SAISA North Open at AYC

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Atlanta Classical Academy Atlanta Classical Academy Cavaliers 14 10 24
2 Hough High School Hough High School Hough 19 10 29
3 The Walker School The Walker School Wolverines 18 19 37
4 North Atlanta High School North Atlanta High School Warriors 15 33 48
5 Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep Varsity 29 25 54
6 AC Reynolds AC Reynolds Rockets 31 29 60
7 Holy Innocents Episcopal School Holy Innocents Episcopal School Holy Innocents Episc 54 54 108
8 Wando High School Wando High School Wando Warriors 54 54 108
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Atlanta Classical Academy Atlanta Classical Academy Cavaliers 3 4 1 3 2 1 14 Lucy Spearman '21 [1-6]
Ben Woods '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Lauren Woods '23 [3-4]
North Atlanta High School North Atlanta High School Warriors 1 2 4 1 4 3 15 Ethan Staats '20 [1-6]
Roman Hoeflich '23 [1-2]
Graham Lee '20 [3-4]
Bella Rocchio '22 [5-6]
The Walker School The Walker School Wolverines 5 6 2 2 1 2 18 Evie Blauvelt '21 [1-6]
Jordan Gomez '21 [1-2]
Grayson Berrier '21 [3-6]
Hough High School Hough High School Hough 2 1 3 6 3 4 19 Sully O'Donnell '21 [1-6]
Holladay Crook '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Caroline Coke '21 [3-4]
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep Varsity 4 5 5 4 5 6 29 Alli Volk '21
Sarina Schmoyer '23
AC Reynolds AC Reynolds Rockets 6 3 6 5 6 5 31 Cole Wise '20
Olivia Hennon '21
Holy Innocents Episcopal School Holy Innocents Episcopal School Holy Innocents Episc DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 54 No Show
No Show
Wando High School Wando High School Wando Warriors DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 54 No Show
No Show
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Hough High School Hough High School Hough 1 1 2 3 2 1 10 Evan West '22 [1-6]
Luca Van Der Schoot '22 [1-4]
Caroline Coke '21 [5-6]
Atlanta Classical Academy Atlanta Classical Academy Cavaliers 2 3 1 1 1 2 10 Ellie Spearman '21 [1-6]
Ava Wurm '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Madison Snider '21 [3-4]
The Walker School The Walker School Wolverines 5 2 4 2 3 3 19 Erika Kaczynski '20
Jack He '21
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep Varsity 4 4 5 4 4 4 25 Cam Fowler '23
Maddie Nusbaum '21
AC Reynolds AC Reynolds Rockets 3 5 6 5 5 5 29 Zimm Staats '23
Thomas Kanich '23
North Atlanta High School North Atlanta High School Warriors 6 6 3 6 6 6 33 Nora Rosenfeld '21 [1-4]
Graham Lee '20 [5-6]
Bella Rocchio '22 [1-2]
Carter Law '21 [3-6]
Holy Innocents Episcopal School Holy Innocents Episcopal School Holy Innocents Episc DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 54 No Show
No Show
Wando High School Wando High School Wando Warriors DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 54 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
AC ReynoldsAC Reynolds Rockets113355
Atlanta Classical AcademyAtlanta Classical Academy Cavaliers224466
Holy Innocents Episcopal SchoolHoly Innocents Episcopal School Holy Innocents Episc335577
Hough High SchoolHough High School Hough446688
North Atlanta High SchoolNorth Atlanta High School Warriors557711
Pine Lake PrepPine Lake Prep Varsity668822
The Walker SchoolThe Walker School Wolverines771133
Wando High SchoolWando High School Wando Warriors882244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
AC ReynoldsAC Reynolds Rockets224466
Atlanta Classical AcademyAtlanta Classical Academy Cavaliers335577
Holy Innocents Episcopal SchoolHoly Innocents Episcopal School Holy Innocents Episc446688
Hough High SchoolHough High School Hough557711
North Atlanta High SchoolNorth Atlanta High School Warriors668822
Pine Lake PrepPine Lake Prep Varsity771133
The Walker SchoolThe Walker School Wolverines882244
Wando High SchoolWando High School Wando Warriors113355
School / Team SkipperCrew
AC Reynolds AC Reynolds Cole Wise '20 Olivia Hennon '21
Rockets Zimm Staats '23 Thomas Kanich '23
Atlanta Classical Academy Atlanta Classical Academy Lucy Spearman '21 [1-6] Ben Woods '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Lauren Woods '23 [3-4]
Cavaliers Ellie Spearman '21 [1-6] Ava Wurm '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Madison Snider '21 [3-4]
Holy Innocents Episcopal School Holy Innocents Episcopal School No Show No Show
Holy Innocents Episc No Show No Show
Hough High School Hough High School Sully O'Donnell '21 [1-6] Holladay Crook '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Caroline Coke '21 [3-4]
Hough Evan West '22 [1-6] Luca Van Der Schoot '22 [1-4]
Caroline Coke '21 [5-6]
North Atlanta High School North Atlanta High School Ethan Staats '20 [1-6] Roman Hoeflich '23 [1-2]
Graham Lee '20 [3-4]
Bella Rocchio '22 [5-6]
Warriors Nora Rosenfeld '21 [1-4]
Graham Lee '20 [5-6]
Bella Rocchio '22 [1-2]
Carter Law '21 [3-6]
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep Alli Volk '21 Sarina Schmoyer '23
Varsity Cam Fowler '23 Maddie Nusbaum '21
The Walker School The Walker School Evie Blauvelt '21 [1-6] Jordan Gomez '21 [1-2]
Grayson Berrier '21 [3-6]
Wolverines Erika Kaczynski '20 Jack He '21
Wando High School Wando High School No Show No Show
Wando Warriors No Show No Show

Conditions — 09/07/2019 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 53%  ·  Pressure 1013.5 hPa

Temperature

88°F
↑ 94°F   ↓ 73°F
Feels like 92°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.6 kn
avg  ·  max 8.6 kn
Gusts to 20.6 kn
From NW (313°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover9% Sunshine10.6 hrs Humidity53% Pressure1013.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Atlanta Yacht Club: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.12 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.11
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.00 ± 0.24)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Atlanta Yacht Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Atlanta Yacht Club: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →