2019 Gulf Coast High School Championship

# SchoolTeam A B C TOT
1 Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 18 28 10 56
2 Gulfport High School Gulfport High School Admirals 20 16 33 69
3 Fairhope High School Fairhope High School Pirates 25 24 40 89
4 St. Michael Catholic High School St. Michael Catholic High School Cardinals 50 40 20 110
5 UMS-Wright UMS-Wright Bulldogs - Varsity 37 42 47 126
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 1 1 2 1 2 1 4 3 2 1 18 Claire Housey '21 [1-10]
Addy Altese '21 [1-7]
Ashley Hilton '24 [8-9]
Alexandra Bujan '24 [10]
Gulfport High School Gulfport High School Admirals 2 2 3 2 3 2 1 2 1 2 20 Mitchell Martin '21
Brayden Groves '27
Fairhope High School Fairhope High School Pirates 3 3 1 4 1 3 2 1 4 3 25 Cruz Dabney '26 [1-4]
Coleman Kennedy '25 [5-10]
Gavin Valentine '22 [1, 5-8]
Coleman Kennedy '25 [2]
Catherine Zubler '23 [3-4]
Adler Rux '22 [9-10]
UMS-Wright UMS-Wright Bulldogs - Varsity 4 4 4 3 4 4 3 4 3 4 37 Reed Carpenter '23 [1-10]
Chad Brown '24 [1-6]
Julia Ramsay '22 [7-10]
St. Michael Catholic High School St. Michael Catholic High School Cardinals 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 50 Ava Cocke '23
Yuriy Greenlay '20
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Gulfport High School Gulfport High School Admirals 1 1 3 2 2 1 2 2 1 1 16 James Edwards '21
Mary Ellen Edwards '23
Fairhope High School Fairhope High School Pirates 2 2 1 3 1 3 3 1 5 3 24 Elijah Healy '22 [1-2, 5-10]
Kip Buck '22 [3-4]
Adler Rux '22 [1-2]
Coleman Kennedy '25 [3-4]
Axel Jackson '26 [5-6, 9-10]
Catherine Zubler '23 [7-8]
Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 3 4 2 1 4 2 1 3 4 4 28 Joel Grumme '21 [1-2]
Joshua Grumme '20 [3-5, 7-8]
William Diaz '20 [6, 9]
Graham Kalom '20 [10]
Graham Kalom '20 [1-2, 6]
Joel Grumme '21 [3-5, 7-8]
Robert Cabell '24 [9]
Lane Burroughs '24 [10]
St. Michael Catholic High School St. Michael Catholic High School Cardinals 4 3 4 4 3 4 5 5 3 5 40 Robert Montgomery '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Luke Edmiston '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Gavin Faircloth '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
UMS-Wright UMS-Wright Bulldogs - Varsity 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 2 2 42 Abby Chaffe '23 [1-6]
Noah Gautier '28 [7-10]
Grace Wildberger '23 [1-3]
John Martin Walter '23 [4-10]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 10 Michael Burns '21
St. Michael Catholic High School St. Michael Catholic High School Cardinals 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 20 Nate Hartwell '24
Gulfport High School Gulfport High School Admirals 3 3 3 3 5 3 3 3 3 4 33 Crockett Collier '21
Fairhope High School Fairhope High School Pirates 4 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 40 Parker Fench '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Logan Moran '23 [3-4, 7-10]
UMS-Wright UMS-Wright Bulldogs - Varsity 5 4 5 5 3 5 5 5 5 5 47 Isabelle Gautier '22
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Fairhope High SchoolFairhope High School Pirates1122334455
Gulfport High SchoolGulfport High School Admirals2233445511
St. Michael Catholic High SchoolSt. Michael Catholic High School Cardinals3344551122
Saint StanislausSaint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws4455112233
UMS-WrightUMS-Wright Bulldogs - Varsity5511223344

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Fairhope High SchoolFairhope High School Pirates778899101066
Gulfport High SchoolGulfport High School Admirals889910106677
St. Michael Catholic High SchoolSt. Michael Catholic High School Cardinals991010667788
Saint StanislausSaint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws101066778899
UMS-WrightUMS-Wright Bulldogs - Varsity667788991010

Division C

Team1C2C3C4C5C6C7C8C9C10C
Fairhope High SchoolFairhope High School Pirates208569208569208569208569208569208569208569208569208569208569
Gulfport High SchoolGulfport High School Admirals198010198010198010198010198010198010198010198010198010198010
St. Michael Catholic High SchoolSt. Michael Catholic High School Cardinals204109204109204109204109204109204109204109204109204109204109
Saint StanislausSaint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws213069213069213069213069213069213069213069213069213069213069
UMS-WrightUMS-Wright Bulldogs - Varsity165996165996165996165996165996165996165996165996165996165996
School / Team SkipperCrew
Fairhope High School Fairhope High School Cruz Dabney '26 [1-4]
Coleman Kennedy '25 [5-10]
Gavin Valentine '22 [1, 5-8]
Coleman Kennedy '25 [2]
Catherine Zubler '23 [3-4]
Adler Rux '22 [9-10]
Pirates Elijah Healy '22 [1-2, 5-10]
Kip Buck '22 [3-4]
Adler Rux '22 [1-2]
Coleman Kennedy '25 [3-4]
Axel Jackson '26 [5-6, 9-10]
Catherine Zubler '23 [7-8]
Parker Fench '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Logan Moran '23 [3-4, 7-10]
Gulfport High School Gulfport High School Mitchell Martin '21 Brayden Groves '27
Admirals James Edwards '21 Mary Ellen Edwards '23
Crockett Collier '21
Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Claire Housey '21 [1-10] Addy Altese '21 [1-7]
Ashley Hilton '24 [8-9]
Alexandra Bujan '24 [10]
Rock-A-Chaws Joel Grumme '21 [1-2]
Joshua Grumme '20 [3-5, 7-8]
William Diaz '20 [6, 9]
Graham Kalom '20 [10]
Graham Kalom '20 [1-2, 6]
Joel Grumme '21 [3-5, 7-8]
Robert Cabell '24 [9]
Lane Burroughs '24 [10]
Michael Burns '21
St. Michael Catholic High School St. Michael Catholic High School Ava Cocke '23 Yuriy Greenlay '20
Cardinals Robert Montgomery '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Luke Edmiston '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Gavin Faircloth '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Nate Hartwell '24
UMS-Wright UMS-Wright Reed Carpenter '23 [1-10] Chad Brown '24 [1-6]
Julia Ramsay '22 [7-10]
Bulldogs - Varsity Abby Chaffe '23 [1-6]
Noah Gautier '28 [7-10]
Grace Wildberger '23 [1-3]
John Martin Walter '23 [4-10]
Isabelle Gautier '22

Conditions — 11/09/2019 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 57%  ·  Pressure 1022.8 hPa

Temperature

56°F
↑ 64°F   ↓ 42°F
Feels like 52°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.1 kn
avg  ·  max 8.0 kn
Gusts to 16.1 kn
From NNE (14°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine10.6 hrs Humidity57% Pressure1022.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 8 kn · E 7 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Gulfport Yacht Club: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.18)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.29
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.58 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.18 means a rating gap counts about 16% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Gulfport Yacht Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 2 labelled days at Gulfport Yacht Club, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →