Traverse City Cornhole Regatta

HostGrand Traverse Yacht Club
Date09/28/2019
TypePromotional
BoatC420
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Black River Public School	Mixed 2	13	16	29
2	Forest Hills Northern High School	Mixed	53	7	60
3	Mercy University of Detroit Jesuit	MUDJ	33	28	61
4	Black River Public School	Mixed 1	9	55	64
5	Traverse City Central	TCC Mixed	40	26	66
6	Traverse City West	TCW Varsity Green	48	29	77
7	Grand Haven High School	GH Blue Mixed	35	47	82
8	Mercy University of Detroit Jesuit	Detroit MIXED	31	54	85
9	Grand Rapids Christian High School	Fast Eagles	39	59	98
10	St. Francis High School Traverse City	TCSF Mixed	61	49	110
11	East Grand Rapids	EGR Varsity Gold	48	75	123
12	Traverse City Central	TCC Varsity Gold	63	60	123
13	Holland Christian High School	Maroons	73	51	124

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
Black River Public School	Mixed 1	1	4	1	1	1	1	9	Christopher Heideman '20 [1-6] Carson Dobb '24 [1-2, 5-6] Tj Vandermeer '25 [3-4]
Black River Public School	Mixed 2	2	2	2	3	2	2	13	Lj Nykamp '25 Kiarra Bracelly '25
Mercy University of Detroit Jesuit	Detroit MIXED	3	1	3	2	11	11	31	Nick Myneni '22 Brent Armstrong '25
Mercy University of Detroit Jesuit	MUDJ	10	6	5	4	5	3	33	Marina Lamphier '20 Katie Ruffing '21
Grand Haven High School	GH Blue Mixed	4	3	9	5	10	4	35	Derek Hartman '22 Corbin Houseman '23
Grand Rapids Christian High School	Fast Eagles	8	10	6	6	4	5	39	Owen Steger '21 Ethen Dendulk '20
Traverse City Central	TCC Mixed	7	5	4	13	3	8	40	Kai Oslund Dolan '20 Gabe Maday '22
East Grand Rapids	EGR Varsity Gold	6	11	10	8	6	7	48	Ben Walters '20 Kelly Couvreur '22
Traverse City West	TCW Varsity Green	11	7	8	9	7	6	48	Bryce Wilmoth '20 Nic Zenner '21
Forest Hills Northern High School	Mixed	5	9	11	11	8	9	53	Jackson Macnaughton '22 Owen Macnaughton '24
St. Francis High School Traverse City	TCSF Mixed	9	8	13	12	9	10	61	Luke Adams '23 [1-6] Maggie Puetz '24 [1-2, 5-6] Lily Edson '24 [3-4]
Traverse City Central	TCC Varsity Gold	12	13	7	7	12	12	63	Ryan Schmidt '21 Cole Harding '23
Holland Christian High School	Maroons	13	12	12	10	13	13	73	Lily Johnson '23 [1-6] Kylie Smits '20 [1-2, 5-6] Madison Sinclair '20 [3-4]

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
Forest Hills Northern High School	Mixed	1	1	2	1	1	1	7	Camden Seymour '22 Brennan Seymour '25
Black River Public School	Mixed 2	5	3	1	2	2	3	16	Duncan Elmer '21 [1-6] Jonas Pearson '25 [1-2, 5-6] Hanan Lomax '25 [3-4]
Traverse City Central	TCC Mixed	8	7	3	3	3	2	26	Hunter Hawes '21 Colin Gordon '21
Mercy University of Detroit Jesuit	MUDJ	3	4	4	8	5	4	28	Gavin Lamphier '22 Nathan Green '22
Traverse City West	TCW Varsity Green	4	2	5	4	7	7	29	Andrew Godmer '22 Holden Trapp '25
Grand Haven High School	GH Blue Mixed	7	11	7	7	9	6	47	Olivia Vink '23 Caleb Keenan '25
St. Francis High School Traverse City	TCSF Mixed	6	6	11	10	6	10	49	Case Brooks '23 Trey Harding '23
Holland Christian High School	Maroons	11	5	9	9	8	9	51	Lauren Siegers '21 [1-6] Phoebe Andes '22 [1-2, 5-6] Violet Altena '23 [3-4]
Mercy University of Detroit Jesuit	Detroit MIXED	2	10	8	6	DNF	DNS	54	Gavin Graetz '24 Rodrigo Flores '24
Black River Public School	Mixed 1	9	12	DSQ	11	4	5	55	Harmon Vandenberg '22 Aiden Hollebeek '21
Grand Rapids Christian High School	Fast Eagles	10	13	10	5	10	11	59	Whitaker Oosterman '21 Preston Lewis '20
Traverse City Central	TCC Varsity Gold	12	8	6	12	DNF	8	60	Cj Enocksen '24 [1-6] Jr Bergerson '24 [1-5] Lily Edson '24 [6]
East Grand Rapids	EGR Varsity Gold	13	9	12	13	DNF	DNS	75	Ethan Woudwyk '22 Matthew Mauren '20

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.090+0.09

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A
Black River Public School Mixed 1	16	16	18	18	20	20
Black River Public School Mixed 2	17	17	19	19	21	21
East Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Gold	18	18	20	20	7	7
Forest Hills Northern High School Mixed	19	19	21	21	8	8
Grand Haven High School GH Blue Mixed	20	20	7	7	9	9
Grand Rapids Christian High School Fast Eagles	21	21	8	8	10	10
Holland Christian High School Maroons	7	7	9	9	11	11
Mercy University of Detroit Jesuit Detroit MIXED	9	9	11	11	1	1
Mercy University of Detroit Jesuit MUDJ	8	8	10	10	12	12
St. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Mixed	10	10	12	12	16	16
Traverse City Central TCC Mixed	12	12	16	16	18	18
Traverse City Central TCC Varsity Gold	11	11	1	1	17	17
Traverse City West TCW Varsity Green	1	1	17	17	19	19

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B
Black River Public School Mixed 1	17	17	19	19	21	21
Black River Public School Mixed 2	18	18	20	20	7	7
East Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Gold	19	19	21	21	8	8
Forest Hills Northern High School Mixed	20	20	7	7	9	9
Grand Haven High School GH Blue Mixed	21	21	8	8	10	10
Grand Rapids Christian High School Fast Eagles	7	7	9	9	11	11
Holland Christian High School Maroons	8	8	10	10	12	12
Mercy University of Detroit Jesuit Detroit MIXED	10	10	12	12	16	16
Mercy University of Detroit Jesuit MUDJ	9	9	11	11	1	1
St. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Mixed	11	11	1	1	17	17
Traverse City Central TCC Mixed	1	1	17	17	19	19
Traverse City Central TCC Varsity Gold	12	12	16	16	18	18
Traverse City West TCW Varsity Green	16	16	18	18	20	20

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Black River Public School	Christopher Heideman '20 [1-6]	Carson Dobb '24 [1-2, 5-6] Tj Vandermeer '25 [3-4]
Mixed 1	Harmon Vandenberg '22	Aiden Hollebeek '21
Black River Public School	Lj Nykamp '25	Kiarra Bracelly '25
Mixed 2	Duncan Elmer '21 [1-6]	Jonas Pearson '25 [1-2, 5-6] Hanan Lomax '25 [3-4]
East Grand Rapids	Ben Walters '20	Kelly Couvreur '22
EGR Varsity Gold	Ethan Woudwyk '22	Matthew Mauren '20
Forest Hills Northern High School	Jackson Macnaughton '22	Owen Macnaughton '24
Mixed	Camden Seymour '22	Brennan Seymour '25
Grand Haven High School	Derek Hartman '22	Corbin Houseman '23
GH Blue Mixed	Olivia Vink '23	Caleb Keenan '25
Grand Rapids Christian High School	Owen Steger '21	Ethen Dendulk '20
Fast Eagles	Whitaker Oosterman '21	Preston Lewis '20
Holland Christian High School	Lily Johnson '23 [1-6]	Kylie Smits '20 [1-2, 5-6] Madison Sinclair '20 [3-4]
Maroons	Lauren Siegers '21 [1-6]	Phoebe Andes '22 [1-2, 5-6] Violet Altena '23 [3-4]
Mercy University of Detroit Jesuit	Nick Myneni '22	Brent Armstrong '25
Detroit MIXED	Gavin Graetz '24	Rodrigo Flores '24
Mercy University of Detroit Jesuit	Marina Lamphier '20	Katie Ruffing '21
MUDJ	Gavin Lamphier '22	Nathan Green '22
St. Francis High School Traverse City	Luke Adams '23 [1-6]	Maggie Puetz '24 [1-2, 5-6] Lily Edson '24 [3-4]
TCSF Mixed	Case Brooks '23	Trey Harding '23
Traverse City Central	Kai Oslund Dolan '20	Gabe Maday '22
TCC Mixed	Hunter Hawes '21	Colin Gordon '21
Traverse City Central	Ryan Schmidt '21	Cole Harding '23
TCC Varsity Gold	Cj Enocksen '24 [1-6]	Jr Bergerson '24 [1-5] Lily Edson '24 [6]
Traverse City West	Bryce Wilmoth '20	Nic Zenner '21
TCW Varsity Green	Andrew Godmer '22	Holden Trapp '25

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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Traverse City Cornhole Regatta

Division A

Division B

From the notes