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NorCal #1 Gold

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Design Tech High School Design Tech High School d.tech 2 10 10
2 Lick-Wilmerding High School Lick-Wilmerding High School Tigers 18 18
3 Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 2 22 22
4 Amador Valley Amador Valley Dons 23 23
5 Stevenson School Stevenson School Pirates 25 25
6 Sir Francis Drake High School Sir Francis Drake High School Pirates 28 28
7 Henry M. Gunn High School Henry M. Gunn High School Titans 36 36
8 Tamalpais High School Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 1 36 36
9 Harbor High School Harbor High School Pirates 38 38
10 Crystal Springs Uplands School Crystal Springs Uplands School Griffins 40 40
11 Alameda High School Alameda High School Hornets 42 42
12 Aptos High School Aptos High School Mariners 46 46
13 St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco Wildcats 51 51
14 Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 1 52 52
15 Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs 62 62
16 Design Tech High School Design Tech High School d.tech 1 66 66
17 Tamalpais High School Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 2 69 69
18 Bishop O'Dowd High School Bishop O'Dowd High School Varsity 71 71
19 Miramonte High School Miramonte High School Matadors 72 72
20 College Park High School College Park High School Falcons 84 84
21 Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 3 84 84
22 Homestead High School Homestead High School Homestead 86 86
23 Piedmont High School Piedmont High School Varsity 88 88
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Design Tech High School Design Tech High School d.tech 2 3 4 1 2 10 Michael Mcculloch '21
Teddy Knobel '21
Lick-Wilmerding High School Lick-Wilmerding High School Tigers 9 2 4 3 18 James Scherr '20 [1-4]
Scarlett Bridgen '22 [1, 3]
Olin King '22 [2, 4]
Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 2 12 7 2 1 22 Finbar Mckemey '20
Allison Lee '23
Amador Valley Amador Valley Dons 5 11 3 4 23 Christopher Hopkins '21 [1-4]
Alec Smith '23 [1, 3]
Maksim Shikhaleev '22 [2, 4]
Stevenson School Stevenson School Pirates 11 1 6 7 25 Ryan Marquess '22
Schuyler Jones '21
Sir Francis Drake High School Sir Francis Drake High School Pirates 7 8 7 6 28 Elsa Simenstad '21
Ian Mendius '22
Henry M. Gunn High School Henry M. Gunn High School Titans 1 5 16 14 36 Ethan Lowenthal '20 [1-4]
Jihyo Park '22 [1, 3]
Adrian Vahamaki '23 [2, 4]
Tamalpais High School Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 1 2 17 8 9 36 Joshua Holzer '20
Jaya Wirth '24
Harbor High School Harbor High School Pirates 6 6 13 13 38 Jt Long '21 [1-4]
Kees Horn '21 [1-2]
Eamonn Bateman '23 [3-4]
Crystal Springs Uplands School Crystal Springs Uplands School Griffins 4 13 15 8 40 Anthony Newman '21 [1-4]
Madeline Justice '21 [1, 3]
Stefan Luedtke '24 [2, 4]
Alameda High School Alameda High School Hornets 10 3 5 DNF 42 Dylan Wondolleck '23
Artemis Edison '22
Aptos High School Aptos High School Mariners 16 9 9 12 46 Ximena Greatorex '21
Julian Levash '24
St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco Wildcats DNS 12 10 5 51 Johnny Perkins '21 [1, 3]
Ben O'Neil '23 [2]
Nick Nazzall '21 [4]
Nick Nazzall '21 [1-2]
Otto Dreier '23 [3-4]
Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 1 13 16 12 11 52 Hannah Sellers '22
Sophie Smallhorn '22
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs DNS 14 14 10 62 Alexander Nunez '20
Cristina Jackson '22
Design Tech High School Design Tech High School d.tech 1 17 15 19 15 66 Zoe Flemate '21 [1-4]
Elias Wu '23 [1, 3-4]
Melanie Magnani '23 [2]
Tamalpais High School Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 2 14 10 21 DNS 69 Ian Somerville '21 [1-4]
Izzy Williams '21 [1-2]
Ceci Meade '20 [3-4]
Bishop O'Dowd High School Bishop O'Dowd High School Varsity 15 21 11 DNS 71 Max-Emilien Kluiwstra-Descalle '21
Ava Celentano '23
Miramonte High School Miramonte High School Matadors 8 23 17 DNS 72 Lilly Horri '22
Yasmin Horri '23
College Park High School College Park High School Falcons 18 18 DNS DNS 84 Jack Holden '22
Brooks Knuckles '23
Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 3 20 20 20 DNS 84 Chas Mitchell '22
Mungo Mckemey '23
Homestead High School Homestead High School Homestead 19 19 DNF DNS 86 Frank Hobson '22
Nathan Freed '23
Piedmont High School Piedmont High School Varsity DNS 22 18 DNS 88 Sara Govert '22 [1-4]
Nicholas Jerez '24 [1, 3]
Alex Zalewski '23 [2, 4]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Alameda High SchoolAlameda High School Hornets49494949
Amador ValleyAmador Valley Dons41414141
Aptos High SchoolAptos High School Mariners102102102102
Bishop O'Dowd High SchoolBishop O'Dowd High School Varsity48484848
College Park High SchoolCollege Park High School Falcons50505050
Convent and Stuart Hall High SchoolsConvent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs10101010
Crystal Springs Uplands SchoolCrystal Springs Uplands School Griffins39393939
Design Tech High SchoolDesign Tech High School d.tech 138383838
Design Tech High SchoolDesign Tech High School d.tech 240404040
Henry M. Gunn High SchoolHenry M. Gunn High School Titans37373737
Harbor High SchoolHarbor High School Pirates106106106106
Homestead High SchoolHomestead High School Homestead36363636
Lick-Wilmerding High SchoolLick-Wilmerding High School Tigers5555
Miramonte High SchoolMiramonte High School Matadors51515151
Piedmont High SchoolPiedmont High School Varsity45454545
Redwood High SchoolRedwood High School Giants 1123123123123
Redwood High SchoolRedwood High School Giants 2122122122122
Redwood High SchoolRedwood High School Giants 3121121121121
Sir Francis Drake High SchoolSir Francis Drake High School Pirates96969696
St. Ignatius College Prep - San FranciscoSt. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco Wildcats4444
Stevenson SchoolStevenson School Pirates97979797
Tamalpais High SchoolTamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 179797979
Tamalpais High SchoolTamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 280808080
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Alameda High School Alameda High School Hornets Dylan Wondolleck '23 Artemis Edison '22
Amador Valley Amador Valley Dons Christopher Hopkins '21 [1-4] Alec Smith '23 [1, 3]
Maksim Shikhaleev '22 [2, 4]
Aptos High School Aptos High School Mariners Ximena Greatorex '21 Julian Levash '24
Bishop O'Dowd High School Bishop O'Dowd High School Varsity Max-Emilien Kluiwstra-Descalle '21 Ava Celentano '23
College Park High School College Park High School Falcons Jack Holden '22 Brooks Knuckles '23
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs Alexander Nunez '20 Cristina Jackson '22
Crystal Springs Uplands School Crystal Springs Uplands School Griffins Anthony Newman '21 [1-4] Madeline Justice '21 [1, 3]
Stefan Luedtke '24 [2, 4]
Design Tech High School Design Tech High School d.tech 1 Zoe Flemate '21 [1-4] Elias Wu '23 [1, 3-4]
Melanie Magnani '23 [2]
Design Tech High School Design Tech High School d.tech 2 Michael Mcculloch '21 Teddy Knobel '21
Harbor High School Harbor High School Pirates Jt Long '21 [1-4] Kees Horn '21 [1-2]
Eamonn Bateman '23 [3-4]
Henry M. Gunn High School Henry M. Gunn High School Titans Ethan Lowenthal '20 [1-4] Jihyo Park '22 [1, 3]
Adrian Vahamaki '23 [2, 4]
Homestead High School Homestead High School Homestead Frank Hobson '22 Nathan Freed '23
Lick-Wilmerding High School Lick-Wilmerding High School Tigers James Scherr '20 [1-4] Scarlett Bridgen '22 [1, 3]
Olin King '22 [2, 4]
Miramonte High School Miramonte High School Matadors Lilly Horri '22 Yasmin Horri '23
Piedmont High School Piedmont High School Varsity Sara Govert '22 [1-4] Nicholas Jerez '24 [1, 3]
Alex Zalewski '23 [2, 4]
Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 1 Hannah Sellers '22 Sophie Smallhorn '22
Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 2 Finbar Mckemey '20 Allison Lee '23
Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 3 Chas Mitchell '22 Mungo Mckemey '23
Sir Francis Drake High School Sir Francis Drake High School Pirates Elsa Simenstad '21 Ian Mendius '22
St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco Wildcats Johnny Perkins '21 [1, 3]
Ben O'Neil '23 [2]
Nick Nazzall '21 [4]		 Nick Nazzall '21 [1-2]
Otto Dreier '23 [3-4]
Stevenson School Stevenson School Pirates Ryan Marquess '22 Schuyler Jones '21
Tamalpais High School Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 1 Joshua Holzer '20 Jaya Wirth '24
Tamalpais High School Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 2 Ian Somerville '21 [1-4] Izzy Williams '21 [1-2]
Ceci Meade '20 [3-4]

Conditions — 09/28/2019 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 46%  ·  Pressure 1007.0 hPa

Temperature

65°F
↑ 71°F   ↓ 55°F
Feels like 58°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.5 kn
avg  ·  max 15.9 kn
Gusts to 35.6 kn
From WNW (283°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover2% Sunshine10.9 hrs Humidity46% Pressure1007.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at El Cerrito: a typical day (+0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.09
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.07 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at El Cerrito by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at El Cerrito: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →