Silver NorCal #1

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco Wildcats 1 7 7
2 San Domenico High School San Domenico High School Panthers 2 9 9
3 Design Tech High School Design Tech High School d.tech 1 17 17
4 Stevenson School Stevenson School Pirates 24 24
5 Miramonte High School Miramonte High School Matadors 1 24 24
6 Menlo-Atherton Menlo-Atherton Varsity 26 26
7 Albany High School (CA) Albany High School (CA) Varsity 27 27
8 The Urban School The Urban School Blues 32 32
9 El Cerrito High School El Cerrito High School Varsity 33 33
10 Crystal Springs Uplands School Crystal Springs Uplands School Griffins 40 40
11 The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 2 45 45
12 The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 1 51 51
13 St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco Wildcats 2 56 56
14 Berkeley High School Berkeley High School Yellowjackets 1 59 59
15 Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs 60 60
16 Berkeley High School Berkeley High School Yellowjackets 2 62 62
17 International HS - SF International HS - SF Jaguars 73 73
18 Miramonte High School Miramonte High School Matadors 2 76 76
19 Tamalpais High School Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 76 76
20 San Domenico High School San Domenico High School Panthers 1 76 76
21 St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA St Joseph Notre Dame 87 87
22 Henry M. Gunn High School Henry M. Gunn High School Titans 96 96
23 Design Tech High School Design Tech High School d.tech 2 96 96
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco Wildcats 1 1 1 3 2 7 Beckett Shinn '25 [1-4]
Miles White '25 [1-2]
Brooke Hiller '25 [3-4]
San Domenico High School San Domenico High School Panthers 2 2 2 2 3 9 Evie Littler '24
Rafael Sanchez '22
Design Tech High School Design Tech High School d.tech 1 3 7 6 1 17 Melanie Magnani '23
Perry Mchale '24
Stevenson School Stevenson School Pirates 4 4 1 15 24 Luc Dupreez '23
Lilah Parker '22
Miramonte High School Miramonte High School Matadors 1 7 5 7 5 24 Zahra Alexander '24
Marco Parramon '26
Menlo-Atherton Menlo-Atherton Varsity 5 9 8 4 26 Dominic Lin '25
Dominic Lin '25
Albany High School (CA) Albany High School (CA) Varsity 6 8 4 9 27 Evan Sullivan '24
Bear Denning '23
The Urban School The Urban School Blues 11 6 9 6 32 Zach Gordon '24 [1-2]
Oliver Yeaman '24 [3-4]
Oliver Yeaman '24 [1-2]
Zach Gordon '24 [3-4]
El Cerrito High School El Cerrito High School Varsity 10 3 13 7 33 Ula Brucker '23
Konrad Crebbs '22
Crystal Springs Uplands School Crystal Springs Uplands School Griffins 8 14 10 8 40 Stefan Luedtke '24
Arianna Smith '22
The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 2 9 12 12 12 45 Kearney Spillane '24 [1-4]
Thalia Altschul '22 [1-2]
Julia Middelton '23 [3-4]
The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 1 12 10 5 DNF 51 Victoria Edwards '23 [1-4]
Emma Yashinsky '23 [1-2]
Maya Urfer '25 [3-4]
St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco Wildcats 2 16 11 15 14 56 Audrey Whitney '22 [1-4]
Sam Wu '22 [1-2]
Will Devine '22 [3-4]
Berkeley High School Berkeley High School Yellowjackets 1 20 15 11 13 59 Megan Amen-Kroeger '22
Asusena Itule Ramos '22
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs 14 18 18 10 60 Audrey Roomian '23
Hayden Walheim '23
Berkeley High School Berkeley High School Yellowjackets 2 13 19 19 11 62 Millay Metz '22
Cody Levine '22
International HS - SF International HS - SF Jaguars 17 16 16 DNS 73 Eleanor Meyer '23
Brady Moore '23
Miramonte High School Miramonte High School Matadors 2 15 20 17 DNS 76 Devin Stuffmann '26
Austin Teodorovic '24
Tamalpais High School Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 19 13 20 DNF 76 Daniel Preger '23
Charles Winstead '24
San Domenico High School San Domenico High School Panthers 1 21 17 14 DNS 76 Owen Chan '23 [1-4]
Filipe Engelhardt '22 [1-3]
Julia Vierra '22 [4]
St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA St Joseph Notre Dame 18 21 DNF DNS 87 Amanda Wheeler '25
Luke Probst '26
Henry M. Gunn High School Henry M. Gunn High School Titans DNS DNS DNS DNS 96 No Show
No Show
Design Tech High School Design Tech High School d.tech 2 DNF DNS DNS DNS 96 Max Mcreynolds '23
Nathan Friedman '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Albany High School (CA)Albany High School (CA) Varsity96969696
Berkeley High SchoolBerkeley High School Yellowjackets 163636363
Berkeley High SchoolBerkeley High School Yellowjackets 260606060
Convent and Stuart Hall High SchoolsConvent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs8888
Crystal Springs Uplands SchoolCrystal Springs Uplands School Griffins36363636
Design Tech High SchoolDesign Tech High School d.tech 138383838
Design Tech High SchoolDesign Tech High School d.tech 240404040
El Cerrito High SchoolEl Cerrito High School Varsity62626262
Henry M. Gunn High SchoolHenry M. Gunn High School Titans35353535
International HS - SFInternational HS - SF Jaguars7777
Menlo-AthertonMenlo-Atherton Varsity34343434
Miramonte High SchoolMiramonte High School Matadors 149494949
Miramonte High SchoolMiramonte High School Matadors 250505050
San Domenico High SchoolSan Domenico High School Panthers 118181818
San Domenico High SchoolSan Domenico High School Panthers 219191919
St. Ignatius College Prep - San FranciscoSt. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco Wildcats 13333
St. Ignatius College Prep - San FranciscoSt. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco Wildcats 24444
St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CASt. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA St Joseph Notre Dame51515151
Stevenson SchoolStevenson School Pirates97979797
Tamalpais High SchoolTamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks80808080
The Bay School of San FranciscoThe Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 183838383
The Bay School of San FranciscoThe Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 282828282
The Urban SchoolThe Urban School Blues5555
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Albany High School (CA) Albany High School (CA) Varsity Evan Sullivan '24 Bear Denning '23
Berkeley High School Berkeley High School Yellowjackets 1 Megan Amen-Kroeger '22 Asusena Itule Ramos '22
Berkeley High School Berkeley High School Yellowjackets 2 Millay Metz '22 Cody Levine '22
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs Audrey Roomian '23 Hayden Walheim '23
Crystal Springs Uplands School Crystal Springs Uplands School Griffins Stefan Luedtke '24 Arianna Smith '22
Design Tech High School Design Tech High School d.tech 1 Melanie Magnani '23 Perry Mchale '24
Design Tech High School Design Tech High School d.tech 2 Max Mcreynolds '23 Nathan Friedman '23
El Cerrito High School El Cerrito High School Varsity Ula Brucker '23 Konrad Crebbs '22
Henry M. Gunn High School Henry M. Gunn High School Titans No Show No Show
International HS - SF International HS - SF Jaguars Eleanor Meyer '23 Brady Moore '23
Menlo-Atherton Menlo-Atherton Varsity Dominic Lin '25 Dominic Lin '25
Miramonte High School Miramonte High School Matadors 1 Zahra Alexander '24 Marco Parramon '26
Miramonte High School Miramonte High School Matadors 2 Devin Stuffmann '26 Austin Teodorovic '24
San Domenico High School San Domenico High School Panthers 1 Owen Chan '23 [1-4] Filipe Engelhardt '22 [1-3]
Julia Vierra '22 [4]
San Domenico High School San Domenico High School Panthers 2 Evie Littler '24 Rafael Sanchez '22
St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco Wildcats 1 Beckett Shinn '25 [1-4] Miles White '25 [1-2]
Brooke Hiller '25 [3-4]
St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco Wildcats 2 Audrey Whitney '22 [1-4] Sam Wu '22 [1-2]
Will Devine '22 [3-4]
St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA St Joseph Notre Dame Amanda Wheeler '25 Luke Probst '26
Stevenson School Stevenson School Pirates Luc Dupreez '23 Lilah Parker '22
Tamalpais High School Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks Daniel Preger '23 Charles Winstead '24
The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 1 Victoria Edwards '23 [1-4] Emma Yashinsky '23 [1-2]
Maya Urfer '25 [3-4]
The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 2 Kearney Spillane '24 [1-4] Thalia Altschul '22 [1-2]
Julia Middelton '23 [3-4]
The Urban School The Urban School Blues Zach Gordon '24 [1-2]
Oliver Yeaman '24 [3-4]
Oliver Yeaman '24 [1-2]
Zach Gordon '24 [3-4]

Conditions — 09/18/2021 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 76%  ·  Pressure 1018.4 hPa

Temperature

64°F
↑ 67°F   ↓ 58°F
Feels like 62°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.8 kn
avg  ·  max 9.7 kn
Gusts to 24.3 kn
From WSW (238°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover77% Sunshine6.5 hrs Humidity76% Pressure1018.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 11 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Berkeley: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.16)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.16 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.00
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.66 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.16 means a rating gap counts about 14% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Berkeley by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (24 labelled days at Berkeley).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →