Sunday's with Scouts 2

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 1 87
2 Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Scouts 1 107
3 Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles 2 109
4 University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 2 129
5 Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles 1 134
6 Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Scouts 2 138
7 Whitney Young Whitney Young Dolphins 155
8 Lyons Township High School Lyons Township High School Lions 163
9 Lane Tech College Prep Lane Tech College Prep Varsity 176
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles 2 B 16 4 1 2 3 6 5 37 Jake Weinstein '23
William Clancy '22
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 1 A 1 1 6 17 11 2 1 39 Benny Wild '22
Adler Wright '22
Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles 1 A 4 9 2 1 7 5 11 39 Emmett Nevel '21
Maddie Fitzgerald '22
Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Scouts 1 A 11 3 11 6 2 13 2 48 Tristan Mcdonald '24
Mary Carter '24
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 1 B 10 5 7 9 5 3 9 48 Philip Lengyel '21
Benjamin Luu '23
Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Scouts 2 A 2 15 9 5 1 14 4 50 Leo Kumar '23
Rachel Pogany '23
Whitney Young Whitney Young Dolphins A 8 8 5 11 9 1 8 50 Margo Cicero '22
Rossignel Wolfe '22
Lyons Township High School Lyons Township High School Lions A 7 10 3 16 4 4 15 59 Gavin Dempsey '22
Aidan Walls '21
Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Scouts 1 B 5 12 4 4 15 9 10 59 No Show
Reagan Long '21
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 2 B 3 2 14 8 10 16 7 60 David Ren '24
Lydia Frost '25
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 2 A DNF 7 8 3 12 8 12 69 Elizabeth Frost '23
Bryan Pan '23
Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles 2 A 6 6 17 12 18 7 6 72 Molly Sheridan '21
Michael Clancy '22
Lane Tech College Prep Lane Tech College Prep Varsity A 9 11 10 14 17 10 16 87 Sydney Mandell '22
Audra Spokas-Jaros '21
Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Scouts 2 B 15 13 18 18 6 15 3 88 Matthew Ranker '24 [1-3]
Michal Janowicz '21 [4-7]
Alec Ranker '24 [1-6]
Matthew Ranker '24 [7]
Lane Tech College Prep Lane Tech College Prep Varsity B 13 14 13 10 13 12 14 89 Lauren Mellinger '21
Oscar Gilroy '23
Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles 1 B 12 18 12 15 14 11 13 95 David Eskilson '22
Betsy Finley '23
Lyons Township High School Lyons Township High School Lions B 14 17 16 13 8 18 18 104 Keg Avakian '22
Nick Lorenzen '23
Whitney Young Whitney Young Dolphins B 17 16 15 7 16 17 17 105 Evan Olevich '23
Phillip Nakamura '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (6 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
University of Chicago Laboratory SchoolsUniversity of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 18888888
University of Chicago Laboratory SchoolsUniversity of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 29999999
Jones College PrepJones College Prep Eagles 11111111
Jones College PrepJones College Prep Eagles 22222222
Lake Forest High SchoolLake Forest High School Scouts 13333333
Lake Forest High SchoolLake Forest High School Scouts 24444444
Lane Tech College PrepLane Tech College Prep Varsity5555555
Lyons Township High SchoolLyons Township High School Lions7777777
Whitney YoungWhitney Young Dolphins10101010101010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
University of Chicago Laboratory SchoolsUniversity of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 118181818181818
University of Chicago Laboratory SchoolsUniversity of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 219191919191919
Jones College PrepJones College Prep Eagles 111111111111111
Jones College PrepJones College Prep Eagles 212121212121212
Lake Forest High SchoolLake Forest High School Scouts 113131313131313
Lake Forest High SchoolLake Forest High School Scouts 214141414141414
Lane Tech College PrepLane Tech College Prep Varsity15151515151515
Lyons Township High SchoolLyons Township High School Lions17171717171717
Whitney YoungWhitney Young Dolphins20202020202020

Conditions — 10/25/2020 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 67%  ·  Pressure 1022.8 hPa

Temperature

46°F
↑ 47°F   ↓ 45°F
Feels like 38°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.1 kn
avg  ·  max 12.2 kn
Gusts to 18.5 kn
From ENE (61°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover96% Sunshine3.2 hrs Humidity67% Pressure1022.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 13 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Fenwick/Jones College Prep/Lane Tech College Pr/Lyons Township/U Chicago Laboratory/Whitney Young: a favourites’ day (+0.05)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.10
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.50 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Fenwick/Jones College Prep/Lane Tech College Pr/Lyons Township/U Chicago Laboratory/Whitney Young by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Fenwick/Jones College Prep/Lane Tech College Pr/Lyons Township/U Chicago Laboratory/Whitney Young: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →