PCISA 2019 Norcal 3 Gold

HostEncinal Yacht Club
Date11/02/2019
TypeIn-District
BoatCFJ
Scoring1 Division

#	School	Team	A	TOT
1	Crystal Springs Uplands School	Griffins 2	26	26
2	Redwood High School	Giants 2	26	26
3	Lick-Wilmerding High School	Tigers	26	26
4	Acalanes High School	Dons	31	31
5	Stevenson School	Pirates 2	32	32
6	The Urban School	Blues	33	33
7	Granada High School	Matadors 2	37	37
8	Design Tech High School	d.tech	38	38
9	Stevenson School	Pirates 1	39	39
10	San Francisco University High School	Red Devils	42	42
11	Amador Valley	Dons	49	49
12	The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers	67	67
13	Redwood High School	Giants 1	72	72
14	San Domenico High School	Panthers 1	75	75
15	Harbor High School	Pirates	78	78
16	The Athenian School	Owls 2	90	90
17	El Cerrito High School	Varsity	94	94
18	Granada High School	Matadors 1	99	99
19	Crystal Springs Uplands School	Griffins 1	102	102
20	Alameda High School	Hornets 2	104	104
21	Archbishop Riordan HS	Riordan	106	106
22	College Park High School	Falcons	111	111
23	Aptos High School	Mariners	111	111
24	The Athenian School	Owls 1	114	114
25	Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks	122	122
26	Miramonte High School	Matadors	127	127
27	San Domenico High School	Panthers 2	130	130
28	Alameda High School	Hornets 1	142	142
29	Berkeley High School	Yellowjackets	143	143
30	Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs	160	160
31	Piedmont High School	Varsity	160	160

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	TOT	Sailors
Crystal Springs Uplands School	Griffins 2	2	5	2	9	8	26	Mason Stang '22 Stefan Luedtke '24
Redwood High School	Giants 2	8	3	6	2	7	26	Cooper Smith '22 [1-5] Annika Burns '23 [1-2] Allison Lee '23 [3-5]
Lick-Wilmerding High School	Tigers	14	1	1	5	5	26	James Scherr '20 [1-5] Scarlett Bridgen '22 [1, 3, 5] Olin King '22 [2, 4]
Acalanes High School	Dons	10	6	3	3	9	31	Chase Englehart '22 Lia Reilly '21
Stevenson School	Pirates 2	1	2	15	4	10	32	Gage Bradford '20 Luc Dupreez '23
The Urban School	Blues	7	13	4	6	3	33	Eli Gordon '20 Dinah Luomanen '21
Granada High School	Matadors 2	6	11	8	10	2	37	Peter Marlett '20 Jacob Bauman '22
Design Tech High School	d.tech	5	8	5	7	13	38	Jemma Schroder '20 Amelia Jeffs '23
Stevenson School	Pirates 1	9	16	12	1	1	39	Ryan Marquess '22 Betty Ng '20
San Francisco University High School	Red Devils	11	9	7	11	4	42	Max Stuebe '22 Janavi Padala '21
Amador Valley	Dons	4	17	9	13	6	49	Christopher Hopkins '21 Alec Smith '23
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers	16	4	13	15	19	67	Fredrick Baldauf '20 Amanda Yolles '22
Redwood High School	Giants 1	12	7	19	16	18	72	Jim Young '23 [1-5] Reid Willens '22 [1-2] Sophie Smallhorn '22 [3-5]
San Domenico High School	Panthers 1	3	12	16	22	22	75	Roman Gavrilov '22 [1-5] Julia Vierra '22 [1] Owen Chan '23 [2-3] Rafael Sanchez '22 [4-5]
Harbor High School	Pirates	DNF	10	17	8	11	78	Jt Long '21 Kees Horn '21
The Athenian School	Owls 2	13	26	18	21	12	90	Ezra Newman '21 [1-5] Lev Dufaux '23 [1-2, 5] Pavika Vachirajindakul '21 [3-4]
El Cerrito High School	Varsity	17	19	24	18	16	94	Wesley Seifers '21 [1-5] Konrad Crebbs '22 [1-2, 5] Phineas Fritsch '23 [3-4]
Granada High School	Matadors 1	DNS	23	10	19	15	99	Rebecca Bauman '20 Joseph Marlett '23
Crystal Springs Uplands School	Griffins 1	DNF	28	11	17	14	102	Annabelle Brameld '23 Arianna Smith '22
Alameda High School	Hornets 2	DNF	14	14	23	21	104	John Maxey '23 Sofia Coffin '22
Archbishop Riordan HS	Riordan	15	25	27	14	25	106	Declan Donovan '22 [1-3] Antonio Priskich '23 [4-5] Antonio Priskich '23 [1-3] Eva Bennett '25 [4-5]
College Park High School	Falcons	DNF	15	20	27	17	111	Nate Holden '21 Jack Holden '22
Aptos High School	Mariners	DNF	22	25	12	20	111	Ximena Greatorex '21 Julian Levash '24
The Athenian School	Owls 1	18	20	21	28	27	114	Mark Dickey '23 [1-5] Hunter Foster '23 [1-2, 5] Annie Chan '21 [3-4]
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks	DNF	18	22	24	26	122	Joshua Holzer '20 Jaya Wirth '24
Miramonte High School	Matadors	DNF	24	28	20	23	127	Austin Teodorovic '24 Tristan Anderle '24
San Domenico High School	Panthers 2	DNF	21	23	25	29	130	Hiroki Coyle '21 [1-5] Rafael Sanchez '22 [1] Nina Polyakova '24 [2-3] Julia Vierra '22 [4-5]
Alameda High School	Hornets 1	DNS	27	26	29	28	142	Dylan Wondolleck '23 Miles Murphy '23
Berkeley High School	Yellowjackets	DNF	DNS	29	26	24	143	Althea White '21 [1-5] Anjolie Enz '21 [1-2, 5] Millay Metz '22 [3-4]
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	160	Alexander Nunez '20 Dennis O'Donnell '20
Piedmont High School	Varsity	DNF	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	160	Sara Govert '22 Nicholas Jerez '24

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.200+0.20

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2014 (22 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A
Acalanes High School Dons	52	52	52	52	52
Alameda High School Hornets 1	50	50	50	50	50
Alameda High School Hornets 2	51	51	51	51	51
Amador Valley Dons	49	49	49	49	49
Aptos High School Mariners	102	102	102	102	102
Archbishop Riordan HS Riordan	73	73	73	73	73
Berkeley High School Yellowjackets	67	67	67	67	67
College Park High School Falcons	46	46	46	46	46
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs	10	10	10	10	10
Crystal Springs Uplands School Griffins 1	37	37	37	37	37
Crystal Springs Uplands School Griffins 2	40	40	40	40	40
Design Tech High School d.tech	36	36	36	36	36
El Cerrito High School Varsity	64	64	64	64	64
Granada High School Matadors 1	148	148	148	148	148
Granada High School Matadors 2	149	149	149	149	149
Harbor High School Pirates	106	106	106	106	106
Lick-Wilmerding High School Tigers	5	5	5	5	5
Miramonte High School Matadors	45	45	45	45	45
Piedmont High School Varsity	44	44	44	44	44
Redwood High School Giants 1	122	122	122	122	122
Redwood High School Giants 2	121	121	121	121	121
San Domenico High School Panthers 1	2	2	2	2	2
San Domenico High School Panthers 2	6	6	6	6	6
San Francisco University High School Red Devils	1	1	1	1	1
Stevenson School Pirates 1	97	97	97	97	97
Stevenson School Pirates 2	98	98	98	98	98
Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks	79	79	79	79	79
The Athenian School Owls 1	48	48	48	48	48
The Athenian School Owls 2	47	47	47	47	47
The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers	81	81	81	81	81
The Urban School Blues	6	6	6	6	6

School	Team	Skipper	Crew
Acalanes High School	Dons	Chase Englehart '22	Lia Reilly '21
Alameda High School	Hornets 1	Dylan Wondolleck '23	Miles Murphy '23
Alameda High School	Hornets 2	John Maxey '23	Sofia Coffin '22
Amador Valley	Dons	Christopher Hopkins '21	Alec Smith '23
Aptos High School	Mariners	Ximena Greatorex '21	Julian Levash '24
Archbishop Riordan HS	Riordan	Declan Donovan '22 [1-3] Antonio Priskich '23 [4-5]	Antonio Priskich '23 [1-3] Eva Bennett '25 [4-5]
Berkeley High School	Yellowjackets	Althea White '21 [1-5]	Anjolie Enz '21 [1-2, 5] Millay Metz '22 [3-4]
College Park High School	Falcons	Nate Holden '21	Jack Holden '22
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs	Alexander Nunez '20	Dennis O'Donnell '20
Crystal Springs Uplands School	Griffins 1	Annabelle Brameld '23	Arianna Smith '22
Crystal Springs Uplands School	Griffins 2	Mason Stang '22	Stefan Luedtke '24
Design Tech High School	d.tech	Jemma Schroder '20	Amelia Jeffs '23
El Cerrito High School	Varsity	Wesley Seifers '21 [1-5]	Konrad Crebbs '22 [1-2, 5] Phineas Fritsch '23 [3-4]
Granada High School	Matadors 1	Rebecca Bauman '20	Joseph Marlett '23
Granada High School	Matadors 2	Peter Marlett '20	Jacob Bauman '22
Harbor High School	Pirates	Jt Long '21	Kees Horn '21
Lick-Wilmerding High School	Tigers	James Scherr '20 [1-5]	Scarlett Bridgen '22 [1, 3, 5] Olin King '22 [2, 4]
Miramonte High School	Matadors	Austin Teodorovic '24	Tristan Anderle '24
Piedmont High School	Varsity	Sara Govert '22	Nicholas Jerez '24
Redwood High School	Giants 1	Jim Young '23 [1-5]	Reid Willens '22 [1-2] Sophie Smallhorn '22 [3-5]
Redwood High School	Giants 2	Cooper Smith '22 [1-5]	Annika Burns '23 [1-2] Allison Lee '23 [3-5]
San Domenico High School	Panthers 1	Roman Gavrilov '22 [1-5]	Julia Vierra '22 [1] Owen Chan '23 [2-3] Rafael Sanchez '22 [4-5]
San Domenico High School	Panthers 2	Hiroki Coyle '21 [1-5]	Rafael Sanchez '22 [1] Nina Polyakova '24 [2-3] Julia Vierra '22 [4-5]
San Francisco University High School	Red Devils	Max Stuebe '22	Janavi Padala '21
Stevenson School	Pirates 1	Ryan Marquess '22	Betty Ng '20
Stevenson School	Pirates 2	Gage Bradford '20	Luc Dupreez '23
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks	Joshua Holzer '20	Jaya Wirth '24
The Athenian School	Owls 1	Mark Dickey '23 [1-5]	Hunter Foster '23 [1-2, 5] Annie Chan '21 [3-4]
The Athenian School	Owls 2	Ezra Newman '21 [1-5]	Lev Dufaux '23 [1-2, 5] Pavika Vachirajindakul '21 [3-4]
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers	Fredrick Baldauf '20	Amanda Yolles '22
The Urban School	Blues	Eli Gordon '20	Dinah Luomanen '21

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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PCISA 2019 Norcal 3 Gold

Division A

From the notes