MDISA Kent Island JV 1

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 North East River High School North East River High School Road Warriors 15 11 26
2 Severna Park Severna Park Falcons 19 28 47
3 Gunston Gunston Herons 17 32 49
4 Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 35 22 57
5 Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 28 35 63
6 Gilman School Gilman School Greyhounds 40 26 66
7 Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 32 38 70
8 Towson High School Towson High School Generals 39 50 89
9 Key School Key School Zags 53 38 91
10 Indian Creek School Indian Creek School Eagles 52 50 102
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
North East River High School North East River High School Road Warriors 7 1 1 3 2 1 15 Skylor Sweet '22
Isabella Webb '21
Gunston Gunston Herons 2 3 3 1 4 4 17 Helen Boone '21
Hannah Worth '21
Severna Park Severna Park Falcons 1 2 6 2 5 3 19 Ben Chitterling '21
Thomas Gray '20
Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 4 4 8 7 3 2 28 Liam Edgell '25 [1-6]
Sarah Rosa '20 [1-2]
Kai Parker '22 [3-6]
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 5 6 2 4 10 5 32 Andrew White '21
No Show
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 3 5 5 6 6 10 35 Aliya Berger '20 [1-2]
Ellie Yorio '20 [3-4]
Erik Seiler '20 [5-6]
Catherine Valentino '22 [1-2]
Scott Carlsen '20 [3-4]
Evan Wackowski '22 [5-6]
Towson High School Towson High School Generals 8 8 4 5 7 7 39 No Show
No Show
Gilman School Gilman School Greyhounds 6 BKD 10 10 1 6 40 No Show
No Show
Indian Creek School Indian Creek School Eagles 9 7 9 9 9 9 52 Malcolm 'Cal' Morris-Berlin '22
Riley Souder '22
Key School Key School Zags DNF DNF 7 8 8 8 53 Stella Kim '23
William Montague '24
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
North East River High School North East River High School Road Warriors 3 1 2 1 3 1 11 Lilliana Webb '23 [1-2]
Lauren O'Neill '20 [3-6]
Jake Crandall '23 [1-4]
Lilliana Webb '23 [5-6]
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 2 4 7 5 1 3 22 Jackson Park '22 [1-2]
Peyton Bergeron '22 [3-4]
Corbin Voorhes '21 [5-6]
Noah Wigglesworth '22 [1-2]
Alexander Read '22 [3-4]
Mary Macdonald '20 [5-6]
Gilman School Gilman School Greyhounds 5 5 4 8 2 2 26 No Show
No Show
Severna Park Severna Park Falcons 4 2 6 4 8 4 28 Zach Hammel '21
Johnny Riganati '23
Gunston Gunston Herons 6 6 1 2 7 10 32 Charles Shifrin '21
Ian Kissel '23
Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 7 9 5 3 6 5 35 Vincent Dyer '24 [1-6]
Sarah Rosa '20 [1-2]
Armand Otmishi '24 [3-6]
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 1 3 8 7 10 9 38 Tyler Hughes '22 [1-2]
No Show [3-6]
No Show [1-2]
Key School Key School Zags 8 7 3 9 5 6 38 Marco Welch '24
Zipei Zheng '22
Indian Creek School Indian Creek School Eagles 9 8 10 6 9 8 50 No Show
No Show
Towson High School Towson High School Generals 10 10 9 10 4 7 50 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (25 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins113355
Gilman SchoolGilman School Greyhounds224466
Indian Creek SchoolIndian Creek School Eagles335577
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers446688
Key SchoolKey School Zags557799
North East River High SchoolNorth East River High School Road Warriors66881010
Sts. Peter & PaulSts. Peter & Paul Sabres88101022
Severna ParkSeverna Park Falcons779911
GunstonGunston Herons10102244
Towson High SchoolTowson High School Generals991133

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins224466
Gilman SchoolGilman School Greyhounds335577
Indian Creek SchoolIndian Creek School Eagles446688
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers557799
Key SchoolKey School Zags66881010
North East River High SchoolNorth East River High School Road Warriors779911
Sts. Peter & PaulSts. Peter & Paul Sabres991133
Severna ParkSeverna Park Falcons88101022
GunstonGunston Herons113355
Towson High SchoolTowson High School Generals10102244

Conditions — 09/15/2019 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 59%  ·  Pressure 1020.5 hPa

Temperature

78°F
↑ 82°F   ↓ 74°F
Feels like 80°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.4 kn
avg  ·  max 10.9 kn
Gusts to 19.4 kn
From NNE (22°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover36% Sunshine10.6 hrs Humidity59% Pressure1020.5 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Kent Island: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.17
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.45 ± 0.21)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Kent Island by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at Kent Island, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →