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Mobile Bay HS Fall #5

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 St. Michael Catholic High School St. Michael Catholic High School Cardinals Red 6 6
2 Fairhope High School Fairhope High School Pirates Blue 7 7
3 Fairhope High School Fairhope High School Pirates 14 14
4 Bayshore Christian School Bayshore Christian School Bayshore 17 17
5 Fairhope High School Fairhope High School Pirates Gold 22 22
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
St. Michael Catholic High School St. Michael Catholic High School Cardinals Red 1 1 2 2 6 Nate Hartwell '24
Ethan Agerton '24
Fairhope High School Fairhope High School Pirates Blue 3 2 1 1 7 Cruz Dabney '26
Layton Dugger '26
Fairhope High School Fairhope High School Pirates 4 4 3 3 14 Axel Jackson '26
Brockton Norris '24
Bayshore Christian School Bayshore Christian School Bayshore 2 3 DNS DNS 17 Cruz Dabney '26
Aidyn James '25
Fairhope High School Fairhope High School Pirates Gold 5 5 DNF DNS 22 Parker Fench '22
Elijah Healy '22
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.190+0.19
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Bayshore Christian SchoolBayshore Christian School Bayshore4444
Fairhope High SchoolFairhope High School Pirates3333
Fairhope High SchoolFairhope High School Pirates Blue6666
Fairhope High SchoolFairhope High School Pirates Gold5555
St. Michael Catholic High SchoolSt. Michael Catholic High School Cardinals Red2222

Conditions — 11/15/2020 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Partly cloudy
Humidity 71%  ·  Pressure 1018.3 hPa

Temperature

76°F
↑ 79°F   ↓ 71°F
Feels like 79°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.9 kn
avg  ·  max 11.1 kn
Gusts to 24.7 kn
From WNW (283°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover46% Sunshine10.5 hrs Humidity71% Pressure1018.3 hPa

What this breeze does at Fairhope Yacht Club — from fleet racing

Breeze: W about 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at Fairhope Yacht Club in this breeze: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Underdogs’ conditions: in fleet racing here the fleet bunches up and lower-rated boats beat the seeds more often than usual.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Fairhope Yacht Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Fairhope Yacht Club, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →