MDISA JV at BCSC

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Severn School Severn School Admirals 6 5 11
2 St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 10 11 21
3 Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 26 23 49
4 Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 25 45 70
5 Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 38 38 76
6 Gunston Gunston Herons 48 35 83
7 Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Battlin' Baron 46 41 87
8 Severna Park Severna Park Falcons 34 56 90
9 Gilman School Gilman School Greyhounds 52 39 91
10 Towson High School Towson High School Generals 62 29 91
11 North East River High School North East River High School Road Warriors 45 51 96
12 Indian Creek School Indian Creek School Eagles 47 52 99
13 Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 64 37 101
14 Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 32 77 109
15 Key School Key School Zags 64 68 132
16 Seahawks Seahawks Seahawks 85 85 170
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Severn School Severn School Admirals BKD 2 1 1 1 6 Kyle Reinecke '23
Chase O'Malley '22
St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 2 1 3 2 2 10 Cole Wiegand '21 [1-5]
Kelly Koerschner '22 [1-2, 5]
Charlotte Kelleher '22 [3-4]
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 4 3 9 3 6 25 Aliya Berger '20
Catherine Valentino '22
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 3 12 2 4 5 26 Michael Hinrichs '22
Tilghman Davis '23
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 13 4 6 5 4 32 Tyler Hughes '22 [1-5]
Lili Taber '22 [1-2, 5]
Madeline Fisher '23 [3-4]
Severna Park Severna Park Falcons 1 8 5 7 13 34 Zach Hammel '21 [1-5]
Lucas Alpert '23 [1-2]
Piper Shrout '22 [3-5]
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 5 10 7 6 10 38 Peter Morris '23
Sophie Dorey '21
North East River High School North East River High School Road Warriors 7 6 8 OCS 7 45 Robert Shand '20
Carter Robins '25
Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Battlin' Baron 8 11 4 12 11 46 Alex Rudick '23 [1-5]
Simon Ringler '23 [1-2, 5]
Caitlin Costello '24 [3-4]
Indian Creek School Indian Creek School Eagles 14 5 11 9 8 47 Malcolm 'Cal' Morris-Berlin '22
Olivia Boucher '21
Gunston Gunston Herons 11 7 10 8 12 48 Helen Boone '21 [1-5]
Julia Buchanan '23 [1, 3-5]
Hannah Worth '21 [2]
Gilman School Gilman School Greyhounds 9 OCS 13 10 3 52 Patrick Tis '23
Jaxon Yeagy '25
Towson High School Towson High School Generals 12 9 15 11 15 62 Kaden Bartley '21 [1-2, 5]
Jared Cohen '21 [3-4]
Jared Cohen '21 [1-2, 5]
Kaden Bartley '21 [3-4]
Key School Key School Zags 10 13 14 13 14 64 Stella Kim '23
Sam Rodilosso '22
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 15 14 12 14 9 64 Douglass Abbott '23
Joe Gardner '23
Seahawks Seahawks Seahawks DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 85
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Severn School Severn School Admirals 1 1 1 1 1 5 Jack O'Donnell '21
Chris Sixbey '22
St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 3 2 BKD BKD 2 11 William Donald '23 [1-2, 5]
Andrew Tollefson '22 [3-4]
Lucy Duckett '22 [1-5]
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 9 3 5 3 3 23 Seamus Seerey '20
Brennan Danahy '22
Towson High School Towson High School Generals 6 4 2 9 8 29 Malia Deane '25
Angus Baron '24
Gunston Gunston Herons 4 8 7 7 9 35 Phebe Wood '21 [1-3, 5]
Charles Shifrin '21 [4]
Laim Thomas '23 [1, 3, 5]
Ian Kissel '23 [2, 4]
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 2 DNF 9 5 4 37 David Abbott '23
Kyle Engel '23
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 7 5 8 11 7 38 Julia Sullivan '22
Gracie Muir '23
Gilman School Gilman School Greyhounds 8 6 6 8 11 39 Rueban Danyali '24
Ewan Sokoloski '24
Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Battlin' Baron 5 DSQ 3 10 6 41 Nat Bonham '24
Saskia Mahar-Piersma '23
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 11 10 13 6 5 45 Mary Macdonald '20 [1-5]
Lydia Clark '20 [1-2, 5]
Scott Carlsen '20 [3-4]
North East River High School North East River High School Road Warriors 13 12 10 2 14 51 Jake Crandall '23
Jamie Cottage '23
Indian Creek School Indian Creek School Eagles 10 7 11 12 12 52 Anthony Thonnard '22 [1-5]
Riley Souder '22 [1-2, 5]
Eli Fortier '22 [3-4]
Severna Park Severna Park Falcons 12 9 12 13 10 56 Johnny Riganati '23
Ben Howard '22
Key School Key School Zags 14 11 14 14 15 68 Andrew Baker '24
William Montague '24
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins DNF DNF 15 15 13 77 Abby Fisher '22
Anabel Chambers '24
Seahawks Seahawks Seahawks DNS DNF DNS DNS DNS 85
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers11335
Bethesda - Chevy Chase HSBethesda - Chevy Chase HS Battlin' Baron22446
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins33557
Gilman SchoolGilman School Greyhounds44668
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets55779
Indian Creek SchoolIndian Creek School Eagles779911
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers88101012
Key SchoolKey School Zags99111113
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders1010121214
North East River High SchoolNorth East River High School Road Warriors1111131315
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals1212141416
Severna ParkSeverna Park Falcons131315151
SeahawksSeahawks Seahawks141416162
St. Mary's High School (MD)St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints1515113
GunstonGunston Herons668810
Towson High SchoolTowson High School Generals1616224

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers22446
Bethesda - Chevy Chase HSBethesda - Chevy Chase HS Battlin' Baron33557
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins44668
Gilman SchoolGilman School Greyhounds55779
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets668810
Indian Creek SchoolIndian Creek School Eagles88101012
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers99111113
Key SchoolKey School Zags1010121214
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders1111131315
North East River High SchoolNorth East River High School Road Warriors1212141416
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals131315151
Severna ParkSeverna Park Falcons141416162
SeahawksSeahawks Seahawks1515113
St. Mary's High School (MD)St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints1616224
GunstonGunston Herons779911
Towson High SchoolTowson High School Generals11335
School / Team SkipperCrew
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Michael Hinrichs '22 Tilghman Davis '23
Cavaliers Seamus Seerey '20 Brennan Danahy '22
Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Alex Rudick '23 [1-5] Simon Ringler '23 [1-2, 5]
Caitlin Costello '24 [3-4]
Battlin' Baron Nat Bonham '24 Saskia Mahar-Piersma '23
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Tyler Hughes '22 [1-5] Lili Taber '22 [1-2, 5]
Madeline Fisher '23 [3-4]
Bruins Abby Fisher '22 Anabel Chambers '24
Gilman School Gilman School Patrick Tis '23 Jaxon Yeagy '25
Greyhounds Rueban Danyali '24 Ewan Sokoloski '24
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Peter Morris '23 Sophie Dorey '21
Hornets Julia Sullivan '22 Gracie Muir '23
Gunston Gunston Helen Boone '21 [1-5] Julia Buchanan '23 [1, 3-5]
Hannah Worth '21 [2]
Herons Phebe Wood '21 [1-3, 5]
Charles Shifrin '21 [4]
Laim Thomas '23 [1, 3, 5]
Ian Kissel '23 [2, 4]
Indian Creek School Indian Creek School Malcolm 'Cal' Morris-Berlin '22 Olivia Boucher '21
Eagles Anthony Thonnard '22 [1-5] Riley Souder '22 [1-2, 5]
Eli Fortier '22 [3-4]
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Aliya Berger '20 Catherine Valentino '22
Buccaneers Mary Macdonald '20 [1-5] Lydia Clark '20 [1-2, 5]
Scott Carlsen '20 [3-4]
Key School Key School Stella Kim '23 Sam Rodilosso '22
Zags Andrew Baker '24 William Montague '24
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Douglass Abbott '23 Joe Gardner '23
Raiders David Abbott '23 Kyle Engel '23
North East River High School North East River High School Robert Shand '20 Carter Robins '25
Road Warriors Jake Crandall '23 Jamie Cottage '23
Severn School Severn School Kyle Reinecke '23 Chase O'Malley '22
Admirals Jack O'Donnell '21 Chris Sixbey '22
Severna Park Severna Park Zach Hammel '21 [1-5] Lucas Alpert '23 [1-2]
Piper Shrout '22 [3-5]
Falcons Johnny Riganati '23 Ben Howard '22
St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Cole Wiegand '21 [1-5] Kelly Koerschner '22 [1-2, 5]
Charlotte Kelleher '22 [3-4]
Saints William Donald '23 [1-2, 5]
Andrew Tollefson '22 [3-4]
Lucy Duckett '22 [1-5]
Towson High School Towson High School Kaden Bartley '21 [1-2, 5]
Jared Cohen '21 [3-4]
Jared Cohen '21 [1-2, 5]
Kaden Bartley '21 [3-4]
Generals Malia Deane '25 Angus Baron '24

Conditions — 09/29/2019 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 59%  ·  Pressure 1023.0 hPa

Temperature

80°F
↑ 84°F   ↓ 71°F
Feels like 82°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.0 kn
avg  ·  max 6.7 kn
Gusts to 15.9 kn
From N (10°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover31% Sunshine10.9 hrs Humidity59% Pressure1023.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Gilman/Towson: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.08
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.39 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Gilman/Towson by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Gilman/Towson, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →