Navigate

October Fun Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue 5 2 7
2 Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Gold 4 5 9
3 Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Blue Mixed 5 7 12
4 St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City St Francis Gladiator 7 10 17
5 Grosse Pointe North High School Grosse Pointe North High School Norsemen 9 15 24
6 West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School Lakers Varsity 16 9 25
7 Grosse IIe High School Grosse IIe High School Grosse Ile - Scarlet 12 16 28
8 Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red 14 15 29
9 Black River Public School Black River Public School Varsity 19 15 34
10 Traverse City Central Traverse City Central Varsity 23 20 43
11 Traverse City West Traverse City West Varsity 24 21 45
12 Grand Rapids Christian High School Grand Rapids Christian High School GRC-SL Mixed 20 26 46
13 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Varsity 27 21 48
SchoolTeam R1 R2 TOT Sailors
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Gold 3 1 4 Christiana Scheibner '19
Drew Clutterbuck '19
Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Blue Mixed 1 4 5 Jacopo Gioanina '18
No Show
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue 2 3 5 Dominic Dulac '20
Gwen Hudson '20
St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City St Francis Gladiator 5 2 7 Mary Frances Myler '18
Gabe Maday '21
Grosse Pointe North High School Grosse Pointe North High School Norsemen 4 5 9 Adam Weinkauf '18
Shay Gualdoni '21
Grosse IIe High School Grosse IIe High School Grosse Ile - Scarlet 6 6 12 Meghan Dieball '20
Michael Kalata '18
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red 7 7 14 Ryan Peterson '20
Abby Airo '20
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School Lakers Varsity 8 8 16 Brian Liu '18
Jacki Spiegel '18
Black River Public School Black River Public School Varsity 10 9 19 Duncan Elmer '21
Alden Gort '22
Grand Rapids Christian High School Grand Rapids Christian High School GRC-SL Mixed 9 11 20 Owen Steger '21
Sarah Colvin '23
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central Varsity 11 12 23 Amelia Burke '18
Caelan Wright '19
Traverse City West Traverse City West Varsity DNF 10 24 Bryce Wilmoth '20
Ian Beck '18
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Varsity DNS 13 27 Nate Marsden '19
Christopher Gilmer-Hill '18
SchoolTeam R1 R2 TOT Sailors
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue 1 1 2 Emma Turner '19
Carly Orhan '19
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Gold 3 2 5 Anna Carron '21
Taft Peck '18
Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Blue Mixed 2 5 7 Simon Furton '21
Derek Hartman '22
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School Lakers Varsity 5 4 9 Megan O'Gorman '18
Isabel Dziuba '19
St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City St Francis Gladiator 4 6 10 Annie Myler '20
No Show
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red 6 9 15 Griffin Phares '21
Zak Colvin '19
Grosse Pointe North High School Grosse Pointe North High School Norsemen 7 8 15 Teddy Prokop '19
Rj Sables '20
Black River Public School Black River Public School Varsity 12 3 15 Greta Traver '23
Seth Weller '19
Grosse IIe High School Grosse IIe High School Grosse Ile - Scarlet 9 7 16 Maren Matthews '22
Faith Gaertner '20
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central Varsity 8 12 20 Kai Oslund Dolan '20
Olivia Wilson '18
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Varsity 10 11 21 Caleb Lewinski '18
Lukas Denner '18
Traverse City West Traverse City West Varsity 11 10 21 Jacob Varner '21
Nic Zenner '21
Grand Rapids Christian High School Grand Rapids Christian High School GRC-SL Mixed 13 13 26 Whitaker Oosterman '21
Ben Walters '20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A
Black River Public SchoolBlack River Public School Varsity22
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School Varsity33
Grand Haven High SchoolGrand Haven High School GH Blue Mixed1717
Grand Rapids Christian High SchoolGrand Rapids Christian High School GRC-SL Mixed55
Grosse IIe High SchoolGrosse IIe High School Grosse Ile - Scarlet1818
Grosse Pointe North High SchoolGrosse Pointe North High School Norsemen77
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Blue1919
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Gold99
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Red1111
St. Francis High School Traverse CitySt. Francis High School Traverse City St Francis Gladiator1212
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central Varsity44
Traverse City WestTraverse City West Varsity66
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School Lakers Varsity88

Division B

Team1B2B
Black River Public SchoolBlack River Public School Varsity1616
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School Varsity1717
Grand Haven High SchoolGrand Haven High School GH Blue Mixed55
Grand Rapids Christian High SchoolGrand Rapids Christian High School GRC-SL Mixed1818
Grosse IIe High SchoolGrosse IIe High School Grosse Ile - Scarlet77
Grosse Pointe North High SchoolGrosse Pointe North High School Norsemen1919
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Blue99
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Gold2020
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Red1212
St. Francis High School Traverse CitySt. Francis High School Traverse City St Francis Gladiator2121
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central Varsity66
Traverse City WestTraverse City West Varsity88
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School Lakers Varsity22

Conditions — 10/15/2017 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 76%  ·  Pressure 1009.0 hPa

Temperature

51°F
↑ 60°F   ↓ 49°F
Feels like 43°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
13.8 kn
avg  ·  max 16.0 kn
Gusts to 35.4 kn
From NNW (336°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover85% Sunshine3.9 hrs Humidity76% Pressure1009.0 hPa Rain0.03 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 16 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Traverse City: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.15
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.51 ± 0.30)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Traverse City by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Traverse City: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →