy Mount Carmel Academy CUBS 65 65
11 Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 66 66
12 John Paul II (SC) John Paul II (SC) Varsity 71 71
13 Marthas Vineyard RHS Marthas Vineyard RHS Vineyarders 81 81
14 St. Patrick Catholic High School St. Patrick Catholic High School Fighting Irish 82 82
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Novi Novi Varsity 3 1 1 3 4 1 3 16 Michael Kirkman '21
Conner Kirkman '23
Lake Travis High School Lake Travis High School Cavaliers 8 2 3 2 2 2 6 25 James Brock '24 [1-7]
Zachary Ronhaar '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Vivian Heitkoetter '23 [3-4, 7]
Bay High School Bay High School Varsity 4 6 2 4 1 4 9 30 Jack Vanderhorst '22
Ellen Petrigan '22
Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Battlin' Baron 12 7 4 6 6 5 1 41 Nick Budington '21 [1-2, 7]
Matt Budington '21 [3-6]
Liam Gronda '21 [1-2, 7]
Ryan Tatelbaum '21 [3-6]
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Panthers 7 5 9 8 10 3 2 44 Bella Casaretto '22
Ryan Kronrad '22
Isidore Newman School Isidore Newman School Greenies 5 OCS 7 5 3 8 4 47 Emily Alfortish '21 [1-2, 5-7]
Thomas Kerrigan '22 [3-4]
Ellie Menszer '22 [1-2, 5-7]
Lutheran South Academy Lutheran South Academy Varsity 2 4 5 1 12 14 14 52 Stephen Momeier '23 [1-7]
Noah Roberts '23 [1-2, 7]
Reina Li '23 [3-6]
St. Stanislaus St. Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 11 10 6 7 5 6 12 57 Claire Housey '21
Addy Altese '21
Indian Hill Indian Hill Braves 9 8 11 10 7 9 7 61 Sara Schumann '21
Annie Schumann '21
Mount Carmel Academy Mount Carmel Academy CUBS 1 OCS 8 9 14 13 5 65 Kate Gibbons '23 [1-4, 7]
Molly Lagarde '24 [5-6]
Emory Friend '22 [1-2, 7]
Molly Lagarde '24 [3-4]
Vivian Cerruti '24 [5-6]
Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 10 3 10 12 11 10 10 66 Eva Ermlich '22 [1-4, 7]
Gavin Sanborn '21 [5-6]
Jondall Norris '20 [1-4, 7]
John Paul II (SC) John Paul II (SC) Varsity 6 11 12 11 9 11 11 71 Thomas Mazzeo '22 [1-7]
Neil Bunce '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Andrew Todesco '22 [3-4, 7]
Marthas Vineyard RHS Marthas Vineyard RHS Vineyarders 13 9 13 13 13 7 13 81 Joe Serpa '20 [1-2]
Miles Wolff '22 [3-4]
Zach Ward '21 [5-7]
Trent Bilodeau '21 [1-4]
Joe Serpa '20 [5-6]
Miles Wolff '22 [7]
St. Patrick Catholic High School St. Patrick Catholic High School Fighting Irish 14 12 14 14 8 12 8 82 James Edwards '21
Mary Ellen Edwards '22
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Bay High SchoolBay High School Varsity16161717181819
Bethesda - Chevy Chase HSBethesda - Chevy Chase HS Battlin' Baron17171818191920
Indian HillIndian Hill Braves18181919202021
Isidore Newman SchoolIsidore Newman School Greenies19192020212122
John Paul II (SC)John Paul II (SC) Varsity20202121222223
Lake Travis High SchoolLake Travis High School Cavaliers21212222232324
Lutheran South AcademyLutheran South Academy Varsity22222323242411
Marthas Vineyard RHSMarthas Vineyard RHS Vineyarders23232424111112
Mount Carmel AcademyMount Carmel Academy CUBS24241111121213
NoviNovi Varsity11111212131314
Pine Crest SchoolPine Crest School Panthers12121313141415
Portland High SchoolPortland High School Bulldogs13131414151516
St. Patrick Catholic High SchoolSt. Patrick Catholic High School Fighting Irish14141515161617
St. StanislausSt. Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws15151616171718
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Bay High School Bay High School Varsity Jack Vanderhorst '22 Ellen Petrigan '22
Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Battlin' Baron Nick Budington '21 [1-2, 7]
Matt Budington '21 [3-6]
Liam Gronda '21 [1-2, 7]
Ryan Tatelbaum '21 [3-6]
Indian Hill Indian Hill Braves Sara Schumann '21 Annie Schumann '21
Isidore Newman School Isidore Newman School Greenies Emily Alfortish '21 [1-2, 5-7]
Thomas Kerrigan '22 [3-4]
Ellie Menszer '22 [1-2, 5-7]
John Paul II (SC) John Paul II (SC) Varsity Thomas Mazzeo '22 [1-7] Neil Bunce '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Andrew Todesco '22 [3-4, 7]
Lake Travis High School Lake Travis High School Cavaliers James Brock '24 [1-7] Zachary Ronhaar '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Vivian Heitkoetter '23 [3-4, 7]
Lutheran South Academy Lutheran South Academy Varsity Stephen Momeier '23 [1-7] Noah Roberts '23 [1-2, 7]
Reina Li '23 [3-6]
Marthas Vineyard RHS Marthas Vineyard RHS Vineyarders Joe Serpa '20 [1-2]
Miles Wolff '22 [3-4]
Zach Ward '21 [5-7]
Trent Bilodeau '21 [1-4]
Joe Serpa '20 [5-6]
Miles Wolff '22 [7]
Mount Carmel Academy Mount Carmel Academy CUBS Kate Gibbons '23 [1-4, 7]
Molly Lagarde '24 [5-6]
Emory Friend '22 [1-2, 7]
Molly Lagarde '24 [3-4]
Vivian Cerruti '24 [5-6]
Novi Novi Varsity Michael Kirkman '21 Conner Kirkman '23
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Panthers Bella Casaretto '22 Ryan Kronrad '22
Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs Eva Ermlich '22 [1-4, 7]
Gavin Sanborn '21 [5-6]
Jondall Norris '20 [1-4, 7]
St. Patrick Catholic High School St. Patrick Catholic High School Fighting Irish James Edwards '21 Mary Ellen Edwards '22
St. Stanislaus St. Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws Claire Housey '21 Addy Altese '21

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →