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Gordon Cornwell Memorial Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue 24 15 39
2 Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles maroon 33 16 49
3 Traverse City West Traverse City West TCW Varsity Green 38 22 60
4 Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Mixed 16 50 66
5 Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red Mixed 35 39 74
6 Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Gold 29 48 77
7 Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Varsity Gold 49 41 90
8 Traverse City West Traverse City West TCW Mid School 50 41 91
9 St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Varsity Blue 33 60 93
10 St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Mid S 64 40 104
11 Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles white 62 53 115
12 Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Mid School 1 72 59 131
13 Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Varsity Black 64 75 139
14 Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Mid School 2 69 71 140
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Mixed 1 3 4 1 3 4 16 Noah Robitshek '21
Maggie Puetz '24
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue 11 1 1 2 6 3 24 Braden Vogel '23
Colin Hexter '23
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Gold 5 5 6 6 2 5 29 Billy Vogel '22
Charlie Gmeiner '23
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles maroon 2 10 2 3 DSQ 1 33 Ethen Stone '21
Mufei Li '21
St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Varsity Blue 3 4 3 9 4 10 33 Luke Adams '24
Gabe Maday '22
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red Mixed 7 7 5 5 9 2 35 Bryson Hough '21
Olivia Vink '23
Traverse City West Traverse City West TCW Varsity Green 4 2 11 10 5 6 38 Andrew Godmer '22
Alex Reynolds '24
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Varsity Gold 6 11 8 8 1 DSQ 49 Lucas Rodenroth '24
Trey Harding '23
Traverse City West Traverse City West TCW Mid School 8 6 10 12 7 7 50 Cj Enoksen '25
Jack Baird '25
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles white 9 12 13 4 OCS 9 62 Pranjal Singh '21
Phoebe Dix '23
St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Mid S 12 8 9 7 OCS 13 64 Quinn Gerber '26
Susie Hebert '26
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Varsity Black 13 9 7 13 11 11 64 Grant Miller '24
Simon Hegg '24
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Mid School 2 10 13 12 14 8 12 69 Daniel Kotsekon '25
Pearl Reynolds '27
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Mid School 1 14 14 DNF 11 10 8 72 Gavin Graetz '26
Eliot Steiner '25
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue 2 1 2 1 6 3 15 Gavin Webster '24
Boaz Selinger '23
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles maroon 1 9 1 3 1 1 16 Sofia Dolan '22
Isabelle Kanach '21
Traverse City West Traverse City West TCW Varsity Green 3 6 6 2 3 2 22 Ella Beck '22
Cameron Keillor '24
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red Mixed 7 5 7 5 5 10 39 Griffin Phares '21
Ani Hough '24
St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Mid S 13 2 3 7 7 8 40 Isley Moshier '25
Matthew Minor '27
Traverse City West Traverse City West TCW Mid School 8 4 12 11 2 4 41 Cooper Gerber '26
Holden Trapp '26
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Varsity Gold 10 3 4 10 9 5 41 Case Brooks '24
Cole Harding '23
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Gold 6 7 11 4 11 9 48 Will Turner '24 [1-2]
Eric Brieden '24 [3-6]
Eric Brieden '24 [1-2]
Will Turner '24 [3-6]
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Mixed 4 10 9 9 12 6 50 Griffin Wright '21
Abigail Paul '21
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles white 14 13 5 6 8 7 53 Edwin Becker '21 [1-2]
Carolina Jimenez '21 [3-6]
Maria Ramos '21 [1-2]
Addison Pohl '23 [3-6]
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Mid School 1 11 12 13 8 4 11 59 Winston Hegg '26
Moses Coco '25
St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Varsity Blue 5 8 8 13 14 12 60 Ryan Schmidt '21
Tyler Winowiecki '23
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Mid School 2 9 14 10 14 10 14 71 Sophia Barbas '25
Becky Lechota '25
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Varsity Black 12 11 14 12 13 13 75 Hunter Hawes '21
Lee Forton '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.290+0.29
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles maroon888888
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles white161616161616
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Blue999999
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Gold666666
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Red Mixed111111
St. Francis High School Traverse CitySt. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Mid S444444
St. Francis High School Traverse CitySt. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Varsity Blue222222
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central TCC Mid School 1121212121212
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central TCC Mid School 2777777
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central TCC Mixed333333
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central TCC Varsity Black202020202020
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central TCC Varsity Gold101010101010
Traverse City WestTraverse City West TCW Mid School555555
Traverse City WestTraverse City West TCW Varsity Green111111111111

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles maroon888888
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles white161616161616
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Blue999999
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Gold666666
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Red Mixed111111
St. Francis High School Traverse CitySt. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Mid S444444
St. Francis High School Traverse CitySt. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Varsity Blue222222
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central TCC Mid School 1121212121212
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central TCC Mid School 2777777
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central TCC Mixed333333
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central TCC Varsity Black202020202020
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central TCC Varsity Gold101010101010
Traverse City WestTraverse City West TCW Mid School555555
Traverse City WestTraverse City West TCW Varsity Green111111111111
School / Team SkipperCrew
Culver Academies Culver Academies Ethen Stone '21 Mufei Li '21
Eagles maroon Sofia Dolan '22 Isabelle Kanach '21
Culver Academies Culver Academies Pranjal Singh '21 Phoebe Dix '23
Eagles white Edwin Becker '21 [1-2]
Carolina Jimenez '21 [3-6]		 Maria Ramos '21 [1-2]
Addison Pohl '23 [3-6]
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Braden Vogel '23 Colin Hexter '23
Blue Gavin Webster '24 Boaz Selinger '23
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Billy Vogel '22 Charlie Gmeiner '23
Gold Will Turner '24 [1-2]
Eric Brieden '24 [3-6]		 Eric Brieden '24 [1-2]
Will Turner '24 [3-6]
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Bryson Hough '21 Olivia Vink '23
Red Mixed Griffin Phares '21 Ani Hough '24
St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City Quinn Gerber '26 Susie Hebert '26
TCSF Mid S Isley Moshier '25 Matthew Minor '27
St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City Luke Adams '24 Gabe Maday '22
TCSF Varsity Blue Ryan Schmidt '21 Tyler Winowiecki '23
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central Gavin Graetz '26 Eliot Steiner '25
TCC Mid School 1 Winston Hegg '26 Moses Coco '25
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central Daniel Kotsekon '25 Pearl Reynolds '27
TCC Mid School 2 Sophia Barbas '25 Becky Lechota '25
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central Noah Robitshek '21 Maggie Puetz '24
TCC Mixed Griffin Wright '21 Abigail Paul '21
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central Grant Miller '24 Simon Hegg '24
TCC Varsity Black Hunter Hawes '21 Lee Forton '23
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central Lucas Rodenroth '24 Trey Harding '23
TCC Varsity Gold Case Brooks '24 Cole Harding '23
Traverse City West Traverse City West Cj Enoksen '25 Jack Baird '25
TCW Mid School Cooper Gerber '26 Holden Trapp '26
Traverse City West Traverse City West Andrew Godmer '22 Alex Reynolds '24
TCW Varsity Green Ella Beck '22 Cameron Keillor '24

Conditions — 10/24/2020 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 63%  ·  Pressure 1024.7 hPa

Temperature

40°F
↑ 41°F   ↓ 37°F
Feels like 32°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.9 kn
avg  ·  max 7.7 kn
Gusts to 16.9 kn
From W (271°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover94% Sunshine2.8 hrs Humidity63% Pressure1024.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 5 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at St. Francis Travers/Traverse City Centra/Traverse City West: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.18 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at St. Francis Travers/Traverse City Centra/Traverse City West by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (19 labelled days at St. Francis Travers/Traverse City Centra/Traverse City West).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →