Sunday Funday Regatta

HostMacatawa Bay Junior Assocation
Date10/20/2019
TypePromotional
BoatC420
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Grosse Pointe South High School	Blue Devils	25	30	55
2	Holland Christian High School	Maroons	36	24	60
3	Grosse Pointe South High School	Yellow (Mixed)	54	7	61
4	Spring Lake High School	Red	43	22	65
5	Black River Public School	Mixed	34	32	66
6	West Ottawa High School	Panthers	24	47	71
7	Grand Haven High School	GH Blue	39	37	76
8	Spring Lake High School	Grey	43	66	109
9	Grosse Ile High School	GI White - MIXED	66	48	114
10	Put-in-Bay High School	Panthers Varsity	82	44	126
11	West Bloomfield High School	MIXED Green	64	71	135
12	Troy High School	Troy Mixed	55	87	142
13	East Grand Rapids	EGR Varsity Gold	58	93	151
14	Detroit Country Day School	Blue	76	75	151
15	Grosse Ile High School	GI Grey - MIXED	86	65	151
16	East Grand Rapids	EGR Varsity Blue	77	92	169
17	Forest Hills Central High School	Mixed	91	99	190
18	St. Joseph High School	Bears- Varsity	94 MRP	99 MRP	193 MRP

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
West Ottawa High School	Panthers	2	1	9	5	3	4	24	Caitlin Derby '22 George Dalman '22
Grosse Pointe South High School	Blue Devils	OCS	2	1	1	1	1	25	Doug Cowan '22 Ryan Hexter '21
Black River Public School	Mixed	1	9	2	2	12	8	34	Lj Nykamp '25 Kiarra Bracelly '25
Holland Christian High School	Maroons	6	8	8	3	6	5	36	Greta Traver '23 Lauren Siegers '21
Grand Haven High School	GH Blue	3	4	11	10	5	6	39	Derek Hartman '22 Corbin Houseman '23
Spring Lake High School	Red	7	10	4	6	7	9	43	Claire Deblanc '20 [1-6] Caleb Keenan '25 [1-4] Ani Hough '24 [5-6]
Spring Lake High School	Grey	9	6	7	8	2	11	43	Nyle Eggert '24 Ben Dornbush '22
Grosse Pointe South High School	Yellow (Mixed)	15	15	6	4	4	10	54	Quentin Beyer '22 Keegan Beyer '24
Troy High School	Troy Mixed	5	5	14	18	10	3	55	Joe Mowrey '21 [1-2, 5-6] Alaina Favret '21 [3-4] Will Hilborn '22 [1-2, 5-6]
East Grand Rapids	EGR Varsity Gold	4	7	5	9	16	17	58	Ella Towner '23 Henry Sippel '22
West Bloomfield High School	MIXED Green	12	13	12	14	11	2	64	Walter Paliga '22 [1-2, 5-6] Vinny Paliga '24 [3-4] Anthony Dziuba '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Grosse Ile High School	GI White - MIXED	13	3	3	16	13	18	66	Jimmy Souilliere '23 Sydney Porter '24
Detroit Country Day School	Blue	14	16	17	7	9	13	76	Liam Hounsell '23 [1-6] Jay Hannah '21 [1-2, 5-6] Moore Mike '20 [3-4]
East Grand Rapids	EGR Varsity Blue	11	11	18	11	14	12	77	Ben Walters '20 Owen Steger '21
Put-in-Bay High School	Panthers Varsity	10	18	15	17	8	14	82	Talii Steidl '21 Alexandra Knauer '20
Grosse Ile High School	GI Grey - MIXED	17	12	13	13	15	16	86	Rylan Van De Wettering '20 Kellan Knapp '25
Forest Hills Central High School	Mixed	16	17	10	15	18	15	91	Liam Fox '24 Alexander Hahn '20
St. Joseph High School	Bears- Varsity	8	14	16	12	17	7	94 MRP	Emmet Lorenz '25 Jack Hirsh '23

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
Grosse Pointe South High School	Yellow (Mixed)	2	1	1	1	1	1	7	Braden Vogel '24 Colin Hexter '23
Spring Lake High School	Red	1	3	4	2	9	3	22	Brooklyn Verplank '25 Abby Airo '20
Holland Christian High School	Maroons	4	2	RDG	5	7	2	24	Amelia Traver '24 [1-6] Lily Johnson '23 [1-2, 5-6] Sydney Lewis '20 [3-4]
Grosse Pointe South High School	Blue Devils	3	6	2	8	2	9	30	Jacob Schaupeter '21 Aidan King '21
Black River Public School	Mixed	8	4	5	6	5	4	32	Alden Gort '22 [1-6] Tj Vandermeer '25 [1-2, 5-6] Elliana Zolper '25 [3-4]
Grand Haven High School	GH Blue	6	8	6	4	6	7	37	Olivia Vink '23 Joshua Hacker '24
Put-in-Bay High School	Panthers Varsity	9	16	3	3	3	10	44	Kate Byrnes '22 Emil Michael '24
West Ottawa High School	Panthers	5	5	16	11	4	6	47	Joshua Elwood '21 Carson Dobb '24
Grosse Ile High School	GI White - MIXED	11	7	8	7	10	5	48	Anna Mcaughey '24 Eva Ottenbreit '22
Grosse Ile High School	GI Grey - MIXED	14	11	7	9	12	12	65	Norton Coulibaly '23 [1-2, 5-6] Gillian Bellard '25 [3-4] Gillian Bellard '25 [1-2, 5-6] Norton Coulibaly '23 [3-4]
Spring Lake High School	Grey	7	12	10	15	11	11	66	Jack Hubbard '25 Fisher Halsey '25
West Bloomfield High School	MIXED Green	10	10	OCS	16	8	8	71	Gavin Swallow '22 [1-2] Caden Meyers '22 [3-4] Luke Strickland '22 [5-6] Caden Meyers '22 [1-2, 5-6] Luke Strickland '22 [3-4]
Detroit Country Day School	Blue	13	13	11	10	15	13	75	Miles Laker '23 Dwight Ellis '20
Troy High School	Troy Mixed	12	17	9	18	17	14	87	Rodrigo Flores '24 Diego Kittinger '24
East Grand Rapids	EGR Varsity Blue	17	14	13	17	13	18	92	Drew Keil '22 Ethan Woudwyk '22
East Grand Rapids	EGR Varsity Gold	15	15	OCS	12	16	16	93	Kelly Couvreur '22 Noah Sippel '22
St. Joseph High School	Bears- Varsity	16	9	12	13	14	15	99 MRP	Tyler Meier '21 Silas Lorenz '23
Forest Hills Central High School	Mixed	18	18	14	14	18	17	99	Alexander Hahn '20 Nathaniel Hahn '24

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.070+0.07

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A
Black River Public School Mixed	1	1	3	3	5	5
Detroit Country Day School Blue	2	2	4	4	6	6
East Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Blue	4	4	6	6	8	8
East Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Gold	3	3	5	5	7	7
Forest Hills Central High School Mixed	5	5	7	7	9	9
Grand Haven High School GH Blue	6	6	8	8	10	10
Grosse Ile High School GI Grey - MIXED	8	8	10	10	12	12
Grosse Ile High School GI White - MIXED	7	7	9	9	11	11
Grosse Pointe South High School Blue Devils	9	9	11	11	13	13
Grosse Pointe South High School Yellow (Mixed)	10	10	12	12	14	14
Holland Christian High School Maroons	11	11	13	13	15	15
Put-in-Bay High School Panthers Varsity	12	12	14	14	16	16
Spring Lake High School Grey	14	14	16	16	18	18
Spring Lake High School Red	13	13	15	15	17	17
St. Joseph High School Bears- Varsity	15	15	17	17	1	1
Troy High School Troy Mixed	16	16	18	18	2	2
West Bloomfield High School MIXED Green	17	17	1	1	3	3
West Ottawa High School Panthers	18	18	2	2	4	4

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B
Black River Public School Mixed	2	2	4	4	6	6
Detroit Country Day School Blue	3	3	5	5	7	7
East Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Blue	5	5	7	7	9	9
East Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Gold	4	4	6	6	8	8
Forest Hills Central High School Mixed	6	6	8	8	10	10
Grand Haven High School GH Blue	7	7	9	9	11	11
Grosse Ile High School GI Grey - MIXED	9	9	11	11	13	13
Grosse Ile High School GI White - MIXED	8	8	10	10	12	12
Grosse Pointe South High School Blue Devils	10	10	12	12	14	14
Grosse Pointe South High School Yellow (Mixed)	11	11	13	13	15	15
Holland Christian High School Maroons	12	12	14	14	16	16
Put-in-Bay High School Panthers Varsity	13	13	15	15	17	17
Spring Lake High School Grey	15	15	17	17	1	1
Spring Lake High School Red	14	14	16	16	18	18
St. Joseph High School Bears- Varsity	16	16	18	18	2	2
Troy High School Troy Mixed	17	17	1	1	3	3
West Bloomfield High School MIXED Green	18	18	2	2	4	4
West Ottawa High School Panthers	1	1	3	3	5	5

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Black River Public School	Lj Nykamp '25	Kiarra Bracelly '25
Mixed	Alden Gort '22 [1-6]	Tj Vandermeer '25 [1-2, 5-6] Elliana Zolper '25 [3-4]
Detroit Country Day School	Liam Hounsell '23 [1-6]	Jay Hannah '21 [1-2, 5-6] Moore Mike '20 [3-4]
Blue	Miles Laker '23	Dwight Ellis '20
East Grand Rapids	Ben Walters '20	Owen Steger '21
EGR Varsity Blue	Drew Keil '22	Ethan Woudwyk '22
East Grand Rapids	Ella Towner '23	Henry Sippel '22
EGR Varsity Gold	Kelly Couvreur '22	Noah Sippel '22
Forest Hills Central High School	Liam Fox '24	Alexander Hahn '20
Mixed	Alexander Hahn '20	Nathaniel Hahn '24
Grand Haven High School	Derek Hartman '22	Corbin Houseman '23
GH Blue	Olivia Vink '23	Joshua Hacker '24
Grosse Ile High School	Rylan Van De Wettering '20	Kellan Knapp '25
GI Grey - MIXED	Norton Coulibaly '23 [1-2, 5-6] Gillian Bellard '25 [3-4]	Gillian Bellard '25 [1-2, 5-6] Norton Coulibaly '23 [3-4]
Grosse Ile High School	Jimmy Souilliere '23	Sydney Porter '24
GI White - MIXED	Anna Mcaughey '24	Eva Ottenbreit '22
Grosse Pointe South High School	Doug Cowan '22	Ryan Hexter '21
Blue Devils	Jacob Schaupeter '21	Aidan King '21
Grosse Pointe South High School	Quentin Beyer '22	Keegan Beyer '24
Yellow (Mixed)	Braden Vogel '24	Colin Hexter '23
Holland Christian High School	Greta Traver '23	Lauren Siegers '21
Maroons	Amelia Traver '24 [1-6]	Lily Johnson '23 [1-2, 5-6] Sydney Lewis '20 [3-4]
Put-in-Bay High School	Talii Steidl '21	Alexandra Knauer '20
Panthers Varsity	Kate Byrnes '22	Emil Michael '24
Spring Lake High School	Nyle Eggert '24	Ben Dornbush '22
Grey	Jack Hubbard '25	Fisher Halsey '25
Spring Lake High School	Claire Deblanc '20 [1-6]	Caleb Keenan '25 [1-4] Ani Hough '24 [5-6]
Red	Brooklyn Verplank '25	Abby Airo '20
St. Joseph High School	Emmet Lorenz '25	Jack Hirsh '23
Bears- Varsity	Tyler Meier '21	Silas Lorenz '23
Troy High School	Joe Mowrey '21 [1-2, 5-6] Alaina Favret '21 [3-4]	Will Hilborn '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Troy Mixed	Rodrigo Flores '24	Diego Kittinger '24
West Bloomfield High School	Walter Paliga '22 [1-2, 5-6] Vinny Paliga '24 [3-4]	Anthony Dziuba '21 [1-2, 5-6]
MIXED Green	Gavin Swallow '22 [1-2] Caden Meyers '22 [3-4] Luke Strickland '22 [5-6]	Caden Meyers '22 [1-2, 5-6] Luke Strickland '22 [3-4]
West Ottawa High School	Caitlin Derby '22	George Dalman '22
Panthers	Joshua Elwood '21	Carson Dobb '24

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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Sunday Funday Regatta

Division A

Division B

From the notes