Navigate

Lake Max Fall Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles 15 13 28
2 Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Gold 27 22 49
3 Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue 30 22 52
4 Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles maroon 22 36 58
5 Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles white 34 40 74
6 Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red 24 55 79
7 Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles white jv 54 27 81
8 Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles maroon jv 59 41 100
9 Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Grey Mixed 50 59 109
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles 2 5 1 2 1 3 1 15 Ethen Stone '21
Mufei Li '21
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles maroon 1 7 4 1 2 1 6 22 Pranjal Singh '21
Phoebe Dix '23
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red 4 2 5 3 3 5 2 24 Bryson Hough '21
Andrew Twa '24
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Gold 5 1 2 6 6 4 3 27 Gavin Webster '24
Aidan King '22
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue 7 4 3 5 4 2 5 30 Jacob Schaupeter '22
Ryan Hexter '22
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles white 3 6 6 4 5 6 4 34 Alfred Fisher '24
Parker Kumler '23
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Grey Mixed 6 3 7 9 9 8 8 50 Jack Hubbard '25
Caleb Keenan '25
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles white jv 8 9 8 8 7 7 7 54 Genevieve Huber '21
William Booth '22
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles maroon jv 9 8 9 7 8 9 9 59 Aiden Kress '22 [1-3]
Renata Altuzar '22 [4-7]
Mayka Mariscal '23 [1-3]
Myah Craft '23 [4-7]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles 1 2 5 1 1 2 1 13 Sofia Dolan '22
Isabelle Kanach '21
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Gold 2 3 1 4 3 4 5 22 Will Turner '24
Charlie Gmeiner '23
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue 5 1 6 3 2 3 2 22 Eric Brieden '23
Colin Hexter '23
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles white jv 4 6 4 2 4 1 6 27 Carolina Jimenez '21
Addison Pohl '23
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles maroon 7 4 2 5 5 5 8 36 John Piceu '24
Nathaniel Barret '19
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles white 3 7 7 6 6 7 4 40 Edwin Becker '21
Maria Ramos '21
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles maroon jv 6 5 3 9 7 8 3 41 Kevin Zhu '22
Christopher Mikesell '24
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red 8 9 9 7 9 6 7 55 Charlie Navarre '21
Mathew Marshall '22
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Grey Mixed 9 8 8 8 8 9 9 59 Ani Hough '24
Ryan Bonney '24
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2016 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles17171717171717
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles maroon7777777
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles maroon jv11111111111111
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles white21212121212121
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles white jv15151515151515
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Blue3333333
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Gold9999999
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Grey Mixed5555555
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Red1111111

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles22222222222222
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles maroon16161616161616
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles maroon jv20202020202020
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles white14141414141414
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles white jv18181818181818
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Blue10101010101010
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Gold8888888
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Grey Mixed2222222
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Red4444444

Conditions — 10/10/2020 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 68%  ·  Pressure 1012.5 hPa

Temperature

72°F
↑ 79°F   ↓ 61°F
Feels like 72°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.4 kn
avg  ·  max 11.4 kn
Gusts to 22.4 kn
From WSW (248°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover29% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity68% Pressure1012.5 hPa Rain0.03 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Culver Academies: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.10)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.18
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.14 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 9% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Culver Academies by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (20 labelled days at Culver Academies).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →