Grand Haven High School '22
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.16 (fleet 1.87) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.00 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 5–7 (42%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2017 | 1 | 5–7 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 1 graded regattas (12 matches) the record is 5–7 against 3.4 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+1.6). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 1 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-04-22 | Spring Lake Team Race | skipper | -0.04 | 0.96 | 5–7 | 3.4 | +1.00 | 0.9 | 21% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| TC Tier 3 14 mayo | Skipper | A | 3 | 2.7 | 2.05 |
| TC Tier 3 | Skipper | A | 5 | 3.8 | 1.05 |
| MBJA Tulip Regatta | Skipper | A | 2 | 5.0 | 2.04 |
| Fall 2020 Team page Season | |||||
| Turkey Leg 2020 | Skipper | A | 8 | 2.8 | 2.18 |
| Fall 2019 Team page Season | |||||
| Turkey Leg Regatta | Skipper | A | 3 | 9.0 | 1.54 |
| Traverse City Cornhole Regatta | Skipper | A | 6 | 5.8 | 0.96 |
| Sunday Funday Regatta | Skipper | A | 6 | 6.5 | 1.24 |
| Banks Blackwell Regatta | Skipper | B | 5 | 5.0 | 1.73 |
| Fall 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| Turkey Leg Regatta | Skipper | A | 6 | 20.0 | -0.91 |
| St. Joseph Invite | Skipper | B | 6 | 2.7 | 1.57 |
| PYC Halloween Regatta DCDS | Skipper | B | 6 | 11.3 | 0.72 |
| Spring 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| Tulip Regatta | Skipper | A | 12 | 7.8 | -0.17 |
| Culver Spring Regatta | Skipper | B | 3 | 5.3 | 1.33 |
| Fall 2017 Team page Season | |||||
| Turkey Leg Regatta | Skipper | B | 7 | 8.7 | 1.22 |
| October Fun Regatta | Crew | B | 2 | 3.5 | — |
| Coast Guard City Classic Regatta | Skipper | B | 6 | 16.0 | -1.37 |
| Spring 2017 Team page Season | |||||
| Tulip Regatta | Skipper | B | 3 | 9.0 | -2.24 |
| Spring Lake Team Race | Skipper | TR | — | — | — |
| Leukemia Cup | Skipper | B | 4 | 14.2 | 0.34 |
| Fall 2016 Team page Season | |||||
| Pumpkin Regatta | Skipper | B | 8 | 10.1 | 0.16 |
| DCDS Halloween Regatta | Skipper | B | 8 | 12.8 | 0.22 |
| Banks Blackwell | Skipper | A | 2 | 29.0 | -2.98 |
| 2016 Turkey Leg Regatta | Skipper | A | 7 | 15.3 | 0.63 |
| Fall 2015 Team page Season | |||||
| Coast Guard City Classic | Crew | B | 2 | 12.0 | — |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
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