2021-22 PCISA SoCal 1 Gold

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 1 16 16
2 Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 2 28 28
3 Mira Costa High School Mira Costa High School Mustangs 38 38
4 Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School MONARCHS 1 44 44
5 Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School MONARCHS 3 56 56
6 Francis Parker School Francis Parker School Parker 2 58 58
7 Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 2 62 62
8 Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School MONARCHS 2 62 62
9 Sailors Sailors Sailors 65 65
10 Francis Parker School Francis Parker School Parker 1 66 66
11 Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 1 99 99
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 1 1 1 1 1 2 5 2 1 2 16 Calvin Schmid '22
Kate Bossler '25
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 2 3 2 6 5 1 4 1 2 4 28 Harrison Strom '24
No Show
Mira Costa High School Mira Costa High School Mustangs 2 8 9 3 5 3 3 4 1 38 Jack Bradley '23
Ronan Curnyn '25
Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School MONARCHS 1 4 5 5 2 3 2 7 6 10 44 No Show
No Show
Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School MONARCHS 3 10 9 3 4 6 8 5 5 6 56 Tate Oyler '25
Morgan Williams '22
Francis Parker School Francis Parker School Parker 2 9 10 8 10 4 1 6 3 7 58 Joey Richardson '24
Charlotte Plant '24
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 2 6 4 2 8 9 10 9 9 5 62 Connor Chung '22
Claire Rosene '23
Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School MONARCHS 2 8 3 7 7 10 9 8 7 3 62 Brady Kennedy '25
Hampton Tester '25
Sailors Sailors Sailors 5 7 10 9 7 7 4 8 8 65
Francis Parker School Francis Parker School Parker 1 7 6 4 6 8 6 10 10 9 66 Garrett Henderson '23 [1-9]
Vivian Zhu '24 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Caeden Nodurft '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 1 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 99 Charlie Hilgeman '25
Liam Ensley '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (6 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School Sea Kings 1101010101010101010
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School Sea Kings 2111111111111111111
Francis Parker SchoolFrancis Parker School Parker 1222222222
Francis Parker SchoolFrancis Parker School Parker 2111111111
Mater Dei High SchoolMater Dei High School MONARCHS 1999999999
Mater Dei High SchoolMater Dei High School MONARCHS 2888888888
Mater Dei High SchoolMater Dei High School MONARCHS 3777777777
Mira Costa High SchoolMira Costa High School Mustangs333333333
SailorsSailors Sailors666666666
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers 1555555555
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers 2444444444

Conditions — 09/18/2021 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 66%  ·  Pressure 1016.7 hPa

Temperature

71°F
↑ 74°F   ↓ 66°F
Feels like 71°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.6 kn
avg  ·  max 10.8 kn
Gusts to 20.6 kn
From WNW (298°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover10% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity66% Pressure1016.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Francis Parker: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.00 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.06 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Francis Parker by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Francis Parker, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →