Sunday

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Mixed 14 5 19
2 Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles 1 10 15 25
3 University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 13 14 27
4 Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles 2 21 19 40
5 Whitney Young Whitney Young Dolphins 19 26 45
6 Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles white 26 19 45
7 Lyons Township High School Lyons Township High School Lions 16 30 46
8 Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles maroon 27 20 47
9 Lincoln Park High School Lincoln Park High School Mixed 34 32 66
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles 1 3 1 1 5 10 Emmett Nevel '21
Betsy Finley '23
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 2 2 6 3 13 Philip Lengyel '21
Benjamin Luu '23
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Mixed 5 5 2 2 14 Elizabeth Frost '23
Bryan Pan '23
Lyons Township High School Lyons Township High School Lions 4 3 8 1 16 Gavin Dempsey '22
Aidan Walls '21
Whitney Young Whitney Young Dolphins 1 8 4 6 19 Margo Cicero '22
Rossignel Wolfe '22
Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles 2 6 4 7 4 21 Jake Weinstein '23
William Clancy '22
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles white 7 7 5 7 26 Pranjal Singh '21
Phoebe Dix '23
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles maroon 9 6 3 9 27 Ethen Stone '21
Mufei Li '21
Lincoln Park High School Lincoln Park High School Mixed 8 9 9 8 34 Michael Avakian '23
Lily Drobny '22
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Mixed 1 1 2 1 5 David Ren '24
Nick Lorenzen '23
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 4 2 3 5 14 Elias Sveen Erling '22
Amy Ren '23
Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles 1 3 4 4 4 15 David Eskilson '22
Maddie Fitzgerald '22
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles white 5 5 6 3 19 Edwin Becker '21
Maria Ramos '21
Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles 2 7 9 1 2 19 Molly Sheridan '21
Michael Clancy '22
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles maroon 2 6 5 7 20 Sofia Dolan '22 [1-4]
Isabelle Kanach '21 [1-3]
Phoebe Dix '23 [4]
Whitney Young Whitney Young Dolphins 6 3 8 9 26 Evan Olevich '23 [1-4]
Phillip Nakamura '23 [1-2]
Alex Gaspar '23 [3-4]
Lyons Township High School Lyons Township High School Lions 9 8 7 6 30 Keg Avakian '22
Ali Jensen '22
Lincoln Park High School Lincoln Park High School Mixed 8 7 9 8 32 Gretchen Nevel '23
Julia Risk '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (6 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
University of Chicago Laboratory SchoolsUniversity of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons8888
University of Chicago Laboratory SchoolsUniversity of Chicago Laboratory Schools Mixed7777
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles maroon1111
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles white2222
Jones College PrepJones College Prep Eagles 13333
Jones College PrepJones College Prep Eagles 24444
Lincoln Park High SchoolLincoln Park High School Mixed5555
Lyons Township High SchoolLyons Township High School Lions6666
Whitney YoungWhitney Young Dolphins9999

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
University of Chicago Laboratory SchoolsUniversity of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons8888
University of Chicago Laboratory SchoolsUniversity of Chicago Laboratory Schools Mixed7777
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles maroon1111
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles white2222
Jones College PrepJones College Prep Eagles 13333
Jones College PrepJones College Prep Eagles 24444
Lincoln Park High SchoolLincoln Park High School Mixed5555
Lyons Township High SchoolLyons Township High School Lions6666
Whitney YoungWhitney Young Dolphins9999

Conditions — 10/04/2020 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Partly cloudy
Humidity 65%  ·  Pressure 1023.2 hPa

Temperature

50°F
↑ 53°F   ↓ 43°F
Feels like 41°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
12.5 kn
avg  ·  max 14.7 kn
Gusts to 23.3 kn
From NNW (349°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover47% Sunshine10.6 hrs Humidity65% Pressure1023.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 14 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Fenwick/Jones College Prep/Lane Tech College Pr/Lyons Township/U Chicago Laboratory/Whitney Young: a favourites’ day (+0.02)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.26 ± 0.23)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Fenwick/Jones College Prep/Lane Tech College Pr/Lyons Township/U Chicago Laboratory/Whitney Young by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Fenwick/Jones College Prep/Lane Tech College Pr/Lyons Township/U Chicago Laboratory/Whitney Young: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →