Great Oaks Qualifier- MISSA Green

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Indian Hill Indian Hill Braves 17 17
2 Novi Novi Varsity 19 19
3 Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Blue 24 24
4 Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Varsity 38 38
5 Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles 40 40
6 Troy High School Troy High School Colts 42 42
7 Southwest High School Southwest High School Lakers 45 45
8 Fenwick High School Fenwick High School Friars 45 45
9 Thomas Worthington High School Thomas Worthington High School Varsity 48 48
10 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Varsity 50 50
11 Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Varsity 51 51
12 Whitney Young Whitney Young Dolphins 61 61
13 St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 66 66
14 Groves High School Groves High School Falcons 86 86
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Indian Hill Indian Hill Braves 3 3 1 1 6 3 17 Sara Schumann '21
Annie Schumann '21
Novi Novi Varsity 2 5 5 2 4 1 19 Michael Kirkman '21
Conner Kirkman '23
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Blue 6 2 2 6 1 7 24 Henry Gonzalez '21
Paige Gorman '21
Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Varsity 7 13 7 7 2 2 38 Michaela O'Donnell '20
Megan Fegen '22
Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles 4 10 12 4 5 5 40 Emmett Nevel '21
Molly Sheridan '21
Troy High School Troy High School Colts 1 6 4 8 11 12 42 Emily Pytell '21
Will Hilborn '22
Southwest High School Southwest High School Lakers 5 8 9 11 3 9 45 James Jagielski '21
Helene Schroeder '22
Fenwick High School Fenwick High School Friars 9 7 3 3 10 13 45 John Hultquist '20 [1-6]
Aidan Soule '25 [1-4]
William Carl '23 [5-6]
Thomas Worthington High School Thomas Worthington High School Varsity 13 1 11 5 8 10 48 Grace Squires '20 [1-6]
Emma Hutchings '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Cassidy Hopcraft '22 [3-4]
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Varsity 11 4 8 9 12 6 50 Liam Hounsell '23
Kaya Donat '20
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Varsity 8 11 6 13 9 4 51 Lexi Chigas '22 [1-6]
Angelina Simon '20 [1-4]
Micheal Barker '20 [5-6]
Whitney Young Whitney Young Dolphins 12 9 13 12 7 8 61 Margo Cicero '22
Phillip Nakamura '23
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 10 12 10 10 13 11 66 Finn Tait '21
Tj Isberg '21
Groves High School Groves High School Falcons 14 14 14 14 DNS DNS 86 Caden Meyers '22
Jace Bishop '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.160+0.16
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Cranbrook KingswoodCranbrook Kingswood Blue112233
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School Varsity22111414
Fenwick High SchoolFenwick High School Friars334455
Groves High SchoolGroves High School Falcons443322
Indian HillIndian Hill Braves556677
Jones College PrepJones College Prep Eagles665544
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Varsity778899
NoviNovi Varsity887766
Saint Joseph Academy (OH)Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Varsity9910101111
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Lakers10109988
St. Paul Academy (MN)St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans111112121313
Thomas Worthington High SchoolThomas Worthington High School Varsity121211111010
Troy High SchoolTroy High School Colts1313141411
Whitney YoungWhitney Young Dolphins141413131212
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Blue Henry Gonzalez '21 Paige Gorman '21
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Varsity Liam Hounsell '23 Kaya Donat '20
Fenwick High School Fenwick High School Friars John Hultquist '20 [1-6] Aidan Soule '25 [1-4]
William Carl '23 [5-6]
Groves High School Groves High School Falcons Caden Meyers '22 Jace Bishop '23
Indian Hill Indian Hill Braves Sara Schumann '21 Annie Schumann '21
Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles Emmett Nevel '21 Molly Sheridan '21
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Varsity Lexi Chigas '22 [1-6] Angelina Simon '20 [1-4]
Micheal Barker '20 [5-6]
Novi Novi Varsity Michael Kirkman '21 Conner Kirkman '23
Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Varsity Michaela O'Donnell '20 Megan Fegen '22
Southwest High School Southwest High School Lakers James Jagielski '21 Helene Schroeder '22
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans Finn Tait '21 Tj Isberg '21
Thomas Worthington High School Thomas Worthington High School Varsity Grace Squires '20 [1-6] Emma Hutchings '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Cassidy Hopcraft '22 [3-4]
Troy High School Troy High School Colts Emily Pytell '21 Will Hilborn '22
Whitney Young Whitney Young Dolphins Margo Cicero '22 Phillip Nakamura '23

Conditions — 09/28/2019 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 87%  ·  Pressure 1016.9 hPa

Temperature

68°F
↑ 70°F   ↓ 65°F
Feels like 69°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.3 kn
avg  ·  max 10.6 kn
Gusts to 18.3 kn
From NW (308°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover95% Sunshine3.1 hrs Humidity87% Pressure1016.9 hPa Rain0.11 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Detroit Country Day/Groves/West Bloomfield: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.00
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.19 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Detroit Country Day/Groves/West Bloomfield by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Detroit Country Day/Groves/West Bloomfield: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →