Port Townsend Open Fleet Race

HostNorthwest Maritime Center
Date10/12/2019
TypePromotional
BoatCFJ
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Bainbridge High School	Spartans 1	10	7	17
2	Bainbridge High School	Spartans 2	22	23	45
3	Port Townsend High School	Redhawks 1	22	25	47
4	Port Townsend High School	Redhawks 2	22	35	57
5	Central Kitsap High School	Cougars	42	27	69
6	Bainbridge High School	Spartans 3	33	36	69
7	Bainbridge High School	Spartans 4	46	30	76
8	North Kitsap High School	Dogfish 1	36	52	88
9	North Kitsap High School	Dogfish 2	54	39	93
10	Port Townsend High School	Redhawks 3	46	61	107
11	Unregistered-NWISA	Unregistered-NWISA	63	61	124

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 1	1	2	4	1	1	1	10	Noah Fernandes '23 [1-6] Ben Stone '23 [1-2, 5-6] Ava Sherbina '23 [3-4]
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 2	3	5	3	4	3	4	22	Dane Petrakis '21 [1-6] Jack Turkovich '22 [1-2, 5-6] Karl Anderson '16 [3-4]
Port Townsend High School	Redhawks 1	4	4	2	5	4	3	22	Mary Darcy '21 Chance Bates '21
Port Townsend High School	Redhawks 2	6	1	1	7	2	5	22	Jack Gibbons '20 Glen Dawson '22
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 3	8	3	8	2	6	6	33	Maxwell Richards '24 [1-6] Arianna Fiore '21 [1-2, 5-6] Saskia Burke '23 [3-4]
North Kitsap High School	Dogfish 1	7	8	5	3	5	8	36	Alex Turloff '24 [1, 3, 5] Owen Burnett '24 [2, 4, 6] Owen Burnett '24 [1, 3, 5] Alex Turloff '24 [2, 4, 6]
Central Kitsap High School	Cougars	2	7	7	6	10	10	42	Jeffrey Scholfield '23 No Show
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 4	5	10	11	10	8	2	46	Gianna Dewey '23 [1-4] Lauren Heinzelman '22 [5-6] Lauren Heinzelman '22 [1-2] Esme Vessenes '23 [3-4] Gianna Dewey '23 [5-6]
Port Townsend High School	Redhawks 3	9	6	9	8	7	7	46	Luca Gesinger '20 Charlotte Capel '24
North Kitsap High School	Dogfish 2	10	9	6	9	9	11	54	Pearl Young '22 Olivia Nodolf '22
Unregistered-NWISA	Unregistered-NWISA	11	11	10	11	11	9	63

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 1	1	2	1	1	1	1	7	Barrett Lhamon '22 [1, 3-5] Marty Weigel '21 [2, 6] Marty Weigel '21 [1, 5] Barrett Lhamon '22 [2, 6] Davin Rieth '23 [3-4]
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 2	9	4	2	2	2	4	23	Zane Walker '22 [1, 3, 5] Jeffrey Kriegh '23 [2, 6] Noah Fernandes '23 [4] Jeffrey Kriegh '23 [1, 5] Zane Walker '22 [2, 4, 6] Noah Fernandes '23 [3]
Port Townsend High School	Redhawks 1	6	1	5	8	3	2	25	Odin Smith '21 Willy Walden '24
Central Kitsap High School	Cougars	4	5	7	4	4	3	27	Lilyan Coleman '21 [1, 3, 5] Michael Ramsdell '23 [2, 6] Hanna Inoue '21 [4] Michael Ramsdell '23 [1, 5] Lilyan Coleman '21 [2, 4, 6] Hanna Inoue '21 [3]
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 4	3	3	6	6	7	5	30	Evan Yeung '22 [1-6] Chris Cho '23 [1-2, 5-6] Alex Longo '23 [3-4]
Port Townsend High School	Redhawks 2	2	9	3	3	11	7	35	Landon Pol '24 [1-2] Lhotse Rowell '24 [3-6] Lhotse Rowell '24 [1-2] Landon Pol '24 [3-4] Akeyla Behrenfeld '25 [5-6]
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 3	7	6	4	5	6	8	36	Peter Hall '21 [1-3, 5] Isaac Lolley '23 [4, 6] Mason Connors '21 [1-2] Isaac Lolley '23 [3, 5] Peter Hall '21 [4, 6]
North Kitsap High School	Dogfish 2	5	7	9	7	5	6	39	Adam Turloff '24 Sharkey Mckay '24
North Kitsap High School	Dogfish 1	8	8	8	9	8	11	52	James Huffman '20 Logan Magallon '23
Unregistered-NWISA	Unregistered-NWISA	10	11	10	11	9	10	61
Port Townsend High School	Redhawks 3	11	10	11	10	10	9	61	Viola Frank '22 [1-6] Akeyla Behrenfeld '25 [1-4] Landon Pol '24 [5-6]

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.050+0.05

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A
Bainbridge High School Spartans 1	31	31	33	33	60	60
Bainbridge High School Spartans 2	32	32	34	34	61	61
Bainbridge High School Spartans 3	33	33	60	60	62	62
Bainbridge High School Spartans 4	34	34	61	61	63	63
Central Kitsap High School Cougars	60	60	62	62	64	64
North Kitsap High School Dogfish 1	61	61	63	63	65	65
North Kitsap High School Dogfish 2	62	62	64	64	126	126
Port Townsend High School Redhawks 1	63	63	65	65	31	31
Port Townsend High School Redhawks 2	64	64	126	126	32	32
Port Townsend High School Redhawks 3	65	65	31	31	33	33
Unregistered-NWISA Unregistered-NWISA	126	126	32	32	34	34

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B
Bainbridge High School Spartans 1	32	32	34	34	61	61
Bainbridge High School Spartans 2	33	33	60	60	62	62
Bainbridge High School Spartans 3	34	34	61	61	63	63
Bainbridge High School Spartans 4	60	60	62	62	64	64
Central Kitsap High School Cougars	61	61	63	63	65	65
North Kitsap High School Dogfish 1	62	62	64	64	126	126
North Kitsap High School Dogfish 2	63	63	65	65	31	31
Port Townsend High School Redhawks 1	64	64	126	126	32	32
Port Townsend High School Redhawks 2	65	65	31	31	33	33
Port Townsend High School Redhawks 3	126	126	32	32	34	34
Unregistered-NWISA Unregistered-NWISA	31	31	33	33	60	60

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Bainbridge High School	Noah Fernandes '23 [1-6]	Ben Stone '23 [1-2, 5-6] Ava Sherbina '23 [3-4]
Spartans 1	Barrett Lhamon '22 [1, 3-5] Marty Weigel '21 [2, 6]	Marty Weigel '21 [1, 5] Barrett Lhamon '22 [2, 6] Davin Rieth '23 [3-4]
Bainbridge High School	Dane Petrakis '21 [1-6]	Jack Turkovich '22 [1-2, 5-6] Karl Anderson '16 [3-4]
Spartans 2	Zane Walker '22 [1, 3, 5] Jeffrey Kriegh '23 [2, 6] Noah Fernandes '23 [4]	Jeffrey Kriegh '23 [1, 5] Zane Walker '22 [2, 4, 6] Noah Fernandes '23 [3]
Bainbridge High School	Maxwell Richards '24 [1-6]	Arianna Fiore '21 [1-2, 5-6] Saskia Burke '23 [3-4]
Spartans 3	Peter Hall '21 [1-3, 5] Isaac Lolley '23 [4, 6]	Mason Connors '21 [1-2] Isaac Lolley '23 [3, 5] Peter Hall '21 [4, 6]
Bainbridge High School	Gianna Dewey '23 [1-4] Lauren Heinzelman '22 [5-6]	Lauren Heinzelman '22 [1-2] Esme Vessenes '23 [3-4] Gianna Dewey '23 [5-6]
Spartans 4	Evan Yeung '22 [1-6]	Chris Cho '23 [1-2, 5-6] Alex Longo '23 [3-4]
Central Kitsap High School	Jeffrey Scholfield '23	No Show
Cougars	Lilyan Coleman '21 [1, 3, 5] Michael Ramsdell '23 [2, 6] Hanna Inoue '21 [4]	Michael Ramsdell '23 [1, 5] Lilyan Coleman '21 [2, 4, 6] Hanna Inoue '21 [3]
North Kitsap High School	Alex Turloff '24 [1, 3, 5] Owen Burnett '24 [2, 4, 6]	Owen Burnett '24 [1, 3, 5] Alex Turloff '24 [2, 4, 6]
Dogfish 1	James Huffman '20	Logan Magallon '23
North Kitsap High School	Pearl Young '22	Olivia Nodolf '22
Dogfish 2	Adam Turloff '24	Sharkey Mckay '24
Port Townsend High School	Mary Darcy '21	Chance Bates '21
Redhawks 1	Odin Smith '21	Willy Walden '24
Port Townsend High School	Jack Gibbons '20	Glen Dawson '22
Redhawks 2	Landon Pol '24 [1-2] Lhotse Rowell '24 [3-6]	Lhotse Rowell '24 [1-2] Landon Pol '24 [3-4] Akeyla Behrenfeld '25 [5-6]
Port Townsend High School	Luca Gesinger '20	Charlotte Capel '24
Redhawks 3	Viola Frank '22 [1-6]	Akeyla Behrenfeld '25 [1-4] Landon Pol '24 [5-6]

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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Port Townsend Open Fleet Race

Division A

Division B

From the notes