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Boats n' Bingo Regatta

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 1 6 6
2 University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 2 11 11
3 University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 3 18 18
4 Lyons Township High School Lyons Township High School Lions 1 19 19
5 Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 32 32
6 Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Wolves 1 37 37
7 Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Wolves 2 41 41
8 Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 42 42
9 Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles 1 42 42
10 Lyons Township High School Lyons Township High School Lions 2 42 42
11 Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles 2 47 47
12 Fenwick High School Fenwick High School Friars 53 53
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 1 2 1 1 1 1 6 Elizabeth Frost '23
Khairy Barnes '23
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 2 1 2 2 3 3 11 Elias Sveen Erling '22
Bryan Pan '23
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 3 4 3 3 6 2 18 Lydia Frost '25
Benjamin Luu '23
Lyons Township High School Lyons Township High School Lions 1 3 6 4 2 4 19 Nick Lorenzen '23
Leo Lavato '20
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 6 4 6 9 7 32 Tim Mooney '21 [1-5]
Luca Zerega '23 [1-3]
Quinti Nguyen '23 [4-5]
Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Wolves 1 5 5 8 7 12 37 Noah Blake '23
Leo Zematis '23
Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Wolves 2 10 8 7 11 5 41 Lily Brandt '23
Chloe Fadem '23
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 7 7 9 8 11 42 Natalia Bretones '23
Claude Strnad '23
Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles 1 8 9 10 5 10 42 Elizabeth Finley '22
Abigail Karstrand '22
Lyons Township High School Lyons Township High School Lions 2 9 11 12 4 6 42 Justin Squire '20
Gavin Dempsey '22
Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles 2 11 10 5 12 9 47 Joseph Dunning '23
Andrew Schubert '22
Fenwick High School Fenwick High School Friars 12 12 11 10 8 53 Sam Kulisek '23
William Carl '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Beacon AcademyBeacon Academy Wolves 11919191919
Beacon AcademyBeacon Academy Wolves 21818181818
University of Chicago Laboratory SchoolsUniversity of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 11616161616
University of Chicago Laboratory SchoolsUniversity of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 211111
University of Chicago Laboratory SchoolsUniversity of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 377777
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits1717171717
Fenwick High SchoolFenwick High School Friars2020202020
Jones College PrepJones College Prep Eagles 144444
Jones College PrepJones College Prep Eagles 21212121212
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers1010101010
Lyons Township High SchoolLyons Township High School Lions 122222
Lyons Township High SchoolLyons Township High School Lions 21111111111

Conditions — 10/20/2019 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Partly cloudy
Humidity 89%  ·  Pressure 1013.5 hPa

Temperature

54°F
↑ 55°F   ↓ 51°F
Feels like 51°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.8 kn
avg  ·  max 7.0 kn
Gusts to 12.4 kn
From NE (46°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover61% Sunshine10.7 hrs Humidity89% Pressure1013.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Lyons Township/U Chicago Laboratory/Whitney Young: a typical day (+0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.20 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.21
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.38 ± 0.27)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Lyons Township/U Chicago Laboratory/Whitney Young by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Lyons Township/U Chicago Laboratory/Whitney Young: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →