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First Chance Crew's

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Troy High School Troy High School MIXED Candy Corn 3 3
2 Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Mixed 2 9 9
3 Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MIXED Maroon 10 10
4 Troy High School Troy High School Troy Mixed 2 15 15
5 Troy High School Troy High School Troy Mixed 1 16 16
6 Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Detroit MIXED 17 17
7 Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Mixed 1 18 18
8 Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRMS Blue 21 21
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Troy High School Troy High School MIXED Candy Corn 1 1 1 3 Liam Hounsell '23
Cam Rocco '24
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Mixed 2 4 3 2 9 Gavin Swallow '22
Mariam Kouza '22
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MIXED Maroon 5 2 3 10 Nick Myneni '21
Monika Torkos '23
Troy High School Troy High School Troy Mixed 2 7 4 4 15 Liam Dowling '23
Nicole Torkos '25
Troy High School Troy High School Troy Mixed 1 2 5 DNS 16 Karen Callahan '23
Edward Benedict '26
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Detroit MIXED 3 8 6 17 Will Hilborn '22
Zachary Ring '24
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Mixed 1 6 7 5 18 Nate Bacheller '23
Mayas Smith '25
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRMS Blue 8 6 7 21 John Riordan '22
Sage Waelchli '22
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2020 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Birmingham Public SchoolsBirmingham Public Schools Mixed 1888
Birmingham Public SchoolsBirmingham Public Schools Mixed 2222
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MIBrother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRMS Blue111
Mercy/University of Detroit JesuitMercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Detroit MIXED333
Mercy/University of Detroit JesuitMercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MIXED Maroon444
Troy High SchoolTroy High School MIXED Candy Corn999
Troy High SchoolTroy High School Troy Mixed 1101010
Troy High SchoolTroy High School Troy Mixed 2777

Conditions — 09/19/2020 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 48%  ·  Pressure 1030.0 hPa

Temperature

55°F
↑ 60°F   ↓ 45°F
Feels like 50°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.3 kn
avg  ·  max 5.7 kn
Gusts to 12.6 kn
From NE (44°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover6% Sunshine10.7 hrs Humidity48% Pressure1030.0 hPa

What this breeze does at Mercy - MI — from fleet racing

Breeze: NE about 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at Mercy - MI in this breeze: a typical day (−0.00)
Nothing in this breeze favours either side in fleet racing here: results follow the ratings about as usual.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Mercy - MI by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Mercy - MI: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →