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Southpoints #3 JV

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 1 4 4 8
2 Gulf Coast High School Gulf Coast High School Varsity 16 13 29
3 Fort Myers High School Fort Myers High School Green Wave 24 6 30
4 St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 10 20 30
5 Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 19 15 34
6 H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 1 19 20 39
7 Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 2 20 24 44
8 Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Sailors 30 17 47
9 H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 2 17 34 51
10 Eustis High School Eustis High School Eustis 27 30 57
11 South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 43 32 75
12 Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 34 41 75
13 Dunedin High School Dunedin High School Developing All Stars 31 45 76
14 Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 42 37 79
15 Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Panthers 41 42 83
16 MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Panthers 43 42 85
17 Riverview High School Riverview High School JV 40 48 88
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 1 1 2 1 4 Olivia Drulard '23
Eva Gonzalez '22
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 3 5 2 10 Mary (Lucy) Meagher '23
Sophia St. Romain '22
Gulf Coast High School Gulf Coast High School Varsity 6 7 3 16 Carson Page '23
Jaedyn Procacci '20
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 2 9 3 5 17 Mathew Pittman '22
Alexandra Crow '22
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 1 4 8 7 19 Ian Iles-Lee '23
Patrick Parker '21
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 5 6 8 19 No Show
No Show
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 2 10 1 9 20 David Dubovy '22
Eva Bricker '23
Fort Myers High School Fort Myers High School Green Wave 2 4 DNF 24 Bo Dwyer '22
Morgan Gahan '22
Eustis High School Eustis High School Eustis 11 10 6 27 No Show
No Show
Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Sailors 8 12 10 30 Gabe Mirman '23
Byron Mccobb '23
Dunedin High School Dunedin High School Developing All Stars 7 9 15 31 Jacob Armitage '20 [1-2]
Kailina Suminski '23 [3]
Tony Perez '23 [1-2]
Caitlyn Pagano '22 [3]
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 17 13 4 34 Cole Degner '21
Emma Brazee '23
Riverview High School Riverview High School JV 16 11 13 40 Micheal Childers '23
Chelsea Moore '21
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Panthers 14 16 11 41 Jake Burgess '23 [1-2]
Max Maister '23 [3]
William Burke '23 [1-2]
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 15 15 12 42 Zander Pestrichelli '22
Charlotte Sample '23
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 12 17 14 43 Siena Pollis '22
Brayden Fender '22
MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Panthers 13 14 16 43 Esbeydy Dumas '20
Gabriel Yrjola '22
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 1 1 2 1 4 Jackson Mcaliley '23
Boris Bialer '22
Fort Myers High School Fort Myers High School Green Wave 3 1 2 6 Zachary Syska '22
Arianna Barnello '21
Gulf Coast High School Gulf Coast High School Varsity 2 5 6 13 Patrick Igoe '22
Josh Amendola '21
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 4 8 3 15 No Show
No Show
Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Sailors 6 6 5 17 Luke King '21
Ashton Graber '22
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 5 11 4 20 Kevin Gosselin '23
Daniel Neville '21
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 1 8 3 9 20 Joseph Toro '22
Blake Wilson '20
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 2 7 9 8 24 Gideon Shaked '22 [1-3]
Palmer Lykes '21 [1-2]
Aidan Murphy '21 [3]
Eustis High School Eustis High School Eustis 13 10 7 30 No Show
No Show
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 9 7 16 32 Brayden Fender '22
Siena Pollis '22
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 2 DNF 4 12 34 Ava Edinger '22
Johnathan Pittman '22
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 12 12 13 37 Campbell Taylor '22
Nico Raffinengo '24
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons DNF 13 10 41 William Kulas '24 [1-2]
Austin Peterson '23 [3]
Elizabeth Wire '24 [1-2]
MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Panthers 10 14 DNF 42 Gabriel Yrjola '22
Esbeydy Dumas '20
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Panthers 11 17 14 42 Sean Anagnoste '23
Daniel Wilentz '23
Dunedin High School Dunedin High School Developing All Stars DNF 16 11 45 William Hesting '22 [1-2]
Colin Colbert '23 [3]
Caitlyn Pagano '22 [1-2]
Jacob Armitage '20 [3]
Riverview High School Riverview High School JV DNF 15 15 48 Micheal Childers '23
Chelsea Moore '21
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Dunedin High SchoolDunedin High School Developing All Stars434343
Eustis High SchoolEustis High School Eustis484848
Fort Myers High SchoolFort Myers High School Green Wave464646
Gulf Coast High SchoolGulf Coast High School Varsity363636
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons414141
MOA/Westwood High SchoolMOA/Westwood High School Panthers424242
Oxbridge AcademyOxbridge Academy ThunderWolves444444
Pine Crest SchoolPine Crest School Panthers454545
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers 1373737
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers 2383838
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders 1393939
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders 2404040
Riverview High SchoolRiverview High School JV343434
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders333333
Sarasota High SchoolSarasota High School Sailors313131
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School Chargers353535
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS474747

Division B

Team1B2B3B
Dunedin High SchoolDunedin High School Developing All Stars434343
Eustis High SchoolEustis High School Eustis484848
Fort Myers High SchoolFort Myers High School Green Wave464646
Gulf Coast High SchoolGulf Coast High School Varsity363636
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons414141
MOA/Westwood High SchoolMOA/Westwood High School Panthers424242
Oxbridge AcademyOxbridge Academy ThunderWolves444444
Pine Crest SchoolPine Crest School Panthers454545
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers 1373737
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers 2383838
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders 1393939
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders 2404040
Riverview High SchoolRiverview High School JV343434
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders333333
Sarasota High SchoolSarasota High School Sailors313131
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School Chargers353535
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS474747
School / Team SkipperCrew
Dunedin High School Dunedin High School Jacob Armitage '20 [1-2]
Kailina Suminski '23 [3]		 Tony Perez '23 [1-2]
Caitlyn Pagano '22 [3]
Developing All Stars William Hesting '22 [1-2]
Colin Colbert '23 [3]		 Caitlyn Pagano '22 [1-2]
Jacob Armitage '20 [3]
Eustis High School Eustis High School No Show No Show
Eustis No Show No Show
Fort Myers High School Fort Myers High School Bo Dwyer '22 Morgan Gahan '22
Green Wave Zachary Syska '22 Arianna Barnello '21
Gulf Coast High School Gulf Coast High School Carson Page '23 Jaedyn Procacci '20
Varsity Patrick Igoe '22 Josh Amendola '21
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Ian Iles-Lee '23 Patrick Parker '21
Panthers 1 Joseph Toro '22 Blake Wilson '20
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Mathew Pittman '22 Alexandra Crow '22
Panthers 2 Ava Edinger '22 Johnathan Pittman '22
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Cole Degner '21 Emma Brazee '23
Falcons William Kulas '24 [1-2]
Austin Peterson '23 [3]		 Elizabeth Wire '24 [1-2]
MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Esbeydy Dumas '20 Gabriel Yrjola '22
Panthers Gabriel Yrjola '22 Esbeydy Dumas '20
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy Zander Pestrichelli '22 Charlotte Sample '23
ThunderWolves Campbell Taylor '22 Nico Raffinengo '24
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Jake Burgess '23 [1-2]
Max Maister '23 [3]		 William Burke '23 [1-2]
Panthers Sean Anagnoste '23 Daniel Wilentz '23
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Olivia Drulard '23 Eva Gonzalez '22
Raiders 1 Jackson Mcaliley '23 Boris Bialer '22
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School David Dubovy '22 Eva Bricker '23
Raiders 2 Gideon Shaked '22 [1-3] Palmer Lykes '21 [1-2]
Aidan Murphy '21 [3]
Riverview High School Riverview High School Micheal Childers '23 Chelsea Moore '21
JV Micheal Childers '23 Chelsea Moore '21
Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Gabe Mirman '23 Byron Mccobb '23
Sailors Luke King '21 Ashton Graber '22
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School No Show No Show
Chargers No Show No Show
South Fork High School South Fork High School Siena Pollis '22 Brayden Fender '22
SF BULLDOGS Brayden Fender '22 Siena Pollis '22
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Mary (Lucy) Meagher '23 Sophia St. Romain '22
Raiders Kevin Gosselin '23 Daniel Neville '21

Conditions — 12/07/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 48%  ·  Pressure 1020.9 hPa

Temperature

69°F
↑ 77°F   ↓ 52°F
Feels like 67°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.4 kn
avg  ·  max 4.4 kn
Gusts to 12.4 kn
From NE (49°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover60% Sunshine6.3 hrs Humidity48% Pressure1020.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Manatee/Pine View/Riverview/Sarasota: a typical day (−0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.11
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.13 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Manatee/Pine View/Riverview/Sarasota by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Manatee/Pine View/Riverview/Sarasota: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →