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Shoreline Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red Mixed 6 26 32
2 Holland Christian High School Holland Christian High School Mixed 1 20 25 45
3 Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Grey Mixed 37 12 49
4 Holland Christian High School Holland Christian High School Mixed 2 18 33 51
5 Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Black Mixed 31 22 53
6 Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Blue Mixed 31 24 55
7 Black River Public School Black River Public School Varsity 29 30 59
8 West Ottawa High School West Ottawa High School Mixed 44 44 88
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red Mixed 1 1 1 1 1 1 6 Bryson Hough '21
Andrew Twa '24
Holland Christian High School Holland Christian High School Mixed 2 4 4 2 2 4 2 18 Amelia Traver '24
Carson Dobb '24
Holland Christian High School Holland Christian High School Mixed 1 2 3 4 5 2 4 20 Greta Traver '23
Hanan Lomax '25
Black River Public School Black River Public School Varsity 7 5 8 3 3 3 29 Alden Gort '22
Jonas Pearson '25
Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Blue Mixed 3 2 6 6 7 7 31 Olivia Vink '23
Tanner Robbins '24
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Black Mixed 6 6 5 4 5 5 31 Jack Hubbard '25
Caleb Keenan '25
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Grey Mixed 5 8 3 7 6 8 37 Griffin Phares '21
Mathew Marshall '22
West Ottawa High School West Ottawa High School Mixed 8 7 7 8 8 6 44 Joey Skerbeck '22
Bryce Overbeek '23
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Grey Mixed 3 2 1 2 2 2 12 Nyle Eggert '24
Ryan Bonney '24
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Black Mixed 2 1 7 3 3 6 22 Brooklyn Verplank '25
Ani Hough '24
Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Blue Mixed 1 7 2 5 1 8 24 Ben Dornbush '22
Joshua Hacker '24
Holland Christian High School Holland Christian High School Mixed 1 6 3 5 6 4 1 25 Lauren Siegers '21
Cameron Bert '26
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red Mixed 4 6 3 4 6 3 26 Charlie Navarre '21 [1-6]
Charlie Bassett '22 [1-4]
Jacob Bassett '24 [5-6]
Black River Public School Black River Public School Varsity 7 4 6 1 8 4 30 Ella Sligh '24
Izzi Novak '24
Holland Christian High School Holland Christian High School Mixed 2 5 5 4 7 5 7 33 Aiden Hollebeek '21
Lily Johnson '23
West Ottawa High School West Ottawa High School Mixed 8 8 8 8 7 5 44 Julian Carrier '23
Elli Zolper '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Black River Public SchoolBlack River Public School Varsity402402402402402402
Grand Haven High SchoolGrand Haven High School GH Blue Mixed403403403403403403
Holland Christian High SchoolHolland Christian High School Mixed 1405405405405405405
Holland Christian High SchoolHolland Christian High School Mixed 2151515151515
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Black Mixed401401401401401401
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Grey Mixed407407407407407407
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Red Mixed701701701701701701
West Ottawa High SchoolWest Ottawa High School Mixed408408408408408408

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Black River Public SchoolBlack River Public School Varsity402402402402402402
Grand Haven High SchoolGrand Haven High School GH Blue Mixed403403403403403403
Holland Christian High SchoolHolland Christian High School Mixed 1405405405405405405
Holland Christian High SchoolHolland Christian High School Mixed 2151515151515
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Black Mixed401401401401401401
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Grey Mixed407407407407407407
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Red Mixed701701701701701701
West Ottawa High SchoolWest Ottawa High School Mixed408408408408408408

Conditions — 10/03/2020 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 73%  ·  Pressure 1022.9 hPa

Temperature

50°F
↑ 52°F   ↓ 47°F
Feels like 45°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.8 kn
avg  ·  max 10.4 kn
Gusts to 21.2 kn
From S (187°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover93% Sunshine3.6 hrs Humidity73% Pressure1022.9 hPa Rain0.13 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Spring Lake Yacht Club: an underdogs’ day (−0.08)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.06 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Spring Lake Yacht Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Spring Lake Yacht Club, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →