Navigate

Oct. 9 - Tier 3 Regatta

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Scouts 7 7
2 Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Romans 1 19 19
3 Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MUDJ 1 20 20
4 New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 3 29 29
5 New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 5 33 33
6 New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 2 43 43
7 Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 2 59 59
8 New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 4 66 66
9 Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies 69 69
10 New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 1 70 70
11 Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 1 72 72
12 Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Trailblazers 74 74
13 Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MUDJ 2 77 77
14 Glenbrook South High School Glenbrook South High School Titans 80 80
15 Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Romans 2 85 85
16 Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 90 90
17 New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 6 94 94
18 Friars 2 Friars 2 Friars 2 98 MRP 98 MRP
19 Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Romans 3 104 104
20 DePaul College Prep DePaul College Prep Varsity 106 106
21 Friars 1 Friars 1 Friars 1 131 MRP 131 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Scouts 1 1 2 1 1 1 7 Grady Strothman '26
Mary Carter '24
Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Romans 1 2 3 5 2 2 5 19 Oliver Gray '25
Oscar Wolniak '25
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MUDJ 1 3 2 3 6 4 2 20 Nick Myneni '22
Gavin Lamphier '22
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 3 4 7 1 4 6 7 29 Aiala Angueira Salbidegoitia '26
Christopher Sawicz '24
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 5 5 6 6 7 3 6 33 Elise Brandt '25
Tara Hecht '25
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 2 7 4 4 9 7 12 43 Santiago Benes '24
Nora Donahue '24
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 2 17 9 7 13 5 8 59 Lia Nafe '25
Agnes Hart '23
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 4 8 5 15 14 15 9 66 Lillian Lipford '24
Ava Pankauskas '24
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies 11 14 8 10 11 15 69 Sean Carmody '25
Harry Wu '24
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 1 12 16 13 8 8 13 70 Preston Levy '24
Ann Tokoyoda '24
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 1 6 12 12 18 14 10 72 No Show [1-6]
Frank Wildi '25 [1-3]
No Show [4-6]
Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Trailblazers 16 19 17 3 16 3 74 Elliott Sutton '24
Gavin Parsons '24
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MUDJ 2 18 8 10 11 13 17 77 Nathan Green '23
Joseph Mcloughlin '24
Glenbrook South High School Glenbrook South High School Titans 20 13 11 5 10 21 80 Anna Guest '24 [1-3]
No Show [4-6]
Tacy Guest Guest '22 [1-3]
Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Romans 2 13 11 14 12 21 14 85 Henry Ramsey '25
Sammy Rubinov '25
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 10 10 20 21 9 20 90 Kirby Cox '24 [1-6]
Giles Gilbert-Bartell '24 [1-3]
James Montgomery '22 [4-6]
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 6 9 18 18 20 18 11 94 Madeline Epps '24
David Szymanski '24
Friars 2 Friars 2 Friars 2 15 15 16 16 12 4 98 MRP
Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Romans 3 19 20 9 19 19 18 104 Kira Mahoney '25
Laine Reshefsky '24
DePaul College Prep DePaul College Prep Varsity 14 17 21 15 20 19 106 Nathan Moyer '22
Basil Frater '25
Friars 1 Friars 1 Friars 1 21 21 19 17 17 16 131 MRP
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2021 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Beacon AcademyBeacon Academy Trailblazers202020202020
DePaul College PrepDePaul College Prep Varsity151515151515
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits444444
Friars 1Friars 1 Friars 1131313131313
Friars 2Friars 2 Friars 2191919191919
Glenbrook South High SchoolGlenbrook South High School Titans222222
Lake Forest High SchoolLake Forest High School Scouts212121212121
Latin School of ChicagoLatin School of Chicago Romans 1111111111111
Latin School of ChicagoLatin School of Chicago Romans 2121212121212
Latin School of ChicagoLatin School of Chicago Romans 3141414141414
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers 1333333
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers 2111111
Mercy/University of Detroit JesuitMercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MUDJ 1171717171717
Mercy/University of Detroit JesuitMercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MUDJ 2181818181818
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian 1555555
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian 2666666
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian 3777777
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian 4888888
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian 5999999
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian 6101010101010
Walter Payton College Preparatory High SchoolWalter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies161616161616

Conditions — 10/09/2021 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 78%  ·  Pressure 1012.5 hPa

Temperature

71°F
↑ 76°F   ↓ 64°F
Feels like 73°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.0 kn
avg  ·  max 9.5 kn
Gusts to 15.4 kn
From SE (135°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover41% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity78% Pressure1012.5 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Latin of Chicago/New Trier HS/St. Ignatius (IL)/Walter Payton Colleg: a typical day (−0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.12
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.87 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Latin of Chicago/New Trier HS/St. Ignatius (IL)/Walter Payton Colleg by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Latin of Chicago/New Trier HS/St. Ignatius (IL)/Walter Payton Colleg, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →