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Turkey Leg Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Gold Mixed 9 10 19
2 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Blue 11 13 24
3 Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red Mixed 13 31 44
4 Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Grey Mixed 12 35 47
5 Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile - Scarlet 32 16 48
6 Holland Christian High School Holland Christian High School Mixed 1 17 35 52
7 Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue 33 20 53
8 Black River Public School Black River Public School Mixed 30 28 58
9 Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School GI Grey - MIXED 46 13 59
10 Mercy University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy University of Detroit Jesuit MIXED MUDJkins 50 11 61
11 Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Blue Mixed 27 44 71
12 Traverse City West Traverse City West TCW Varsity Green 24 52 76
13 Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Silver Mixed 42 37 79
14 East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing MIXED 42 41 83
15 Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Mixed 1 57 40 97
16 West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Green 56 45 101
17 Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Black Mixed 81 21 102
18 Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Mixed 2 41 67 108
19 St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Mixed 43 69 112
20 Grand Rapids Christian High School Grand Rapids Christian High School Fast Eagles 49 74 123
21 Forest Hills Central High School Forest Hills Central High School Mixed 44 83 127
22 East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Gold 53 76 129
23 Troy High School Troy High School Colts 89 45 134
24 Holland Christian High School Holland Christian High School Mixed 2 60 76 136
25 Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Mixed 3 68 70 138
26 Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School GI White - MIXED 77 65 142
27 Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles white 88 55 143
28 Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles maroon 77 76 153
29 St. Joseph High School St. Joseph High School Bears- Varsity 79 MRP 90 MRP 169 MRP
30 St. Joseph High School St. Joseph High School Bears- Mixed 89 MRP 98 MRP 187 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Gold Mixed 5 2 2 9 Gavin Webster '24
Aidan King '21
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Blue 1 7 3 11 Owen Bannasch '22 [1-2]
Emily Pytell '21 [3]
Emily Pytell '21 [1-2]
Owen Bannasch '22 [3]
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Grey Mixed 8 3 1 12 Bryson Hough '21
Ben Dornbush '22
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red Mixed 2 5 6 13 Zoe Czadzeck '20
Ani Hough '24
Holland Christian High School Holland Christian High School Mixed 1 7 6 4 17 Greta Traver '23
Phoebe Andes '22
Traverse City West Traverse City West TCW Varsity Green 3 11 10 24 Liam Clone '20
Ella Beck '21
Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Blue Mixed 4 12 11 27 Derek Hartman '22
Corbin Houseman '23
Black River Public School Black River Public School Mixed 6 1 23 30 Lj Nykamp '25
Kiarra Bracelly '25
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile - Scarlet 15 8 9 32 Meghan Dieball '20
Kyla Bugarin '20
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue 18 10 5 33 Anna Carron '21
Charlie Gmeiner '23
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Mixed 2 14 15 12 41 Joe Thuente '20
Abigail Paul '20
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Silver Mixed 11 16 15 42 Claire Deblanc '20
Morgan Whitaker '21
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing MIXED 16 18 8 42 Zachary Beyer '21 [1-3]
Keegan Beyer '24 [1-2]
Quentin Beyer '22 [3]
St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Mixed 27 9 7 43 Gabe Maday '22
Ryan Schmidt '21
Forest Hills Central High School Forest Hills Central High School Mixed 9 4 DNS 44 Jackson Macnaughton '22
Nathaniel Hahn '24
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School GI Grey - MIXED 20 13 13 46 Jimmy Souilliere '23
Mallory Dieball '24
Grand Rapids Christian High School Grand Rapids Christian High School Fast Eagles 13 22 14 49 Ben Walters '20 [1-3]
Owen Steger '21 [1-2]
Anthony Betten '22 [3]
Mercy University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy University of Detroit Jesuit MIXED MUDJkins 12 20 18 50 Gavin Lamphier '22 [1-3]
Marina Lamphier '20 [1-2]
Nathan Green '22 [3]
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Gold 19 17 17 53 Gavin Vanmanen '23 [1-3]
Noah Sippel '22 [1-2]
Preston Lewis '20 [3]
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Green 10 19 27 56 Walter Paliga '22
Anthony Dziuba '21
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Mixed 1 21 14 22 57 Case Brooks '23
Cole Harding '23
Holland Christian High School Holland Christian High School Mixed 2 17 23 20 60 Harmon Vandenberg '22
Carson Dobb '24
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Mixed 3 23 24 21 68 Hunter Hawes '21
Colin Gordon '21
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles maroon 25 27 25 77 Genevieve Huber '21
Phoebe Dix '23
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School GI White - MIXED 28 25 24 77 Anna Mcaughey '24
Kellan Knapp '25
St. Joseph High School St. Joseph High School Bears- Varsity 22 21 16 79 MRP Andrew Barazotto '23
Claire Norland '20
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Black Mixed 26 29 26 81 Jack Hubbard '25
Caleb Keenan '25
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles white 29 28 DNF 88 Edwin Becker '21
Parker Kumler '23
St. Joseph High School St. Joseph High School Bears- Mixed 24 26 19 89 MRP Eileen Spiegel '20
Emmet Lorenz '25
Troy High School Troy High School Colts 30 DNF 28 89 Will Hilborn '22
Alaina Favret '21
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Gold Mixed 6 1 3 10 Andrew Michels '21 [1-3]
Quinn Cassidy '23 [1-2]
Eva Paschke '20 [3]
Mercy University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy University of Detroit Jesuit MIXED MUDJkins 4 2 5 11 Marina Lamphier '20
Caden Meyers '22
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Blue 1 6 6 13 Jenna Kozal '20
Madison Paulus '20
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School GI Grey - MIXED 5 4 4 13 Rylan Van De Wettering '20
Vasilious Dionyssopoulos '21
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile - Scarlet 3 3 10 16 Maren Matthews '22
Eva Ottenbreit '22
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue 8 5 BKD 20 Julia Hudson '20 [1-3]
Gwen Hudson '20 [1-2]
Colin Hexter '23 [3]
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Black Mixed 13 7 1 21 Nyle Eggert '24
Ryan Bonney '24
Black River Public School Black River Public School Mixed 11 8 9 28 Alden Gort '22 [1-3]
Jonas Pearson '25 [1-2]
Tj Vandermeer '25 [3]
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red Mixed 14 10 7 31 Charlie Navarre '21
Abby Airo '20
Holland Christian High School Holland Christian High School Mixed 1 12 15 8 35 Amelia Traver '24
Lauren Siegers '21
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Grey Mixed 20 13 2 35 Griffin Phares '21 [1-2]
Ryan Peterson '20 [3]
Andrew Twa '24 [1-2]
Carter Walker '20 [3]
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Silver Mixed 10 12 15 37 Brooklyn Verplank '25 [1-2]
Caroline Henry '23 [3]
Caroline Henry '23 [1-2]
Brooklyn Verplank '25 [3]
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Mixed 1 15 9 16 40 Cj Enocksen '24
Jr Bergerson '24
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing MIXED 2 16 23 41 Michael Kovalchik '22 [1-2]
Michael Cyrul '24 [3]
Michael Cyrul '24 [1-2]
Michael Kovalchik '22 [3]
Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Blue Mixed 16 17 11 44 Olivia Vink '23
Joshua Hacker '24
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Green 7 19 19 45 Vinny Paliga '24
Brent Armstrong '25
Troy High School Troy High School Colts 21 11 13 45 Joe Mowrey '21
Alexa Warburton '22
Traverse City West Traverse City West TCW Varsity Green 18 20 14 52 Andrew Godmer '22
Nic Zenner '21
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles white 25 18 12 55 Aiden Kress '22
Douglas Rassi '23
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School GI White - MIXED 9 25 DNS 65 Gillian Bellard '25
Sydney Porter '24
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Mixed 2 22 14 DNF 67 Bryce Wilmoth '20
Lucas Rodenroth '23
St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Mixed 30 21 18 69 Luke Kleinrichert '20
Trey Harding '23
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Mixed 3 17 22 DNF 70 Luke Adams '23
Sage Brown '22
Grand Rapids Christian High School Grand Rapids Christian High School Fast Eagles 26 28 20 74 Alex Boville '22 [1-3]
Ethen Dendulk '20 [1-2]
Owen Steger '21 [3]
Holland Christian High School Holland Christian High School Mixed 2 27 24 25 76 Aiden Hollebeek '21
Hanan Lomax '25
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles maroon 28 DNF 17 76 Francis Fruitkin '22
Sadie Barrett '23
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Gold 29 26 21 76 Kelly Couvreur '22 [1-2]
Noah Sippel '22 [3]
Henry Sippel '22 [1-2]
Forest Hills Central High School Forest Hills Central High School Mixed 23 29 DNS 83 Liam Fox '24
Greyson Ripmaster '24
St. Joseph High School St. Joseph High School Bears- Varsity 19 27 24 90 MRP Cole Riedel '20
Dylan Marzke '20
St. Joseph High School St. Joseph High School Bears- Mixed 24 23 DNS 98 MRP Jack Hirsh '23
John Norland '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Black River Public SchoolBlack River Public School Mixed113
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles maroon224
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles white33
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School MIXED Blue44
East Grand RapidsEast Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Gold7
East Lansing High SchoolEast Lansing High School East Lansing MIXED18
Forest Hills Central High SchoolForest Hills Central High School Mixed7719
Grand Haven High SchoolGrand Haven High School GH Blue Mixed181820
Grand Rapids Christian High SchoolGrand Rapids Christian High School Fast Eagles191921
Grosse Ile High SchoolGrosse Ile High School GI Grey - MIXED212127
Grosse Ile High SchoolGrosse Ile High School GI White - MIXED222226
Grosse Ile High SchoolGrosse Ile High School Grosse Ile - Scarlet202022
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Blue2727401
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Gold Mixed2626402
Holland Christian High SchoolHolland Christian High School Mixed 1401401403
Holland Christian High SchoolHolland Christian High School Mixed 2402402404
Mercy University of Detroit JesuitMercy University of Detroit Jesuit MIXED MUDJkins403403405
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Black Mixed407407
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Grey Mixed405405407
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Red Mixed404404406
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Silver Mixed406406408
St. Francis High School Traverse CitySt. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Mixed408408
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central TCC Mixed 35588
Traverse City WestTraverse City West TCW Varsity Green13736
Troy High SchoolTroy High School Colts558855881
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School MIXED Green13736137362

Division B

Team1B2B3B
Black River Public SchoolBlack River Public School Mixed224
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles maroon33
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles white44
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School MIXED Blue7
East Grand RapidsEast Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Gold18
East Lansing High SchoolEast Lansing High School East Lansing MIXED7719
Forest Hills Central High SchoolForest Hills Central High School Mixed181820
Grand Haven High SchoolGrand Haven High School GH Blue Mixed191921
Grand Rapids Christian High SchoolGrand Rapids Christian High School Fast Eagles202022
Grosse Ile High SchoolGrosse Ile High School GI Grey - MIXED222226
Grosse Ile High SchoolGrosse Ile High School GI White - MIXED2727401
Grosse Ile High SchoolGrosse Ile High School Grosse Ile - Scarlet212127
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Blue2626402
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Gold Mixed401401403
Holland Christian High SchoolHolland Christian High School Mixed 1402402404
Holland Christian High SchoolHolland Christian High School Mixed 2403403405
Mercy University of Detroit JesuitMercy University of Detroit Jesuit MIXED MUDJkins404404406
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Black Mixed408408
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Grey Mixed406406408
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Red Mixed405405407
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Silver Mixed407407
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central TCC Mixed 25588
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central TCC Mixed 313736
Traverse City WestTraverse City West TCW Varsity Green558855881
Troy High SchoolTroy High School Colts13736137362
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School MIXED Green113
School / Team SkipperCrew
Black River Public School Black River Public School Lj Nykamp '25 Kiarra Bracelly '25
Mixed Alden Gort '22 [1-3] Jonas Pearson '25 [1-2]
Tj Vandermeer '25 [3]
Culver Academies Culver Academies Genevieve Huber '21 Phoebe Dix '23
Eagles maroon Francis Fruitkin '22 Sadie Barrett '23
Culver Academies Culver Academies Edwin Becker '21 Parker Kumler '23
Eagles white Aiden Kress '22 Douglas Rassi '23
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Owen Bannasch '22 [1-2]
Emily Pytell '21 [3]		 Emily Pytell '21 [1-2]
Owen Bannasch '22 [3]
MIXED Blue Jenna Kozal '20 Madison Paulus '20
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids Gavin Vanmanen '23 [1-3] Noah Sippel '22 [1-2]
Preston Lewis '20 [3]
EGR Varsity Gold Kelly Couvreur '22 [1-2]
Noah Sippel '22 [3]		 Henry Sippel '22 [1-2]
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School Zachary Beyer '21 [1-3] Keegan Beyer '24 [1-2]
Quentin Beyer '22 [3]
East Lansing MIXED Michael Kovalchik '22 [1-2]
Michael Cyrul '24 [3]		 Michael Cyrul '24 [1-2]
Michael Kovalchik '22 [3]
Forest Hills Central High School Forest Hills Central High School Jackson Macnaughton '22 Nathaniel Hahn '24
Mixed Liam Fox '24 Greyson Ripmaster '24
Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School Derek Hartman '22 Corbin Houseman '23
GH Blue Mixed Olivia Vink '23 Joshua Hacker '24
Grand Rapids Christian High School Grand Rapids Christian High School Ben Walters '20 [1-3] Owen Steger '21 [1-2]
Anthony Betten '22 [3]
Fast Eagles Alex Boville '22 [1-3] Ethen Dendulk '20 [1-2]
Owen Steger '21 [3]
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School Jimmy Souilliere '23 Mallory Dieball '24
GI Grey - MIXED Rylan Van De Wettering '20 Vasilious Dionyssopoulos '21
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School Anna Mcaughey '24 Kellan Knapp '25
GI White - MIXED Gillian Bellard '25 Sydney Porter '24
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School Meghan Dieball '20 Kyla Bugarin '20
Grosse Ile - Scarlet Maren Matthews '22 Eva Ottenbreit '22
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Anna Carron '21 Charlie Gmeiner '23
Blue Julia Hudson '20 [1-3] Gwen Hudson '20 [1-2]
Colin Hexter '23 [3]
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Gavin Webster '24 Aidan King '21
Gold Mixed Andrew Michels '21 [1-3] Quinn Cassidy '23 [1-2]
Eva Paschke '20 [3]
Holland Christian High School Holland Christian High School Greta Traver '23 Phoebe Andes '22
Mixed 1 Amelia Traver '24 Lauren Siegers '21
Holland Christian High School Holland Christian High School Harmon Vandenberg '22 Carson Dobb '24
Mixed 2 Aiden Hollebeek '21 Hanan Lomax '25
Mercy University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy University of Detroit Jesuit Gavin Lamphier '22 [1-3] Marina Lamphier '20 [1-2]
Nathan Green '22 [3]
MIXED MUDJkins Marina Lamphier '20 Caden Meyers '22
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Jack Hubbard '25 Caleb Keenan '25
Black Mixed Nyle Eggert '24 Ryan Bonney '24
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Bryson Hough '21 Ben Dornbush '22
Grey Mixed Griffin Phares '21 [1-2]
Ryan Peterson '20 [3]		 Andrew Twa '24 [1-2]
Carter Walker '20 [3]
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Zoe Czadzeck '20 Ani Hough '24
Red Mixed Charlie Navarre '21 Abby Airo '20
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Claire Deblanc '20 Morgan Whitaker '21
Silver Mixed Brooklyn Verplank '25 [1-2]
Caroline Henry '23 [3]		 Caroline Henry '23 [1-2]
Brooklyn Verplank '25 [3]
St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City Gabe Maday '22 Ryan Schmidt '21
TCSF Mixed Luke Kleinrichert '20 Trey Harding '23
St. Joseph High School St. Joseph High School Eileen Spiegel '20 Emmet Lorenz '25
Bears- Mixed Jack Hirsh '23 John Norland '23
St. Joseph High School St. Joseph High School Andrew Barazotto '23 Claire Norland '20
Bears- Varsity Cole Riedel '20 Dylan Marzke '20
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central Case Brooks '23 Cole Harding '23
TCC Mixed 1 Cj Enocksen '24 Jr Bergerson '24
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central Joe Thuente '20 Abigail Paul '20
TCC Mixed 2 Bryce Wilmoth '20 Lucas Rodenroth '23
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central Hunter Hawes '21 Colin Gordon '21
TCC Mixed 3 Luke Adams '23 Sage Brown '22
Traverse City West Traverse City West Liam Clone '20 Ella Beck '21
TCW Varsity Green Andrew Godmer '22 Nic Zenner '21
Troy High School Troy High School Will Hilborn '22 Alaina Favret '21
Colts Joe Mowrey '21 Alexa Warburton '22
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School Walter Paliga '22 Anthony Dziuba '21
MIXED Green Vinny Paliga '24 Brent Armstrong '25

Conditions — 11/02/2019 (8am–6pm)

🌨️Slight snow
Humidity 80%  ·  Pressure 1017.4 hPa

Temperature

40°F
↑ 42°F   ↓ 39°F
Feels like 31°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
13.1 kn
avg  ·  max 15.8 kn
Gusts to 31.5 kn
From W (269°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover42% Sunshine9.3 hrs Humidity80% Pressure1017.4 hPa Rain0.08 in Snow0.25 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 15 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Spring Lake: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.07
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.28 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Spring Lake by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Spring Lake: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →