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2022-23 PCISA SoCal 1 Silver

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Francis Parker School Francis Parker School Parker 16 16
2 San Pedro High School San Pedro High School Pirates 2 20 20
3 Mira Costa High School Mira Costa High School Mustangs 21 21
4 Blue and Gold Blue and Gold Varsity 2 33 33
5 San Pedro High School San Pedro High School Pirates 1 38 38
6 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 49 49
7 Blue and Gold Blue and Gold Varsity 1 60 60
8 JSerra Catholic High School JSerra Catholic High School Lions 2 65 65
9 Coastal Academy High School Coastal Academy High School Stingrays 2 65 65
10 Coastal Academy High School Coastal Academy High School Stingrays 1 79 79
11 JSerra Catholic High School JSerra Catholic High School Lions 1 82 82
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Francis Parker School Francis Parker School Parker 1 3 2 1 2 3 2 2 16 Caeden Nodurft '25
Noelle Yuen '25
San Pedro High School San Pedro High School Pirates 2 3 4 1 2 4 1 4 1 20 Gwen Hildebrand '25
Nicholas Parsnik '26
Mira Costa High School Mira Costa High School Mustangs 5 1 3 3 3 2 1 3 21 Lili Brennan '25
Kerala Alexander-Zitske '25
Blue and Gold Blue and Gold Varsity 2 4 6 7 4 1 4 3 4 33 Sam Suddath '26
Amy Vanderwaart '26
San Pedro High School San Pedro High School Pirates 1 6 2 4 5 5 6 5 5 38 Kennedy Hildebrand '27
Walker Anger '23
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 2 5 9 8 6 5 8 6 49 Elin Cooper '26
No Show
Blue and Gold Blue and Gold Varsity 1 7 8 8 9 7 7 6 8 60 Ava Reas '26
Matthew Underwood '27
JSerra Catholic High School JSerra Catholic High School Lions 2 8 9 6 6 9 10 7 10 65 Aiden Bird '25
Kaden Brown '26
Coastal Academy High School Coastal Academy High School Stingrays 2 9 10 5 7 8 8 11 7 65 Caleb Redin '25
William "Nathaniel" Camacho '25
Coastal Academy High School Coastal Academy High School Stingrays 1 11 7 10 11 11 9 9 11 79 Benjamin Winn '25
Jack Carson '25
JSerra Catholic High School JSerra Catholic High School Lions 1 10 11 11 10 10 11 10 9 82 Arthur Bimont '26
Jake Good '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Coastal Academy High SchoolCoastal Academy High School Stingrays 17575757575757575
Coastal Academy High SchoolCoastal Academy High School Stingrays 29595959595959595
Francis Parker SchoolFrancis Parker School Parker6565656565656565
Blue and GoldBlue and Gold Varsity 13232323232323232
Blue and GoldBlue and Gold Varsity 23535353535353535
JSerra Catholic High SchoolJSerra Catholic High School Lions 12222222222222222
JSerra Catholic High SchoolJSerra Catholic High School Lions 22323232323232323
Mira Costa High SchoolMira Costa High School Mustangs6161616161616161
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors7070707070707070
San Pedro High SchoolSan Pedro High School Pirates 15757575757575757
San Pedro High SchoolSan Pedro High School Pirates 25454545454545454

Conditions — 09/17/2022 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 71%  ·  Pressure 1010.0 hPa

Temperature

70°F
↑ 73°F   ↓ 67°F
Feels like 71°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.1 kn
avg  ·  max 9.9 kn
Gusts to 18.5 kn
From SW (225°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover53% Sunshine9.6 hrs Humidity71% Pressure1010.0 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Francis Parker: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.14 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.13
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.18 ± 0.19)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Francis Parker by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Francis Parker, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →