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New Orleans Fall Series 3

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Mount Carmel Academy Mount Carmel Academy CUBS 5 5
2 Jesuit High School, NOLA Jesuit High School, NOLA Blue Jays 3 6 6
3 Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 2 7 7
4 Ben Franklin High School Ben Franklin High School Falcons 13 13
5 Jesuit High School, NOLA Jesuit High School, NOLA Blue Jays 2 14 14
6 Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 3 19 19
7 Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 1 21 21
8 Jesuit High School, NOLA Jesuit High School, NOLA Blue Jays 1 23 23
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Mount Carmel Academy Mount Carmel Academy CUBS 3 1 1 5 Emory Friend '22
Molly Lagarde '24
Jesuit High School, NOLA Jesuit High School, NOLA Blue Jays 3 2 2 2 6 Caleb Keister '22
Harry Fantaci '24
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 2 1 3 3 7 Cassidy O'Brien '21
Sophie Chevis '21
Ben Franklin High School Ben Franklin High School Falcons 4 5 4 13 Harriss Thorne '23 [1-3]
Elise Poche '23 [1]
Sahana Jaligam '22 [2-3]
Jesuit High School, NOLA Jesuit High School, NOLA Blue Jays 2 5 4 5 14 Myles Douglas '21
Degan Dansereau '24
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 3 6 7 6 19 Kennedy Cooper '20 [1-3]
Emily Williams '23 [1]
Isabella Webster '22 [2-3]
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 1 8 6 7 21 Isabella White '22 [1-3]
Sibria Adams '23 [1-2]
Caitlyn Hall '22 [3]
Jesuit High School, NOLA Jesuit High School, NOLA Blue Jays 1 7 8 8 23 Ashton Edwards '21
Matthew Ellis '22
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.170+0.17
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Ben Franklin High SchoolBen Franklin High School Falcons222
Jesuit High School, NOLAJesuit High School, NOLA Blue Jays 1323232
Jesuit High School, NOLAJesuit High School, NOLA Blue Jays 2333333
Jesuit High School, NOLAJesuit High School, NOLA Blue Jays 3363636
Mount Carmel AcademyMount Carmel Academy CUBS151515
Ursuline AcademyUrsuline Academy Lions 1444
Ursuline AcademyUrsuline Academy Lions 2555
Ursuline AcademyUrsuline Academy Lions 3666

Conditions — 09/27/2019 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 60%  ·  Pressure 1013.9 hPa

Temperature

86°F
↑ 90°F   ↓ 78°F
Feels like 92°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.9 kn
avg  ·  max 9.6 kn
Gusts to 18.3 kn
From SSE (168°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover11% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity60% Pressure1013.9 hPa

What this breeze does at Ursuline Academy — from fleet racing

Breeze: S about 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at Ursuline Academy in this breeze: a favourites’ day (+0.09)
Favourites’ conditions: in fleet racing here the results follow the ratings more closely than usual, and the top seeds hold their places.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 8% more than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Ursuline Academy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 10 labelled days at Ursuline Academy, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →