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PYC Halloween #2

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Ghosts 23 44 67
2 Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Vampires 31 37 68
3 East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing MIXED 39 43 82
4 Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles white 27 58 85
5 Troy High School Troy High School MIXED vAmps++ 65 24 89
6 Troy High School Troy High School MIXED OOOOOOOOOO? 42 72 114
7 Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue 35 85 120
8 Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School GI Warlocks 70 53 123
9 Pioneer High School Pioneer High School MIXED Hull and Back 109 27 136
10 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School From DC Dead MIXED 55 102 157
11 Troy High School Troy High School MIXED Candy Corn 48 124 172
12 Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles maroon 100 74 174
13 Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles mixed 77 114 191
14 Everest Collegiate High School & Academy Everest Collegiate High School & Academy MIXED Hallowinners 95 109 204
15 Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile Goblins 111 94 205
16 Bloomfield Hills High School Bloomfield Hills High School MIXED Spiders 138 81 219
17 Troy High School Troy High School Blood Types 106 114 220
18 West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Goblins 124 97 221
19 Groves High School Groves High School MIXED Warlocks 104 128 232
20 Bath High School Bath High School Fighting Bees 119 114 233
21 Groves High School Groves High School Bone Voyage 140 109 249
22 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Trick or Treats 144 107 251
23 East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing HS 131 123 254
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Ghosts 1 4 2 1 5 7 3 23 Maren Matthews '22
Anna Mcaughey '24
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles white 4 2 10 4 1 4 2 27 Annie Samis '25
Addison Pohl '23
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Vampires 2 8 1 3 7 5 5 31 Nick Myneni '22
Graham Rebain '25
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue 5 9 9 6 2 3 1 35 Owen Bannasch '22
Emily Fanning '23
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing MIXED 9 3 3 9 8 1 6 39 Michael Cyrul '24
Clayton Debryun '26
Troy High School Troy High School MIXED OOOOOOOOOO? 3 5 6 11 3 6 8 42 Michael Mullins '23
Monika Torkos '23
Troy High School Troy High School MIXED Candy Corn 8 6 11 5 9 2 7 48 Alex Wszolek '25
Brianna Briggs '25
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School From DC Dead MIXED 7 1 4 7 4 13 19 55 Liam Hounsell '23
Cameron Briggs '24
Troy High School Troy High School MIXED vAmps++ 6 12 8 10 6 10 13 65 Dane Greenwood '23
Walter Paliga '22
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School GI Warlocks 13 10 17 2 10 14 4 70 Jimmy Souilliere '23
Griffin Wilcox '25
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles mixed 19 7 5 13 15 9 9 77 Diego Jiminez '25
Wyatt Miller '24
Everest Collegiate High School & Academy Everest Collegiate High School & Academy MIXED Hallowinners 10 18 16 15 14 12 10 95 Diego Kittinger '24
Luca Orsini '27
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles maroon 12 21 13 8 18 17 11 100 Xinshi (Jerry) Feng '23
Hope Hicks '22
Groves High School Groves High School MIXED Warlocks 11 19 14 12 16 15 17 104 Jace Bishop '23
Kai Vanwordragen '25
Troy High School Troy High School Blood Types 14 13 12 16 12 19 20 106 Rodrigo Flores '24
Sophia Worden '23
Pioneer High School Pioneer High School MIXED Hull and Back 15 15 22 19 13 11 14 109 Jacob Doll '22
Aarush Kapur '25
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile Goblins 18 16 7 23 21 8 18 111 Gillian Bellard '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Sydney Porter '24 [3-4, 7]
Sydney Porter '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Gillian Bellard '25 [3-4, 7]
Bath High School Bath High School Fighting Bees 20 11 19 17 22 18 12 119 Brendan Falkowski '22
Ethan Wicks '25
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Goblins 17 23 15 21 11 21 16 124 Ian Phipps '25
Nate Bacheller '23
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing HS 23 17 18 14 17 20 22 131 Logan Miceli '27
Owen Watkins '30
Bloomfield Hills High School Bloomfield Hills High School MIXED Spiders 21 20 21 18 20 23 15 138 Zachary Ring '24 [1-7]
Mayas Smith '26 [1-2]
Isabella Elzon '27 [3-7]
Groves High School Groves High School Bone Voyage 22 14 23 22 19 16 DNS 140 Caden Meyers '22
Gwen Rauscher '23
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Trick or Treats 16 22 20 20 23 22 21 144 Miles Kohn '25
Andy Zhu '23
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Troy High School Troy High School MIXED vAmps++ 2 6 1 2 1 1 11 24 Miles Laker '23
Luke Strickland '22
Pioneer High School Pioneer High School MIXED Hull and Back 1 2 3 12 3 4 2 27 Vinny Paliga '24
Madeline Martin '24
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Vampires 10 1 4 6 2 9 5 37 Liam Dowling '24
Gabe Morreale '24
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing MIXED 5 4 8 3 7 2 14 43 Michael Kovalchick '23
William Quick-Severin '26
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Ghosts 6 7 5 5 6 6 9 44 Brent Armstrong '25
Will Hilborn '22
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School GI Warlocks 3 8 2 1 9 8 22 53 Kellan Knapp '25
Lauren Hinzmann '22
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles white 12 5 7 4 8 5 17 58 Christopher Mikesell '24
Xuqiu (Tina) Wang '23
Troy High School Troy High School MIXED OOOOOOOOOO? 14 12 11 8 10 7 10 72 Nicole Torkos '25
Maya Nagy '26
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles maroon 15 3 9 10 5 11 21 74 Naixin (Angela) Tang '24
Saufong (Irene) Lin '25
Bloomfield Hills High School Bloomfield Hills High School MIXED Spiders 8 10 6 13 18 20 6 81 Quinn Elliott '26
Dorian Ferguson '26
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue 4 9 13 19 16 12 12 85 Liam Bien '22
Nahil Edrisinha '26
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile Goblins 11 11 17 11 11 10 23 94 Jacob Vasicek '23
Eva Ottenbreit '22
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Goblins 9 17 12 14 17 15 13 97 Jamie Stewart '27
Marko Nedeljkovic '24
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School From DC Dead MIXED 7 13 16 17 23 23 3 102 Karen Callahan '23
Andrew Wiand '25
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Trick or Treats 13 16 22 20 4 13 19 107 Cameron Rocco '24
Bryan Lu '25
Everest Collegiate High School & Academy Everest Collegiate High School & Academy MIXED Hallowinners 20 20 15 21 22 3 8 109 Alex Fox '27
Valentino Orsini '25
Groves High School Groves High School Bone Voyage 22 21 14 18 14 16 4 109 Owen Andrews '22 [1-7]
Melanie Girard '23 [1-2, 5-7]
Helena Girard '24 [3-4]
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles mixed 16 14 21 15 13 17 18 114 Arda Sarioglu '27
Allison Liu '23
Bath High School Bath High School Fighting Bees 17 OCS 10 7 19 22 15 114 Cara Falkowski '24
Emily Matko '22
Troy High School Troy High School Blood Types 23 15 19 16 15 19 7 114 Jacob Ritter '24
Bella Satterfield '24
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing HS 19 19 18 9 21 21 16 123 Aidan Pearson '22 [1, 3-5, 7]
Ashwin Kesliker '26 [2, 6]
Ashwin Kesliker '26 [1, 3-5, 7]
Aidan Pearson '22 [2, 6]
Troy High School Troy High School MIXED Candy Corn 18 18 20 22 12 14 20 124 Teddy Mayotte '25
Matthew Pecis '25
Groves High School Groves High School MIXED Warlocks 21 22 23 23 20 18 1 128 Jaclyn Scott '23 [1-7]
Gracie Bleiberg '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Nadiyah Tarver '26 [3-4, 7]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2021 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Bath High SchoolBath High School Fighting Bees1133557
Bloomfield Hills High SchoolBloomfield Hills High School MIXED Spiders2244668
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MIBrother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue3355779
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles maroon55779911
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles white44668810
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School From DC Dead MIXED7799111113
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School Trick or Treats881010121214
East Lansing High SchoolEast Lansing High School East Lansing HS10101212141416
East Lansing High SchoolEast Lansing High School East Lansing MIXED991111131315
Everest Collegiate High School & AcademyEverest Collegiate High School & Academy MIXED Hallowinners11111313151517
Grosse Ile High SchoolGrosse Ile High School GI Warlocks12121414161618
Grosse Ile High SchoolGrosse Ile High School Grosse Ile Goblins13131515171719
Groves High SchoolGroves High School Bone Voyage14141616181820
Groves High SchoolGroves High School MIXED Warlocks15151717191921
Mercy/University of Detroit JesuitMercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Vampires16161818202022
Pioneer High SchoolPioneer High School MIXED Hull and Back17171919212123
Troy High SchoolTroy High School Blood Types20202222113
Troy High SchoolTroy High School MIXED Candy Corn21212323224
Troy High SchoolTroy High School MIXED OOOOOOOOOO?1818202022221
Troy High SchoolTroy High School MIXED vAmps++1919212123232
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School MIXED Ghosts222211335
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School MIXED Goblins232322446

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Bath High SchoolBath High School Fighting Bees2244668
Bloomfield Hills High SchoolBloomfield Hills High School MIXED Spiders3355779
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MIBrother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue44668810
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles maroon6688101012
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles white55779911
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School From DC Dead MIXED881010121214
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School Trick or Treats991111131315
East Lansing High SchoolEast Lansing High School East Lansing HS11111313151517
East Lansing High SchoolEast Lansing High School East Lansing MIXED10101212141416
Everest Collegiate High School & AcademyEverest Collegiate High School & Academy MIXED Hallowinners12121414161618
Grosse Ile High SchoolGrosse Ile High School GI Warlocks13131515171719
Grosse Ile High SchoolGrosse Ile High School Grosse Ile Goblins14141616181820
Groves High SchoolGroves High School Bone Voyage15151717191921
Groves High SchoolGroves High School MIXED Warlocks16161818202022
Mercy/University of Detroit JesuitMercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Vampires17171919212123
Pioneer High SchoolPioneer High School MIXED Hull and Back1818202022221
Troy High SchoolTroy High School Blood Types21212323224
Troy High SchoolTroy High School MIXED Candy Corn222211335
Troy High SchoolTroy High School MIXED OOOOOOOOOO?1919212123232
Troy High SchoolTroy High School MIXED vAmps++20202222113
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School MIXED Ghosts232322446
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School MIXED Goblins1133557
School / Team SkipperCrew
Bath High School Bath High School Brendan Falkowski '22 Ethan Wicks '25
Fighting Bees Cara Falkowski '24 Emily Matko '22
Bloomfield Hills High School Bloomfield Hills High School Zachary Ring '24 [1-7] Mayas Smith '26 [1-2]
Isabella Elzon '27 [3-7]
MIXED Spiders Quinn Elliott '26 Dorian Ferguson '26
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Owen Bannasch '22 Emily Fanning '23
BRM Blue Liam Bien '22 Nahil Edrisinha '26
Culver Academies Culver Academies Xinshi (Jerry) Feng '23 Hope Hicks '22
Eagles maroon Naixin (Angela) Tang '24 Saufong (Irene) Lin '25
Culver Academies Culver Academies Diego Jiminez '25 Wyatt Miller '24
Eagles mixed Arda Sarioglu '27 Allison Liu '23
Culver Academies Culver Academies Annie Samis '25 Addison Pohl '23
Eagles white Christopher Mikesell '24 Xuqiu (Tina) Wang '23
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Liam Hounsell '23 Cameron Briggs '24
From DC Dead MIXED Karen Callahan '23 Andrew Wiand '25
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Miles Kohn '25 Andy Zhu '23
Trick or Treats Cameron Rocco '24 Bryan Lu '25
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School Logan Miceli '27 Owen Watkins '30
East Lansing HS Aidan Pearson '22 [1, 3-5, 7]
Ashwin Kesliker '26 [2, 6]		 Ashwin Kesliker '26 [1, 3-5, 7]
Aidan Pearson '22 [2, 6]
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School Michael Cyrul '24 Clayton Debryun '26
East Lansing MIXED Michael Kovalchick '23 William Quick-Severin '26
Everest Collegiate High School & Academy Everest Collegiate High School & Academy Diego Kittinger '24 Luca Orsini '27
MIXED Hallowinners Alex Fox '27 Valentino Orsini '25
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School Jimmy Souilliere '23 Griffin Wilcox '25
GI Warlocks Kellan Knapp '25 Lauren Hinzmann '22
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School Gillian Bellard '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Sydney Porter '24 [3-4, 7]		 Sydney Porter '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Gillian Bellard '25 [3-4, 7]
Grosse Ile Goblins Jacob Vasicek '23 Eva Ottenbreit '22
Groves High School Groves High School Caden Meyers '22 Gwen Rauscher '23
Bone Voyage Owen Andrews '22 [1-7] Melanie Girard '23 [1-2, 5-7]
Helena Girard '24 [3-4]
Groves High School Groves High School Jace Bishop '23 Kai Vanwordragen '25
MIXED Warlocks Jaclyn Scott '23 [1-7] Gracie Bleiberg '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Nadiyah Tarver '26 [3-4, 7]
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Nick Myneni '22 Graham Rebain '25
Vampires Liam Dowling '24 Gabe Morreale '24
Pioneer High School Pioneer High School Jacob Doll '22 Aarush Kapur '25
MIXED Hull and Back Vinny Paliga '24 Madeline Martin '24
Troy High School Troy High School Rodrigo Flores '24 Sophia Worden '23
Blood Types Jacob Ritter '24 Bella Satterfield '24
Troy High School Troy High School Alex Wszolek '25 Brianna Briggs '25
MIXED Candy Corn Teddy Mayotte '25 Matthew Pecis '25
Troy High School Troy High School Michael Mullins '23 Monika Torkos '23
MIXED OOOOOOOOOO? Nicole Torkos '25 Maya Nagy '26
Troy High School Troy High School Dane Greenwood '23 Walter Paliga '22
MIXED vAmps++ Miles Laker '23 Luke Strickland '22
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School Maren Matthews '22 Anna Mcaughey '24
MIXED Ghosts Brent Armstrong '25 Will Hilborn '22
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School Ian Phipps '25 Nate Bacheller '23
MIXED Goblins Jamie Stewart '27 Marko Nedeljkovic '24

Conditions — 10/30/2021 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 86%  ·  Pressure 1001.8 hPa

Temperature

51°F
↑ 54°F   ↓ 49°F
Feels like 47°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.6 kn
avg  ·  max 10.0 kn
Gusts to 16.3 kn
From NNE (30°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity86% Pressure1001.8 hPa Rain0.06 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Detroit Country Day/Mercy - MI: a typical day (+0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.11
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.15 ± 0.08)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Detroit Country Day/Mercy - MI by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Detroit Country Day/Mercy - MI: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →