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VISA JV Fleet Championship

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 12 12
2 Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 15 15
3 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 27 27
4 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 46 46
5 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 53 53
6 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 3 55 55
7 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 1 62 62
8 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 4 63 63
9 Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Trojans 1 65 65
10 Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 73 73
11 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 77 77
12 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 77 77
13 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 89 89
14 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 3 89 89
15 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 3 91 91
16 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 97 97
17 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 110 110
18 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 2 118 118
19 Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Trojans 2 125 125
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 4 12 Connor Bott '22
Carrie Collenberg '24
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 1 2 2 4 4 1 1 15 Leila Pfrang '25 [1-7]
Rachel Maples '24 [1-3]
Piper Shughrou '24 [4-5]
Braden Hensley '23 [6-7]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 3 3 5 7 3 3 3 27 Cam Brewer '24
Barrett Wise '23
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 4 4 4 5 13 8 8 46 Maddie Murphy '25
Travis Cazares '23
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 5 DSQ 3 6 7 10 2 53 Emily Britt '23
Rachael Buchanan '24
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 3 7 7 6 9 8 11 7 55 Jack Tignor '22
Sabrina Casagrande '25
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 1 6 5 8 3 11 15 14 62 Jack Poynter '25
Samuel Strawn '23
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 4 8 6 7 12 14 5 11 63 Patty Wei '20
Jacob Osias '21
Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Trojans 1 10 11 16 2 5 12 9 65 Mike Laccheo '23
Ian Baker '22
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 16 8 9 15 6 6 13 73 Alexandra Smith '23 [1-3]
Peyton Crum '23 [4-7]
Ramazani Clement '23 [1-3]
Gavin Miller '23 [4-7]
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 9 DSQ 10 13 9 4 12 77 Jordan Bayliss '22
Casey Moss '23
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 19 17 17 8 2 9 5 77 Wally Yu '21
Julia Quevedo '23
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 12 14 11 17 12 13 10 89 Collin Tharp '25
Dan Spooner '26
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 3 17 9 12 18 10 7 16 89 Matthew Stout '23
Tiernan Boyd '23
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 3 11 10 15 10 16 14 15 91 Charlotte Mccoy '24
Denari Redmond '26
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 15 16 13 16 15 16 6 97 Peyton Mcdonald '23
Moseley Davidson '23
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 13 12 14 11 DNS DNS DNS 110 Olivia Gilmore '23
Addison Kuczynski '23
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 2 14 13 DSQ 14 17 DNS DNS 118 Sophia Lim '21
Cora Walsh '21
Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Trojans 2 18 15 18 19 18 17 DNS 125 Jack Pflika '22
Vivian Hui '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (30 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 12008200820082008200820082008
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 22008200820082008200820082008
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 32008200820082008200820082008
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 42008200820082008200820082008
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 16666666
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 27777777
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors8888888
Nansemond-Suffolk AcademyNansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints9999999
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 110101010101010
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 211111111111111
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 312121212121212
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 113131313131313
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 214141414141414
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 315151515151515
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 116161616161616
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 217171717171717
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 318181818181818
Walsingham AcademyWalsingham Academy Trojans 12008200820082008200820082008
Walsingham AcademyWalsingham Academy Trojans 22008200820082008200820082008

Conditions — 10/26/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 78%  ·  Pressure 1021.5 hPa

Temperature

68°F
↑ 71°F   ↓ 60°F
Feels like 69°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.3 kn
avg  ·  max 10.2 kn
Gusts to 18.7 kn
From ENE (71°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover72% Sunshine10.2 hrs Humidity78% Pressure1021.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Norfolk Yacht and Country Club: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.14 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.15
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.45 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Norfolk Yacht and Country Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (32 labelled days at Norfolk Yacht and Country Club).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →