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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Grosse Pointe North High School Grosse Pointe North High School Pendragon 13 6 19
2 Grosse Pointe North High School Grosse Pointe North High School Norsemen 13 29 42
3 Black River Public School Black River Public School Mixed 32 15 47
4 Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School White (Mixed) 36 28 64
5 Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Gold 30 44 74
6 Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Warriors Black 46 30 76
7 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED 22 60 82
8 Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Yellow (Mixed) 18 65 83
9 Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue 39 50 89
10 Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Gold Mixed 44 57 101
11 Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red Mixed 56 46 102
12 Bloomfield Hills High School Bloomfield Hills High School Black Hawks 55 49 104
13 Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Black Mixed 59 51 110
14 Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School White 55 57 112
15 Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Grey 65 56 121
16 Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Blue Mixed 67 59 126
17 West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School WB Green 64 67 131
18 Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Blue 81 56 137
19 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Bluuuuuuuuuuue 115 22 137
20 Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Warriors Orange 82 74 156
21 West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School WB White 86 92 178
22 Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Cranes 117 94 211
23 St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City St Francis Gladiator 86 128 214
24 Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Green 87 128 215
25 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Gold 128 93 221
26 Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook White 99 128 227
27 Traverse City Central Traverse City Central Gold 99 128 227
28 Traverse City Central Traverse City Central Black 101 128 229
29 St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City St Francis B 112 128 240
30 West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED 114 128 242
31 Bloomfield Hills High School Bloomfield Hills High School MIXED 128 117 245
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Grosse Pointe North High School Grosse Pointe North High School Norsemen 1 7 3 2 13 John Huskin '18
John Godoshian '18
Grosse Pointe North High School Grosse Pointe North High School Pendragon 2 1 6 4 13 Charlie Ramsdell '20 [1-4]
Teddy Prokop '19 [1-2]
Rj Sables '20 [3-4]
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Yellow (Mixed) 6 4 7 1 18 Michael Kirkman '21
Blake Stackpoole '18
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED 9 5 1 7 22 Luuk Schmit '18
Amanda Williams '17
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Gold 5 8 11 6 30 Christiana Scheibner '19
Reis Dempsey '19
Black River Public School Black River Public School Mixed 4 2 14 12 32 Jack Hemmelgarn '19 [1-4]
Christopher Heideman '20 [1-2]
Caitlin Derby '23 [3-4]
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School White (Mixed) 10 15 2 9 36 Quinn Cassidy '23
Doug Cowan '22
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue 19 11 4 5 39 Lucas Bellamy '20
Drew Clutterbuck '19
Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Gold Mixed 3 RDG 10 20 44 Simon Furton '21
Ethan Walburg '19
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Warriors Black 8 12 12 14 46 Preston Carey '17 [1-4]
Nathan Marsdens Jr. '19 [1-2]
Zac Brown '20 [3-4]
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School White 20 14 8 13 55 Ashley Strong '20 [1-4]
Colin Hexter '23 [1-2]
Dominic Dulac '20 [3-4]
Bloomfield Hills High School Bloomfield Hills High School Black Hawks DNF 3 9 11 55 Adrianna Lee '18
Jacki Spiegel '18
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red Mixed 7 23 16 10 56 Zoe Czadzeck '20
Ryan Navarre '19
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Black Mixed 14 10 OCS 3 59 Noah Wolters '19
Griffin Phares '21
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School WB Green DNF 6 18 8 64 Jack Bull '19 [1-4]
Michelle Chumiecki '19 [1]
Isabel Dziuba '19 [2-4]
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Grey DNF 13 5 15 65 Claire Deblanc '20
Caden Realini '19
Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Blue Mixed 11 16 21 19 67 Frank Frisinger '19
Grace Kucharski '19
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Blue DNF 17 15 17 81 Allison Glover '17
Josie Mcroberts '20
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Warriors Orange DNF 9 20 21 82 Thomas Hamill '17 [1-4]
Patrick Monahan '17 [1-2]
Adam Sellers '17 [3-4]
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School WB White 17 18 19 DNS 86 Nolan Beaty '19
Bryce Vandenavond '19
St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City St Francis Gladiator 21 DNF 17 16 86 Amanda Dow '18
Becca Roche '18
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Green DNF 24 13 18 87 Jimmy Chen '18
Vanessa Su '20
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook White 13 22 DNS DNS 99 Matthew Tan '20
Lauren Winegarden '20
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central Gold 15 20 DNS DNS 99 Maddie Zimmerman '17 [1-2]
No Show [3-4]
Olivia Wilson '18 [1-2]
No Show [3-4]
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central Black 12 25 DNS DNS 101 Caelan Wright '19 [1-2]
No Show [3-4]
Charles Kellogg '19 [1-2]
No Show [3-4]
St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City St Francis B 16 DNF DNS DNS 112 Jamie Mcclellan '17 [1-2]
No Show [3-4]
Celeste Anderson '17 [1-2]
No Show [3-4]
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED 18 DNF DNS DNS 114 Matt Sullivan '18
Mitchell Moulton '18
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Bluuuuuuuuuuue DNF 19 DNS DNS 115 Liz Obermaier '17
Alexandra Soo '18
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Cranes DNF 21 DNS DNS 117 Susanna Wu '20
Guy Busamrong '20
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Gold DNF DNF DNS DNS 128 Connagh Rowley '18
Michael Williams '20
Bloomfield Hills High School Bloomfield Hills High School MIXED DNF DNF DNS DNS 128 Megan O'Gorman '18
Anna Russo '20
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Grosse Pointe North High School Grosse Pointe North High School Pendragon 2 1 2 1 6 Lindsey Ramsdell '18
Ellie Frame '18
Black River Public School Black River Public School Mixed 9 2 1 3 15 Eden Nykamp '20
Blake Vander Kuyl '19
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Bluuuuuuuuuuue 3 7 4 8 22 Jacob Mackey '17
Lukas Denner '18
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School White (Mixed) 8 8 3 9 28 Ellie Groustra '22
Jacob Orhan '17
Grosse Pointe North High School Grosse Pointe North High School Norsemen 1 3 18 RDG 29 Mathew Moores '17 [1-4]
Adam Weinkauf '18 [1-2]
Mclellan '19 [3-4]
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Warriors Black 5 14 6 5 30 Alek Roehl '19
Madison Paulus '20
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Gold 6 10 8 20 44 Eva Rossell '18
Carly Orhan '19
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red Mixed 16 15 11 4 46 Ryan Peterson '20 [1-2]
Bryson Hough '21 [3-4]
Bryson Hough '21 [1-2]
Ryan Peterson '20 [3-4]
Bloomfield Hills High School Bloomfield Hills High School Black Hawks 7 20 16 6 49 Jakob Kuipers '18
Emily Gilson '18
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue 4 4 DSQ 10 50 Eva Paschke '20
Taft Peck '18
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Black Mixed 14 12 13 12 51 Kameron Norwood '19
Zak Colvin '19
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Grey 10 9 20 17 56 Preston Johnson '19
Cole Hoffman '19
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Blue 15 DNF 7 2 56 Calvi Teste '20
Lizzie Balsam '18
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School White 11 5 9 DSQ 57 Emma Turner '19
Noah Karcher '18
Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Gold Mixed 19 17 5 16 57 Derek Hartman '22
Charlie Navarre '21
Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Blue Mixed 12 13 21 13 59 Mason Milligan '21
Noah Schueler '19
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED 17 19 17 7 60 Brian Liu '18
Anthony Wang '18
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Yellow (Mixed) 13 18 19 15 65 Charlie Gmeiner '23
Anna Carron '21
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School WB Green DNF 6 10 19 67 Nicole Millerman '19
Michelle Chumiecki '19
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Warriors Orange DNF 16 15 11 74 Jon Crowe '18 [1-4]
Lauren Scolari '20 [1-2]
Christopher Sellers '20 [3-4]
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School WB White DNF DNF 14 14 92 Matthew Elliott '20
Natalia Luna '20
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Gold 18 11 DNS DNS 93 Ethan Lee '19
Lorraine Yuen '18
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Cranes DNF DNF 12 18 94 Adrian Stone '20
Bill Fan '20
Bloomfield Hills High School Bloomfield Hills High School MIXED DNF DNF DNS 21 117 Camilla Russo '18
Clara Babbitt '19
St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City St Francis Gladiator DNF DNF DNS DNS 128 No Show
No Show
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Green DNF DNF DNS DNS 128 Amy Phenjati '18
Bonnie Zhu '20
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook White DNF DNF DNS DNS 128 Katie Wei '18
Mitchell Moulton '18
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central Gold DNF DNF DNS DNS 128 Fielding Schaefer '18 [1-2]
No Show [3-4]
Apollo Schaefer '20 [1-2]
No Show [3-4]
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central Black DNF DNF DNS DNS 128 Hunter Hawes '21 [1-2]
No Show [3-4]
Drew Snyder '19 [1-2]
No Show [3-4]
St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City St Francis B DNF DNF DNS DNS 128 No Show
No Show
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED DNF DNF DNS DNS 128 Jake Elsen '21
Anthony Dziuba '21
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Black River Public SchoolBlack River Public School Mixed1133
Bloomfield Hills High SchoolBloomfield Hills High School Black Hawks2244
Bloomfield Hills High SchoolBloomfield Hills High School MIXED3355
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MIBrother Rice/Marian High School - MI Warriors Black4466
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MIBrother Rice/Marian High School - MI Warriors Orange5577
Cranbrook KingswoodCranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Blue6688
Cranbrook KingswoodCranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Cranes991111
Cranbrook KingswoodCranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Green7799
Cranbrook KingswoodCranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook White881010
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School Bluuuuuuuuuuue10101212
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School Gold11111313
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School MIXED12121414
Grand Haven High SchoolGrand Haven High School GH Blue Mixed13131515
Grand Haven High SchoolGrand Haven High School GH Gold Mixed14141616
Grosse Pointe North High SchoolGrosse Pointe North High School Norsemen15151717
Grosse Pointe North High SchoolGrosse Pointe North High School Pendragon16161818
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Blue19192121
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Gold17171919
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School White18182020
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School White (Mixed)20202222
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Yellow (Mixed)21212323
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Black Mixed24242626
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Grey23232525
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Red Mixed22222424
St. Francis High School Traverse CitySt. Francis High School Traverse City St Francis B26262828
St. Francis High School Traverse CitySt. Francis High School Traverse City St Francis Gladiator25252727
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central Black28283030
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central Gold27272929
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School MIXED313122
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School WB Green29293131
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School WB White303011

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Black River Public SchoolBlack River Public School Mixed2244
Bloomfield Hills High SchoolBloomfield Hills High School Black Hawks3355
Bloomfield Hills High SchoolBloomfield Hills High School MIXED4466
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MIBrother Rice/Marian High School - MI Warriors Black5577
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MIBrother Rice/Marian High School - MI Warriors Orange6688
Cranbrook KingswoodCranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Blue7799
Cranbrook KingswoodCranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Cranes10101212
Cranbrook KingswoodCranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Green881010
Cranbrook KingswoodCranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook White991111
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School Bluuuuuuuuuuue11111313
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School Gold12121414
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School MIXED13131515
Grand Haven High SchoolGrand Haven High School GH Blue Mixed14141616
Grand Haven High SchoolGrand Haven High School GH Gold Mixed15151717
Grosse Pointe North High SchoolGrosse Pointe North High School Norsemen16161818
Grosse Pointe North High SchoolGrosse Pointe North High School Pendragon17171919
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Blue20202222
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Gold18182020
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School White19192121
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School White (Mixed)21212323
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Yellow (Mixed)22222424
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Black Mixed25252727
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Grey24242626
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Red Mixed23232525
St. Francis High School Traverse CitySt. Francis High School Traverse City St Francis B27272929
St. Francis High School Traverse CitySt. Francis High School Traverse City St Francis Gladiator26262828
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central Black29293131
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central Gold28283030
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School MIXED1133
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School WB Green303011
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School WB White313122
School / Team SkipperCrew
Black River Public School Black River Public School Jack Hemmelgarn '19 [1-4] Christopher Heideman '20 [1-2]
Caitlin Derby '23 [3-4]
Mixed Eden Nykamp '20 Blake Vander Kuyl '19
Bloomfield Hills High School Bloomfield Hills High School Adrianna Lee '18 Jacki Spiegel '18
Black Hawks Jakob Kuipers '18 Emily Gilson '18
Bloomfield Hills High School Bloomfield Hills High School Megan O'Gorman '18 Anna Russo '20
MIXED Camilla Russo '18 Clara Babbitt '19
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Preston Carey '17 [1-4] Nathan Marsdens Jr. '19 [1-2]
Zac Brown '20 [3-4]
Warriors Black Alek Roehl '19 Madison Paulus '20
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Thomas Hamill '17 [1-4] Patrick Monahan '17 [1-2]
Adam Sellers '17 [3-4]
Warriors Orange Jon Crowe '18 [1-4] Lauren Scolari '20 [1-2]
Christopher Sellers '20 [3-4]
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Allison Glover '17 Josie Mcroberts '20
Cranbrook Blue Calvi Teste '20 Lizzie Balsam '18
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Susanna Wu '20 Guy Busamrong '20
Cranbrook Cranes Adrian Stone '20 Bill Fan '20
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Jimmy Chen '18 Vanessa Su '20
Cranbrook Green Amy Phenjati '18 Bonnie Zhu '20
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Matthew Tan '20 Lauren Winegarden '20
Cranbrook White Katie Wei '18 Mitchell Moulton '18
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Liz Obermaier '17 Alexandra Soo '18
Bluuuuuuuuuuue Jacob Mackey '17 Lukas Denner '18
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Connagh Rowley '18 Michael Williams '20
Gold Ethan Lee '19 Lorraine Yuen '18
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Luuk Schmit '18 Amanda Williams '17
MIXED Brian Liu '18 Anthony Wang '18
Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School Frank Frisinger '19 Grace Kucharski '19
GH Blue Mixed Mason Milligan '21 Noah Schueler '19
Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School Simon Furton '21 Ethan Walburg '19
GH Gold Mixed Derek Hartman '22 Charlie Navarre '21
Grosse Pointe North High School Grosse Pointe North High School John Huskin '18 John Godoshian '18
Norsemen Mathew Moores '17 [1-4] Adam Weinkauf '18 [1-2]
Mclellan '19 [3-4]
Grosse Pointe North High School Grosse Pointe North High School Charlie Ramsdell '20 [1-4] Teddy Prokop '19 [1-2]
Rj Sables '20 [3-4]
Pendragon Lindsey Ramsdell '18 Ellie Frame '18
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Lucas Bellamy '20 Drew Clutterbuck '19
Blue Eva Paschke '20 Taft Peck '18
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Christiana Scheibner '19 Reis Dempsey '19
Gold Eva Rossell '18 Carly Orhan '19
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Ashley Strong '20 [1-4] Colin Hexter '23 [1-2]
Dominic Dulac '20 [3-4]
White Emma Turner '19 Noah Karcher '18
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Quinn Cassidy '23 Doug Cowan '22
White (Mixed) Ellie Groustra '22 Jacob Orhan '17
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Michael Kirkman '21 Blake Stackpoole '18
Yellow (Mixed) Charlie Gmeiner '23 Anna Carron '21
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Noah Wolters '19 Griffin Phares '21
Black Mixed Kameron Norwood '19 Zak Colvin '19
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Claire Deblanc '20 Caden Realini '19
Grey Preston Johnson '19 Cole Hoffman '19
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Zoe Czadzeck '20 Ryan Navarre '19
Red Mixed Ryan Peterson '20 [1-2]
Bryson Hough '21 [3-4]		 Bryson Hough '21 [1-2]
Ryan Peterson '20 [3-4]
St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City Jamie Mcclellan '17 [1-2]
No Show [3-4]		 Celeste Anderson '17 [1-2]
No Show [3-4]
St Francis B No Show No Show
St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City Amanda Dow '18 Becca Roche '18
St Francis Gladiator No Show No Show
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central Caelan Wright '19 [1-2]
No Show [3-4]		 Charles Kellogg '19 [1-2]
No Show [3-4]
Black Hunter Hawes '21 [1-2]
No Show [3-4]		 Drew Snyder '19 [1-2]
No Show [3-4]
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central Maddie Zimmerman '17 [1-2]
No Show [3-4]		 Olivia Wilson '18 [1-2]
No Show [3-4]
Gold Fielding Schaefer '18 [1-2]
No Show [3-4]		 Apollo Schaefer '20 [1-2]
No Show [3-4]
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School Matt Sullivan '18 Mitchell Moulton '18
MIXED Jake Elsen '21 Anthony Dziuba '21
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School Jack Bull '19 [1-4] Michelle Chumiecki '19 [1]
Isabel Dziuba '19 [2-4]
WB Green Nicole Millerman '19 Michelle Chumiecki '19
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School Nolan Beaty '19 Bryce Vandenavond '19
WB White Matthew Elliott '20 Natalia Luna '20

Conditions — 05/20/2017 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 84%  ·  Pressure 1015.8 hPa

Temperature

77°F
↑ 82°F   ↓ 74°F
Feels like 83°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.1 kn
avg  ·  max 11.2 kn
Gusts to 24.1 kn
From SSE (148°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover86% Sunshine6.2 hrs Humidity84% Pressure1015.8 hPa Rain0.26 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Brother Rice - MI: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.26 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Brother Rice - MI by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Brother Rice - MI: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →