NJISA 2020 BBYRA Fall Invitational

HostTRYC & BBYRA
Date10/17/2020
TypeIn-League
BoatC420/CFJ
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Christian Brothers Academy	Colts 1	40	23	63
2	Donovan Catholic High School	Griffins 1	49	20	69
3	Toms River North	Mariners	44	30	74
4	Ranney School	Panthers	40	52	92
5	Chatham High School	Cougars 1	67	73	140
6	Christian Brothers Academy	Colts 2	59	104	163
7	Biotechnology High School	Nerds	79	85	164
8	Rumson-Fair Haven	Bulldogs	91	84	175
9	Donovan Catholic High School	Griffins 2	112	69	181
10	Delbarton School	Green Wave	60	123	183
11	Point Pleasant Beach High School	Garnett Gulls	90	97	187
12	Southern Regional High School	Rams	142	91	233
13	Chatham High School	Cougars 2	127	133	260
14	Central Regional High School	Eagles	116	156	272
15	Trinity Hall	Monarchs	156	134	290
16	Oak Knoll School	Royals	137	154	291
17	Summit High School	Hilltoppers	167	124	291
18	Marine Academy of Science and Technology	Rangers	134	164	298

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	R10	TOT	Sailors
Christian Brothers Academy	Colts 1	2	1	7	5	6	2	1	5	3	8	40	Ryan Ehnot '22 Mitchell Hnatt '24
Ranney School	Panthers	6	7	3	6	1	1	3	2	9	2	40	Brooke Schmelz '21 Ashley Abboud '22
Toms River North	Mariners	1	3	4	9	11	4	4	6	1	1	44	Declan Botwinick '21 Evan Harrison '21
Donovan Catholic High School	Griffins 1	7	4	2	7	2	3	6	1	11	6	49	James Kopack '24 Michael Boynton '24
Christian Brothers Academy	Colts 2	4	9	13	3	5	5	8	3	6	3	59	Bryce Vitiello '23 Luke Pennisi '24
Delbarton School	Green Wave	3	2	1	8	4	8	9	12	8	5	60	James O'Gwen '23 Marshall Czerniecki '21
Chatham High School	Cougars 1	8	13	5	4	8	7	2	4	4	12	67	Thomas Marino '21 Paige Lubrano '22
Biotechnology High School	Nerds	10	11	15	10	3	6	11	7	2	4	79	Benson Chiles '22 Ronan Downie '22
Point Pleasant Beach High School	Garnett Gulls	15	5	8	2	9	15	7	9	5	15	90	Zylinski Luke '22 Glosenger Lindsay '21
Rumson-Fair Haven	Bulldogs	16	6	11	1	7	16	5	8	12	9	91	No Show No Show
Donovan Catholic High School	Griffins 2	5	8	10	15	12	12	15	10	14	11	112	Thomas Roeber '23 Nora Ciak '23
Central Regional High School	Eagles	12	15	9	16	14	10	10	13	7	10	116	Annabel Bornebusch '22 Arianna Weber '21
Chatham High School	Cougars 2	9	12	16	13	13	13	12	11	15	13	127	Ryan Mcwalters '21 Allison Baun '22
Marine Academy of Science and Technology	Rangers	18	10	17	11	15	18	14	14	10	7	134	No Show No Show
Oak Knoll School	Royals	14	16	6	12	16	9	16	15	17	16	137	Caroline Maher '21 [1-10] Jacqueline Schroeder '21 [1-4, 7-10] Liandra Taylor '24 [5-6]
Southern Regional High School	Rams	13	14	14	17	10	14	17	16	13	14	142	Chloe Witt '23 Natalie Shaw '23
Trinity Hall	Monarchs	11	17	18	14	17	11	18	17	16	17	156	No Show No Show
Summit High School	Hilltoppers	17	18	12	18	18	17	13	18	18	18	167	Lilly Shanker '22 [1-2, 5-10] Jack Greengrass '22 [3-4] Jack Greengrass '22 [1-2, 5-10] Lilly Shanker '22 [3-4]

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	R10	TOT	Sailors
Donovan Catholic High School	Griffins 1	1	2	4	4	3	1	1	1	1	2	20	Javier Ojeda '23 Kevin Brooksbank '23
Christian Brothers Academy	Colts 1	2	4	2	3	1	3	2	3	2	1	23	Colin Guerrera '22 [1-10] Andrew Chiles '23 [1-4] Connor Feury '22 [5-10]
Toms River North	Mariners	3	1	6	1	2	4	3	4	3	3	30	Everett Botwinick '22 [1-10] Iliana Vasslides '23 [1-6] Lindsay Walsh '23 [7-10]
Ranney School	Panthers	4	6	1	8	8	7	4	5	5	4	52	Alexa Whitman '22 [1-10] Jack Whitman '23 [1-4, 7-10] Kieran Collins '25 [5-6]
Donovan Catholic High School	Griffins 2	11	10	3	2	7	2	11	10	4	9	69	Joe Paccione '21 [1-10] Alex Kraljic '23 [1-6] Dan Drennan '24 [7-10]
Chatham High School	Cougars 1	6	5	12	9	6	6	8	6	7	8	73	Jamie Lynch '23 Jonathan Field '22
Rumson-Fair Haven	Bulldogs	5	3	11	10	10	8	9	7	10	11	84	No Show No Show
Biotechnology High School	Nerds	17	8	8	5	5	5	7	12	11	7	85	Gabby Fontana '23 [1-10] Aiden Welch '24 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10] Andrew Pepe '23 [3-4, 7-8]
Southern Regional High School	Rams	12	7	9	14	9	11	6	9	9	5	91	Kennedy Laureigh '22 Alex Klinov '22
Point Pleasant Beach High School	Garnett Gulls	13	13	15	6	4	9	5	2	16	14	97	Curtis Tanner '22 Preyer Liam '22
Christian Brothers Academy	Colts 2	15	15	5	7	13	13	10	8	12	6	104	Noah Kuzloski '23 [1-5] Walter Mehl '21 [6-10] Nicholas Cunha '23 [1-5]
Delbarton School	Green Wave	16	9	17	12	DNF	10	13	11	6	10	123	Ryan Smith '21 Max Orosz '24
Summit High School	Hilltoppers	9	11	7	11	12	17	12	17	13	15	124	Katie Penque '22 Sarah Kane '22
Chatham High School	Cougars 2	10	14	10	15	11	15	14	13	15	16	133	Ciara Doherty '21 [1-6] Veloce Scott '21 [7-10] Veloce Scott '21 [1-4] Milos Buchberger '21 [5-6] Ciara Doherty '21 [7-10]
Trinity Hall	Monarchs	7	18	13	17	14	16	15	14	8	12	134	No Show No Show
Oak Knoll School	Royals	8	12	16	16	DNF	14	17	16	18	18	154	Julia Szymanski '24 [1-10] Natalie Sabatino '22 [1-4] Maddie Donohue '21 [5-10]
Central Regional High School	Eagles	18	17	14	13	15	12	18	18	14	17	156	Owen Desanto '23 Owen Desanto '23
Marine Academy of Science and Technology	Rangers	14	16	18	18	DNF	18	16	15	17	13	164	No Show No Show

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.120+0.12

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2020 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A	9A	10A
Biotechnology High School Nerds	18	18	18	18	18	18	18	18	18	18
Central Regional High School Eagles	17	17	17	17	17	17	17	17	17	17
Chatham High School Cougars 1	16	16	16	16	16	16	16	16	16	16
Chatham High School Cougars 2	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15
Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1	14	14	14	14	14	14	14	14	14	14
Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2	13	13	13	13	13	13	13	13	13	13
Delbarton School Green Wave	12	12	12	12	12	12	12	12	12	12
Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1	11	11	11	11	11	11	11	11	11	11
Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10
Marine Academy of Science and Technology Rangers	9	9	9	9	9	9	9	9	9	9
Oak Knoll School Royals	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8
Point Pleasant Beach High School Garnett Gulls	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2
Ranney School Panthers	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7
Rumson-Fair Haven Bulldogs	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6
Southern Regional High School Rams	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5
Summit High School Hilltoppers	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4
Toms River North Mariners	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3
Trinity Hall Monarchs	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B	8B	9B	10B
Biotechnology High School Nerds	18	18	18	18	18	18	18	18	18	18
Central Regional High School Eagles	17	17	17	17	17	17	17	17	17	17
Chatham High School Cougars 1	16	16	16	16	16	16	16	16	16	16
Chatham High School Cougars 2	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15
Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1	14	14	14	14	14	14	14	14	14	14
Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2	13	13	13	13	13	13	13	13	13	13
Delbarton School Green Wave	12	12	12	12	12	12	12	12	12	12
Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1	11	11	11	11	11	11	11	11	11	11
Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10
Marine Academy of Science and Technology Rangers	9	9	9	9	9	9	9	9	9	9
Oak Knoll School Royals	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8
Point Pleasant Beach High School Garnett Gulls	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2
Ranney School Panthers	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7
Rumson-Fair Haven Bulldogs	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6
Southern Regional High School Rams	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5
Summit High School Hilltoppers	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4
Toms River North Mariners	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3
Trinity Hall Monarchs	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Biotechnology High School	Benson Chiles '22	Ronan Downie '22
Nerds	Gabby Fontana '23 [1-10]	Aiden Welch '24 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10] Andrew Pepe '23 [3-4, 7-8]
Central Regional High School	Annabel Bornebusch '22	Arianna Weber '21
Eagles	Owen Desanto '23	Owen Desanto '23
Chatham High School	Thomas Marino '21	Paige Lubrano '22
Cougars 1	Jamie Lynch '23	Jonathan Field '22
Chatham High School	Ryan Mcwalters '21	Allison Baun '22
Cougars 2	Ciara Doherty '21 [1-6] Veloce Scott '21 [7-10]	Veloce Scott '21 [1-4] Milos Buchberger '21 [5-6] Ciara Doherty '21 [7-10]
Christian Brothers Academy	Ryan Ehnot '22	Mitchell Hnatt '24
Colts 1	Colin Guerrera '22 [1-10]	Andrew Chiles '23 [1-4] Connor Feury '22 [5-10]
Christian Brothers Academy	Bryce Vitiello '23	Luke Pennisi '24
Colts 2	Noah Kuzloski '23 [1-5] Walter Mehl '21 [6-10]	Nicholas Cunha '23 [1-5]
Delbarton School	James O'Gwen '23	Marshall Czerniecki '21
Green Wave	Ryan Smith '21	Max Orosz '24
Donovan Catholic High School	James Kopack '24	Michael Boynton '24
Griffins 1	Javier Ojeda '23	Kevin Brooksbank '23
Donovan Catholic High School	Thomas Roeber '23	Nora Ciak '23
Griffins 2	Joe Paccione '21 [1-10]	Alex Kraljic '23 [1-6] Dan Drennan '24 [7-10]
Marine Academy of Science and Technology	No Show	No Show
Rangers	No Show	No Show
Oak Knoll School	Caroline Maher '21 [1-10]	Jacqueline Schroeder '21 [1-4, 7-10] Liandra Taylor '24 [5-6]
Royals	Julia Szymanski '24 [1-10]	Natalie Sabatino '22 [1-4] Maddie Donohue '21 [5-10]
Point Pleasant Beach High School	Zylinski Luke '22	Glosenger Lindsay '21
Garnett Gulls	Curtis Tanner '22	Preyer Liam '22
Ranney School	Brooke Schmelz '21	Ashley Abboud '22
Panthers	Alexa Whitman '22 [1-10]	Jack Whitman '23 [1-4, 7-10] Kieran Collins '25 [5-6]
Rumson-Fair Haven	No Show	No Show
Bulldogs	No Show	No Show
Southern Regional High School	Chloe Witt '23	Natalie Shaw '23
Rams	Kennedy Laureigh '22	Alex Klinov '22
Summit High School	Lilly Shanker '22 [1-2, 5-10] Jack Greengrass '22 [3-4]	Jack Greengrass '22 [1-2, 5-10] Lilly Shanker '22 [3-4]
Hilltoppers	Katie Penque '22	Sarah Kane '22
Toms River North	Declan Botwinick '21	Evan Harrison '21
Mariners	Everett Botwinick '22 [1-10]	Iliana Vasslides '23 [1-6] Lindsay Walsh '23 [7-10]
Trinity Hall	No Show	No Show
Monarchs	No Show	No Show

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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NJISA 2020 BBYRA Fall Invitational

Division A

Division B

From the notes