MDISA JV North East

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Severn School Severn School Admirals 15 5 20
2 Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 16 25 41
3 North East River High School North East River High School Road Warriors 30 12 42
4 Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 17 32 49
5 South River High School South River High School Seahawks 33 24 57
6 Southern High School Southern High School Bulldogs 40 26 66
7 Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 25 45 70
8 St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Knights 42 32 74
9 Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 41 48 89
10 Gilman School Gilman School Greyhounds 49 MRP 65 MRP 114 MRP
11 Towson High School Towson High School Generals 66 MRP 58 MRP 124 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Severn School Severn School Admirals 1 3 1 5 5 15 Kyle Reinecke '23
Chase O'Malley '22
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 2 4 2 7 1 16 Michael Hinrichs '22
Tilghman Davis '23
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 4 6 3 2 2 17 Jackson Park '22
Noah Wigglesworth '22
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 3 1 5 DSQ 4 25 Andrew White '21 [1-5]
Madeline Fisher '23 [1-2, 5]
Clive Saunders '24 [3-4]
North East River High School North East River High School Road Warriors 6 5 4 DSQ 3 30 Skylor Sweet '22
Isabella Webb '21
South River High School South River High School Seahawks 8 2 OCS 4 7 33 Sean Guthrie '23
Amanda Win '23
Southern High School Southern High School Bulldogs 5 9 7 9 10 40 Ben Burkhart '23 [1-2, 5]
Sophie Griggs '24 [3-4]
Eric Nielsen '24 [1-2, 5]
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 9 8 10 6 8 41 Sterling Maggard '23
Alejandro Silva '21
St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Knights 11 11 8 1 11 42 Caeden Wirth '22 [1-2]
Henry Meiser '23 [3-4]
Campbell Earhart '22 [5]
Matthew Hayden '23 [1-2]
William Western '23 [3-4]
Christian Wirth '21 [5]
Gilman School Gilman School Greyhounds 7 7 6 3 6 49 MRP Mark Room '15
Unknown Unknown '20
Towson High School Towson High School Generals 10 10 9 8 9 66 MRP Accidental Gybe '15
Capsize One '15
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Severn School Severn School Admirals 1 1 1 1 1 5 Jack O'Donnell '21 [1-5]
Hayden Lamb '20 [1-2]
Anna Howell '22 [3-5]
North East River High School North East River High School Road Warriors 3 2 2 2 3 12 Lilliana Webb '23 [1-5]
Jake Crandall '23 [1-2]
Jamie Cottage '23 [3-5]
South River High School South River High School Seahawks 7 7 4 4 2 24 Jack Woods '23
Braden White '24
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 8 5 5 3 4 25 Seamus Seerey '20
Preston Fitzgerald '22
Southern High School Southern High School Bulldogs 2 4 6 9 5 26 Sophie Griggs '24 [1-2]
Lara Nielsen '24 [3-5]
Cj Helenkamp '24 [1-2]
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 4 3 9 7 9 32 Aliya Berger '20 [1-2]
Alexander Read '22 [3-5]
Catherine Valentino '22 [1-2]
Scott Carlsen '20 [3-5]
St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Knights 6 8 7 5 6 32 Abigail Hupp '22 [1-2]
Alex Howard '22 [3-5]
Rosalia Marks '22 [1-2]
Nace Hayden '21 [3-5]
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 5 6 10 DNF DNS 45 Sam Tucker '22 [1-2]
Olivia West '24 [3-5]
Paul Daly '23 [1-2]
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 9 10 11 8 10 48 David Abbott '23
Timothy Berman '23
Towson High School Towson High School Generals 11 11 3 6 7 58 MRP Forgot Bailer '15
Capsize Two '15
Gilman School Gilman School Greyhounds 10 9 8 10 8 65 MRP Unknown Unknown '21
Unknown Unknown '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers11335
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins22446
Gilman SchoolGilman School Greyhounds33557
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers44668
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders55779
North East River High SchoolNorth East River High School Road Warriors668810
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals779911
South River High SchoolSouth River High School Seahawks8810101
Southern High SchoolSouthern High School Bulldogs9911112
St. Mary's RykenSt. Mary's Ryken Knights1010113
Towson High SchoolTowson High School Generals1111224

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers22446
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins33557
Gilman SchoolGilman School Greyhounds44668
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers55779
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders668810
North East River High SchoolNorth East River High School Road Warriors779911
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals8810101
South River High SchoolSouth River High School Seahawks9911112
Southern High SchoolSouthern High School Bulldogs1010113
St. Mary's RykenSt. Mary's Ryken Knights1111224
Towson High SchoolTowson High School Generals11335
School / Team SkipperCrew
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Michael Hinrichs '22 Tilghman Davis '23
Cavaliers Seamus Seerey '20 Preston Fitzgerald '22
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Andrew White '21 [1-5] Madeline Fisher '23 [1-2, 5]
Clive Saunders '24 [3-4]
Bruins Sam Tucker '22 [1-2]
Olivia West '24 [3-5]
Paul Daly '23 [1-2]
Gilman School Gilman School Mark Room '15 Unknown Unknown '20
Greyhounds Unknown Unknown '21 Unknown Unknown '23
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Jackson Park '22 Noah Wigglesworth '22
Buccaneers Aliya Berger '20 [1-2]
Alexander Read '22 [3-5]
Catherine Valentino '22 [1-2]
Scott Carlsen '20 [3-5]
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Sterling Maggard '23 Alejandro Silva '21
Raiders David Abbott '23 Timothy Berman '23
North East River High School North East River High School Skylor Sweet '22 Isabella Webb '21
Road Warriors Lilliana Webb '23 [1-5] Jake Crandall '23 [1-2]
Jamie Cottage '23 [3-5]
Severn School Severn School Kyle Reinecke '23 Chase O'Malley '22
Admirals Jack O'Donnell '21 [1-5] Hayden Lamb '20 [1-2]
Anna Howell '22 [3-5]
South River High School South River High School Sean Guthrie '23 Amanda Win '23
Seahawks Jack Woods '23 Braden White '24
Southern High School Southern High School Ben Burkhart '23 [1-2, 5]
Sophie Griggs '24 [3-4]
Eric Nielsen '24 [1-2, 5]
Bulldogs Sophie Griggs '24 [1-2]
Lara Nielsen '24 [3-5]
Cj Helenkamp '24 [1-2]
St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Caeden Wirth '22 [1-2]
Henry Meiser '23 [3-4]
Campbell Earhart '22 [5]
Matthew Hayden '23 [1-2]
William Western '23 [3-4]
Christian Wirth '21 [5]
Knights Abigail Hupp '22 [1-2]
Alex Howard '22 [3-5]
Rosalia Marks '22 [1-2]
Nace Hayden '21 [3-5]
Towson High School Towson High School Accidental Gybe '15 Capsize One '15
Generals Forgot Bailer '15 Capsize Two '15

Conditions — 10/20/2019 (8am–6pm)

🌧️Slight rain
Humidity 100%  ·  Pressure 1014.6 hPa

Temperature

53°F
↑ 55°F   ↓ 50°F
Feels like 51°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.5 kn
avg  ·  max 9.8 kn
Gusts to 20.8 kn
From NE (50°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.1 hrs Humidity100% Pressure1014.6 hPa Rain0.72 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at North East: an underdogs’ day (−0.07)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.15 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 7% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at North East by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at North East, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →