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SAISA South Points #1 - JV

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 1 11 9 20
2 St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School JV 19 24 43
3 H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School JV Gold 56 37 93
4 Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School JV 69 24 93
5 Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 2 54 46 100
6 Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 36 74 110
7 Sarasota High School Sarasota High School JV1 36 75 111
8 Gulf Coast High School Gulf Coast High School JV 74 38 112
9 Fort Myers High School Fort Myers High School Green Wave 46 68 114
10 Good Hope County Day School Good Hope County Day School Panthers 73 53 126
11 Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 65 67 132
12 H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School JV Black 64 71 135
13 Unregistered-SAISA Unregistered-SAISA Unregistered-SAISA 75 83 158
14 Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 83 92 175
15 Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 93 93 186
16 Pine View School Pine View School Python JV 106 101 207
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 1 1 2 1 1 1 4 1 11 Jackson Mcaliley '23
Gabriel Vianna '21
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School JV 5 1 3 3 2 3 2 19 Jack Redmond '22 [1-4]
Garrett Dixon '21 [5-7]
Kelly Coyne '22 [1-4]
Kevin Gosselin '23 [5-7]
Sarasota High School Sarasota High School JV1 2 4 5 4 9 1 11 36 Thommi Gritt '22
Kailin Foster '20
Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 6 10 4 2 3 5 6 36 Audrey Foley '24
Adam Lee '24
Fort Myers High School Fort Myers High School Green Wave 12 3 12 9 5 2 3 46 No Show
No Show
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 2 4 14 2 5 4 12 13 54
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School JV Gold 9 5 6 7 13 11 5 56 Joseph Toro '22
Patrick Parker '21
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School JV Black 8 9 7 10 10 6 14 64 Ava Edinger '22
Elliot Francola '23
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 7 6 11 11 12 8 10 65 Griffin Barron '21
Emma Brazee '23
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School JV 13 11 13 6 7 7 12 69 Trevor Hicks '23
Andrew Tang '22
Good Hope County Day School Good Hope County Day School Panthers 10 7 9 14 11 14 8 73 Lucia Bishop '21
Brielle Schindler '23
Gulf Coast High School Gulf Coast High School JV 3 16 DNS DNS 8 9 4 74 Carson Page '23 [1-6]
Patrick Igoe '22 [7]
Patrick Igoe '22 [1-6]
Carson Page '23 [7]
Unregistered-SAISA Unregistered-SAISA Unregistered-SAISA 14 12 14 12 6 10 7 75
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 16 8 10 13 14 13 9 83 Liz Cloninger '22 [1-4, 7]
Carter Stewart '21 [5-6]
Nico Raffinengo '24 [1-4, 7]
Zander Pestrichelli '22 [5-6]
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 15 15 8 8 15 15 DSQ 93 Madeline Bramson '22
Chris Purcell '21
Pine View School Pine View School Python JV 11 13 DNF DNS DNF 16 15 106 Tiffany Yu '23
Leila Mackenzie '22
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 9 Olivia Drulard '23
Lucas Vianna '21
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School JV 2 3 1 2 2 12 2 24 Trevor Hicks '23
Andrew Tang '22
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School JV 3 1 3 3 4 2 8 24 Kaitlyn Hamilton '22 [1-4]
Michael Morley '22 [5-7]
Emma Asturias '20 [1-4]
Marianne Cook '23 [5-7]
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School JV Gold 5 6 9 5 3 5 4 37 Kate Prest '20
Blake Wilson '20
Gulf Coast High School Gulf Coast High School JV 4 5 10 4 7 3 5 38 Josh Amendola '21
Jaedyn Procacci '20
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 2 6 4 7 8 6 6 9 46
Good Hope County Day School Good Hope County Day School Panthers 7 7 4 10 14 8 3 53 Ariana Schwarts '23
Elyssa Franklin '22
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 13 12 5 9 5 11 12 67 William Kulas '24
Austin Peterson '23
Fort Myers High School Fort Myers High School Green Wave 8 11 6 15 8 7 13 68 Charlie Suroski '21 [1-5]
Kellon Albury '23 [6-7]
Kellon Albury '23 [1-5]
Charlie Suroski '21 [6-7]
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School JV Black 9 14 13 7 13 4 11 71 Ian Iles-Lee '23
Elizabeth Anderson '22
Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 11 8 14 12 9 10 10 74 Stevan Weiss '22
Michael Almy '24
Sarasota High School Sarasota High School JV1 12 10 8 6 12 13 14 75 Luke King '21 [1-7]
Byron Mccobb '23 [1-6]
Gabe Mirman '23 [7]
Unregistered-SAISA Unregistered-SAISA Unregistered-SAISA 10 9 11 16 15 15 7 83
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 15 15 OCS 14 11 14 6 92 Campbell Taylor '22
Meave Mullen '23
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 16 13 15 13 10 9 DNS 93 Joseph Dare '22
Lucas Garcia '20
Pine View School Pine View School Python JV 14 16 12 11 DNF 16 15 101 Gabriella Pina '27
Sam Izydor '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2015 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Fort Myers High SchoolFort Myers High School Green Wave7777777
Good Hope County Day SchoolGood Hope County Day School Panthers3333333
Gulf Coast High SchoolGulf Coast High School JV4444444
Gulliver Preparatory SchoolGulliver Preparatory School Raiders2222222
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons33333333333333
Martin County High SchoolMartin County High School Tigers31313131313131
Oxbridge AcademyOxbridge Academy ThunderWolves34343434343434
Pine View SchoolPine View School Python JV8888888
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School JV Black27272727272727
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School JV Gold28282828282828
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders 129292929292929
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders 25555555
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School JV26262626262626
Sarasota High SchoolSarasota High School JV11111111
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School JV35353535353535
Unregistered-SAISAUnregistered-SAISA Unregistered-SAISA6666666

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Fort Myers High SchoolFort Myers High School Green Wave7777777
Good Hope County Day SchoolGood Hope County Day School Panthers3333333
Gulf Coast High SchoolGulf Coast High School JV4444444
Gulliver Preparatory SchoolGulliver Preparatory School Raiders2222222
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons33333333333333
Martin County High SchoolMartin County High School Tigers31313131313131
Oxbridge AcademyOxbridge Academy ThunderWolves34343434343434
Pine View SchoolPine View School Python JV8888888
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School JV Black27272727272727
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School JV Gold28282828282828
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders 129292929292929
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders 25555555
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School JV26262626262626
Sarasota High SchoolSarasota High School JV11111111
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School JV35353535353535
Unregistered-SAISAUnregistered-SAISA Unregistered-SAISA6666666
School / Team SkipperCrew
Fort Myers High School Fort Myers High School No Show No Show
Green Wave Charlie Suroski '21 [1-5]
Kellon Albury '23 [6-7]		 Kellon Albury '23 [1-5]
Charlie Suroski '21 [6-7]
Good Hope County Day School Good Hope County Day School Lucia Bishop '21 Brielle Schindler '23
Panthers Ariana Schwarts '23 Elyssa Franklin '22
Gulf Coast High School Gulf Coast High School Carson Page '23 [1-6]
Patrick Igoe '22 [7]		 Patrick Igoe '22 [1-6]
Carson Page '23 [7]
JV Josh Amendola '21 Jaedyn Procacci '20
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Madeline Bramson '22 Chris Purcell '21
Raiders Joseph Dare '22 Lucas Garcia '20
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Ava Edinger '22 Elliot Francola '23
JV Black Ian Iles-Lee '23 Elizabeth Anderson '22
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Joseph Toro '22 Patrick Parker '21
JV Gold Kate Prest '20 Blake Wilson '20
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Griffin Barron '21 Emma Brazee '23
Falcons William Kulas '24 Austin Peterson '23
Martin County High School Martin County High School Audrey Foley '24 Adam Lee '24
Tigers Stevan Weiss '22 Michael Almy '24
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy Liz Cloninger '22 [1-4, 7]
Carter Stewart '21 [5-6]		 Nico Raffinengo '24 [1-4, 7]
Zander Pestrichelli '22 [5-6]
ThunderWolves Campbell Taylor '22 Meave Mullen '23
Pine View School Pine View School Tiffany Yu '23 Leila Mackenzie '22
Python JV Gabriella Pina '27 Sam Izydor '27
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Jackson Mcaliley '23 Gabriel Vianna '21
Raiders 1 Olivia Drulard '23 Lucas Vianna '21
Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Thommi Gritt '22 Kailin Foster '20
JV1 Luke King '21 [1-7] Byron Mccobb '23 [1-6]
Gabe Mirman '23 [7]
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Trevor Hicks '23 Andrew Tang '22
JV Trevor Hicks '23 Andrew Tang '22
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Jack Redmond '22 [1-4]
Garrett Dixon '21 [5-7]		 Kelly Coyne '22 [1-4]
Kevin Gosselin '23 [5-7]
JV Kaitlyn Hamilton '22 [1-4]
Michael Morley '22 [5-7]		 Emma Asturias '20 [1-4]
Marianne Cook '23 [5-7]

Conditions — 09/28/2019 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 68%  ·  Pressure 1017.2 hPa

Temperature

85°F
↑ 87°F   ↓ 80°F
Feels like 91°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.1 kn
avg  ·  max 11.3 kn
Gusts to 20.6 kn
From ENE (75°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover17% Sunshine10.8 hrs Humidity68% Pressure1017.2 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Saint Thomas Aquinas: a favourites’ day (+0.07)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.16
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.14 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Saint Thomas Aquinas by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Saint Thomas Aquinas, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →