Foundry Halloween Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats 5 13 18
2 Bay High School Bay High School Rockets 13 5 18
3 Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Pirates 13 16 29
4 Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Mascots 30 12 42
5 New Albany High School New Albany High School Mixed 16 36 52
6 Olentangy High School Olentangy High School Mixed 35 18 53
7 Hathaway Brown School Hathaway Brown School Mixed 26 30 56
8 St. Edward High School St. Edward High School Mixed 30 33 63
9 Olentangy Berlin HS Olentangy Berlin HS Mixed 37 30 67
10 Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman Rocks 32 36 68
11 Hawken School Hawken School Hawks 27 44 71
12 Westerville Central High School Westerville Central High School Mixed 48 39 87
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats 1 2 1 1 5 Eric Pohl '22
Gavin Hirz '22
Bay High School Bay High School Rockets 2 1 5 5 13 Jonathan Mack '22
Annika Vanderhorst '23
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Pirates 3 5 2 3 13 Jacob Myers '24
Rider Myers '26
New Albany High School New Albany High School Mixed 5 3 6 2 16 Beylan Gode '25
Bobby Ream '25
Hathaway Brown School Hathaway Brown School Mixed 9 7 3 7 26 Lee Mcbride '23
Rachel Blumin '24
Hawken School Hawken School Hawks 4 9 10 4 27 Fletcher Allyn '23
Katie Blossom '26
Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Mascots 7 8 7 8 30 Emma Friedauer '23
Brady Smith '22
St. Edward High School St. Edward High School Mixed 11 4 9 6 30 Charles Schaffner '22
William Garland '25
Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman Rocks 6 6 11 9 32 Emerson Becker '24
Gavin Grundei '25
Olentangy High School Olentangy High School Mixed 10 11 4 10 35 Graham Newbauer '24
Bella Harris '25
Olentangy Berlin HS Olentangy Berlin HS Mixed 8 10 8 11 37 Liam Rodriguez '24
Aiden Rodriguez '26
Westerville Central High School Westerville Central High School Mixed 12 12 12 12 48 Sofia Ely '23
Colleen Corson '23
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Bay High School Bay High School Rockets 1 2 1 1 5 Jack Vanderhorst '22
Noah Scholtz '25
Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Mascots 2 1 2 7 12 Mason Shaw '22
Kaden Mcclary '24
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats 3 4 3 3 13 Adam Starck '25
Brady Mayer '25
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Pirates 4 3 5 4 16 Buck Rathbun '24
Reese Levinson '25
Olentangy High School Olentangy High School Mixed 6 6 4 2 18 Sami York '24
Lily Broklof '24
Hathaway Brown School Hathaway Brown School Mixed 5 9 8 8 30 Cole Wallace '25
Annette Breton '22
Olentangy Berlin HS Olentangy Berlin HS Mixed 8 5 11 6 30 Emma Hershey '23
Rose Darner '26
St. Edward High School St. Edward High School Mixed 7 12 9 5 33 Brendan Callahan '25
Matteo Ebbitt '25
New Albany High School New Albany High School Mixed 9 7 10 10 36 Noah Olsen '22
Nick Hartshorn '25
Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman Rocks 10 10 7 9 36 Evelyn Hannah '24
Kai Ellsworth '25
Westerville Central High School Westerville Central High School Mixed 11 11 6 11 39 Mia Eisma '24
Chris Harry '26
Hawken School Hawken School Hawks 12 8 12 12 44 Marin Allyn '26
Cooper Ryan '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2021 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Bay High SchoolBay High School Rockets1133
Dublin CoffmanDublin Coffman Rocks2244
Hathaway Brown SchoolHathaway Brown School Mixed3355
Hawken SchoolHawken School Hawks4466
New Albany High SchoolNew Albany High School Mixed5577
Olentangy High SchoolOlentangy High School Mixed7799
Olentangy Berlin HSOlentangy Berlin HS Mixed6688
Olentangy Liberty High SchoolOlentangy Liberty High School Mascots881010
Rocky River High SchoolRocky River High School Pirates991111
St. Edward High SchoolSt. Edward High School Mixed10101212
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OHSt. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats111111
Westerville Central High SchoolWesterville Central High School Mixed121222

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Bay High SchoolBay High School Rockets2244
Dublin CoffmanDublin Coffman Rocks3355
Hathaway Brown SchoolHathaway Brown School Mixed4466
Hawken SchoolHawken School Hawks5577
New Albany High SchoolNew Albany High School Mixed6688
Olentangy High SchoolOlentangy High School Mixed881010
Olentangy Berlin HSOlentangy Berlin HS Mixed7799
Olentangy Liberty High SchoolOlentangy Liberty High School Mascots991111
Rocky River High SchoolRocky River High School Pirates10101212
St. Edward High SchoolSt. Edward High School Mixed111111
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OHSt. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats121222
Westerville Central High SchoolWesterville Central High School Mixed1133

Conditions — 10/30/2021 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 89%  ·  Pressure 1000.3 hPa

Temperature

53°F
↑ 55°F   ↓ 51°F
Feels like 50°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.2 kn
avg  ·  max 6.6 kn
Gusts to 14.0 kn
From ENE (56°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine1.0 hrs Humidity89% Pressure1000.3 hPa Rain0.08 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Bay/Hathaway Brown/Rocky River/St. Edward/St. Ignatius (OH): a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.25 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Bay/Hathaway Brown/Rocky River/St. Edward/St. Ignatius (OH) by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Bay/Hathaway Brown/Rocky River/St. Edward/St. Ignatius (OH), so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →