Navigate

Turkey Bowl Invitational

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 7 9 16
2 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 22 13 35
3 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 1 17 19 36
4 Oak Knoll School Oak Knoll School Royals 22 27 49
5 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 2 30 32 62
6 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 1 32 32 64
7 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 3 46 40 86
8 Perth Amboy High School Perth Amboy High School Panthers 48 44 92
9 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 2 46 54 100
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 1 1 1 1 2 1 7 Bridget Green '21 [1-6]
Brielle Willoughby '20 [1-2]
Nate Ertle '20 [3-6]
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 1 3 3 3 2 4 2 17 Sean Groskoph '20
Jack Greengrass '22
Oak Knoll School Oak Knoll School Royals 2 2 4 6 3 5 22 Caroline Maher '21
Michael Ahern '21
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 5 5 2 3 1 6 22 Noah Kuzloski '23
Nicholas Cunha '23
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 2 7 6 5 4 5 3 30 Sophie Lusty '20 [1-6]
Peter Tully '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Sylvie Yarad '21 [3-4]
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 1 4 4 6 8 6 4 32 Luke Duplessis '20
Henry Gallagher '20
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 3 8 7 8 5 9 9 46 Ryan Mcwalters '21
Jonathan Field '22
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 2 9 9 7 7 7 7 46 Carson Lubrano '20
Keira Press '23
Perth Amboy High School Perth Amboy High School Panthers 6 8 9 9 8 8 48 Alex Kodak '22 [1-6]
Samantha Aguillon '20 [1-2]
Maria Perez '20 [3-6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 1 2 2 1 1 2 9 Kennedy Laureigh '22 [1, 5-6]
Brielle Willoughby '20 [2-4]
Brielle Willoughby '20 [1, 5-6]
Kennedy Laureigh '22 [2-4]
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 1 1 5 2 1 13 Bryce Vitiello '23
Andrew Chiles '23
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 1 2 3 5 2 3 4 19 Hannah Mercurio '20
Sarah Kane '22
Oak Knoll School Oak Knoll School Royals 4 4 4 4 6 5 27 Anna Schwartz '20
Sabatino Natalie '21
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 2 5 5 7 8 4 3 32 Chris Disibio '21
Lilly Shanker '22
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 1 8 6 3 3 5 7 32 Jamie Lynch '23
Paige Lubrano '22
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 3 6 8 6 6 8 6 40 Sofie Jepsen '22
Allison Baun '22
Perth Amboy High School Perth Amboy High School Panthers 7 7 8 7 7 8 44 Hector Rodriguez '20
Robert Valdez '22
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 2 9 9 9 9 9 9 54 Veloce Scott '21
Milos Buchberger '21
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (30 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars 1101012121414
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars 2111113131515
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars 3121214141616
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts131315151717
Oak Knoll SchoolOak Knoll School Royals141416161818
Perth Amboy High SchoolPerth Amboy High School Panthers151517171010
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams161618181111
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 1171710101212
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 2181811111313

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars 1111113131515
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars 2121214141616
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars 3131315151717
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts141416161818
Oak Knoll SchoolOak Knoll School Royals151517171010
Perth Amboy High SchoolPerth Amboy High School Panthers161618181111
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams171710101212
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 1181811111313
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 2101012121414

Conditions — 11/02/2019 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 63%  ·  Pressure 1021.4 hPa

Temperature

46°F
↑ 51°F   ↓ 36°F
Feels like 41°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.5 kn
avg  ·  max 5.3 kn
Gusts to 14.6 kn
From S (180°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover51% Sunshine9.5 hrs Humidity63% Pressure1021.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Summit: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.13)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.20
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.17 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.13 means a rating gap counts about 12% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Summit by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (33 labelled days at Summit).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →