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SAISA South Points #2 JV

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 10 15 25
2 H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 20 6 26
3 Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 5 25 30
4 Naples High School Naples High School Golden Eagles 23 17 40
5 Vero Beach High School Vero Beach High School Vero Beach 21 22 43
6 Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 38 27 65
7 South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 37 34 71
8 Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 31 55 86
9 Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 53 43 96
10 Dunedin High School Dunedin High School Dunedin Falcons 44 53 97
11 Palm Harbor University High School (PHUHS) Palm Harbor University High School (PHUHS) ‘Canes 56 42 98
12 Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Panthers 54 56 110
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 1 1 1 1 1 5 Griggs Diemar '25 [1-5]
Violet Martin '24 [1-2, 5]
Evelyn Yu '24 [3-4]
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 2 2 2 2 2 10 Laura Hamilton '23 [1-5]
Parker Bustamante '25 [1-4]
Kaitlyn Hamilton '22 [5]
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 6 3 4 3 4 20 Mathew Pittman '22
Ian Richardson '25
Vero Beach High School Vero Beach High School Vero Beach 4 5 3 4 5 21 Nicholas Crull '26
Ryan Ellison '28
Naples High School Naples High School Golden Eagles 3 4 6 7 3 23 Carson Page '23 [1-2, 5]
Maia Musial '22 [3-4]
Maia Musial '22 [1-2]
Keilan Keith '22 [3-4]
Conner Bricco '22 [5]
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 5 6 9 5 6 31 Gustavo Alonso '25 [1-2, 5]
Ollie Janson '25 [3-4]
Diogo Cruz '25 [1-2, 5]
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 7 7 5 8 10 37 Daphne Dalton '24 [1-2, 5]
Savannah Kautz '25 [3-4]
Sophie Suereth '22 [1-2, 5]
Ruby Suereth '24 [3-4]
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 8 8 7 6 9 38 Austin Peterson '23 [1-4]
Michael Horn '25 [5]
Michael Horn '25 [1-2]
Kai Wolter '24 [3-5]
Dunedin High School Dunedin High School Dunedin Falcons 11 9 8 9 7 44 Olivia Mikkelsen '23
Anish Tejomurtula '23
Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 10 10 12 DNS 8 53 David Wedde '27 [1-5]
Valen Cuevas '24 [1-4]
Cameron King '23 [5]
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Panthers 9 11 10 11 DNS 54 Sean Anagnoste '23
Brennan Ayres '26
Palm Harbor University High School (PHUHS) Palm Harbor University High School (PHUHS) ‘Canes 12 12 11 10 11 56 Eli Herrero '22
No Show
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 1 2 1 1 1 6 Mathew Pittman '22
Ian Richardson '25
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 2 3 5 3 2 15 Michael Morley '22
Danielle Lynch Smith '26
Naples High School Naples High School Golden Eagles 5 1 4 2 5 17 Ryan Garrity '23 [1-5]
Conner Bricco '22 [1-2]
Gabrielle Nafie '24 [3-5]
Vero Beach High School Vero Beach High School Vero Beach 4 6 2 4 6 22 Machael Ladd '26
James Collins '26
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 3 7 6 6 3 25 Gideon Shaked '22 [1-2]
David Dubovy '22 [3-5]
Rebecca Ferrer '24 [1-2]
Christine Keedy-Brown '24 [3-5]
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 6 5 7 5 4 27 Sophia Pacheco '26
Aaron Johnson '24
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 7 4 3 DNS 7 34 Rylan Morris '24 [1-2, 4-5]
Zuzanna Barska '22 [3]
Brady Koren '24 [1-2, 4-5]
Palm Harbor University High School (PHUHS) Palm Harbor University High School (PHUHS) ‘Canes 9 9 9 7 8 42 Aden Ujan '22
Archer Sapp '31
Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 8 10 8 8 9 43 Ainsley Miller '23 [1-2, 4-5]
Cameron King '23 [3]
Tilden Coate '24 [1-3, 5]
Cameron King '23 [4]
Dunedin High School Dunedin High School Dunedin Falcons 12 11 11 9 10 53 Colin Colbert '23
Madeleine Delfino '25
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 11 8 10 OCS OCS 55 Gregg Chase '25 [1-2, 5]
Benjamin Pasquier '25 [3-4]
Mateo Lowe '24 [1-2, 5]
Daniel Lipof '24 [3-4]
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Panthers 10 DNF 12 10 11 56 Rachel Becker '23 [1-5]
Aurora Christiansen '26 [1-2, 5]
Daniel Wilentz '23 [3-4]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2021 (6 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons21122112211221122112
Martin County High SchoolMartin County High School Tigers85798579857985798579
Naples High SchoolNaples High School Golden Eagles88888
Pine Crest SchoolPine Crest School Panthers77777
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers20122012201220122012
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders33333
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS11121112111211121112
Vero Beach High SchoolVero Beach High School Vero Beach1111111111

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons21122112211221122112
Martin County High SchoolMartin County High School Tigers85798579857985798579
Naples High SchoolNaples High School Golden Eagles88888
Pine Crest SchoolPine Crest School Panthers77777
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers20122012201220122012
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders33333
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS11121112111211121112
Vero Beach High SchoolVero Beach High School Vero Beach1111111111
School / Team SkipperCrew
Dunedin High School Dunedin High School Olivia Mikkelsen '23 Anish Tejomurtula '23
Dunedin Falcons Colin Colbert '23 Madeleine Delfino '25
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Gustavo Alonso '25 [1-2, 5]
Ollie Janson '25 [3-4]		 Diogo Cruz '25 [1-2, 5]
Raiders Gregg Chase '25 [1-2, 5]
Benjamin Pasquier '25 [3-4]		 Mateo Lowe '24 [1-2, 5]
Daniel Lipof '24 [3-4]
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Mathew Pittman '22 Ian Richardson '25
Panthers Mathew Pittman '22 Ian Richardson '25
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Austin Peterson '23 [1-4]
Michael Horn '25 [5]		 Michael Horn '25 [1-2]
Kai Wolter '24 [3-5]
Falcons Sophia Pacheco '26 Aaron Johnson '24
Martin County High School Martin County High School David Wedde '27 [1-5] Valen Cuevas '24 [1-4]
Cameron King '23 [5]
Tigers Ainsley Miller '23 [1-2, 4-5]
Cameron King '23 [3]		 Tilden Coate '24 [1-3, 5]
Cameron King '23 [4]
Naples High School Naples High School Carson Page '23 [1-2, 5]
Maia Musial '22 [3-4]		 Maia Musial '22 [1-2]
Keilan Keith '22 [3-4]
Conner Bricco '22 [5]
Golden Eagles Ryan Garrity '23 [1-5] Conner Bricco '22 [1-2]
Gabrielle Nafie '24 [3-5]
Palm Harbor University High School (PHUHS) Palm Harbor University High School (PHUHS) Eli Herrero '22 No Show
‘Canes Aden Ujan '22 Archer Sapp '31
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Sean Anagnoste '23 Brennan Ayres '26
Panthers Rachel Becker '23 [1-5] Aurora Christiansen '26 [1-2, 5]
Daniel Wilentz '23 [3-4]
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Griggs Diemar '25 [1-5] Violet Martin '24 [1-2, 5]
Evelyn Yu '24 [3-4]
Raiders Gideon Shaked '22 [1-2]
David Dubovy '22 [3-5]		 Rebecca Ferrer '24 [1-2]
Christine Keedy-Brown '24 [3-5]
South Fork High School South Fork High School Daphne Dalton '24 [1-2, 5]
Savannah Kautz '25 [3-4]		 Sophie Suereth '22 [1-2, 5]
Ruby Suereth '24 [3-4]
SF BULLDOGS Rylan Morris '24 [1-2, 4-5]
Zuzanna Barska '22 [3]		 Brady Koren '24 [1-2, 4-5]
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Laura Hamilton '23 [1-5] Parker Bustamante '25 [1-4]
Kaitlyn Hamilton '22 [5]
Raiders Michael Morley '22 Danielle Lynch Smith '26
Vero Beach High School Vero Beach High School Nicholas Crull '26 Ryan Ellison '28
Vero Beach Machael Ladd '26 James Collins '26

Conditions — 10/23/2021 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 79%  ·  Pressure 1015.5 hPa

Temperature

79°F
↑ 81°F   ↓ 77°F
Feels like 85°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.0 kn
avg  ·  max 9.0 kn
Gusts to 16.7 kn
From ENE (64°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover99% Sunshine4.8 hrs Humidity79% Pressure1015.5 hPa Rain0.04 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Jensen Beach: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.14)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.12 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.27
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.75 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.14 means a rating gap counts about 12% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Jensen Beach by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at Jensen Beach, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →