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2022 Norcal 4 Silver Fleet

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Willow Glen High School Willow Glen High School Willow Glen 23 23
2 St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco Wildcats 27 27
3 Oakland Technical High School Oakland Technical High School Varsity 31 31
4 Henry M. Gunn High School Henry M. Gunn High School Titans 1 41 41
5 Aragon High School Aragon High School Aragon 55 55
6 Archbishop Riordan Archbishop Riordan Riordan 55 55
7 Stevenson School Stevenson School Pirates 2 56 56
8 SOTA 2 SOTA 2 SOTA 2 58 58
9 Marin Academy Marin Academy Wildcats 62 62
10 Design Tech High School Design Tech High School d.tech 65 65
11 SOTA 1 SOTA 1 SOTA 1 65 65
12 Varsity Varsity Varsity 67 67
13 Stevenson School Stevenson School Pirates 1 75 75
14 Stevenson School Stevenson School Pirates 3 76 76
15 Alameda High School Alameda High School Hornets 84 84
16 Berkeley High School Berkeley High School Yellowjackets 85 85
17 Piedmont High School Piedmont High School Varsity 87 87
18 Miramonte High School Miramonte High School Matadors 93 93
19 The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 1 95 95
20 Tamalpais High School Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 96 96
21 The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 3 97 97
22 The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 2 98 98
23 Henry M. Gunn High School Henry M. Gunn High School Titans 2 99 99
24 Encinal High School Encinal High School Jets 2 100 100
25 Campolindo High School Campolindo High School Cougars 103 103
26 Palo Alto High Palo Alto High Vikings 104 104
27 Encinal High School Encinal High School Jets 1 109 109
28 Crystal Springs Uplands School Crystal Springs Uplands School Griffins 128 128
29 The Athenian School The Athenian School Owls 128 128
30 Irish Irish Irish 138 138
31 Head-Royce School Head-Royce School Jayhawks 138 138
32 Red Devils Red Devils Red Devils 170 170
33 Saint Mary's (Berkeley, CA) Saint Mary's (Berkeley, CA) Varsity 170 170
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Willow Glen High School Willow Glen High School Willow Glen 2 4 5 10 2 23 Yasmine Crum '25 [1-2, 4-5]
Isabelle Greunke '24 [3]
Isabelle Greunke '24 [1-2, 4-5]
Yasmine Crum '25 [3]
St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco Wildcats 3 10 6 4 4 27 Miles Coleman '25 [1-5]
Helen Plam '26 [1-2, 5]
Mikah Panisik '25 [3-4]
Oakland Technical High School Oakland Technical High School Varsity 13 1 1 15 1 31 Garrett Connorton '27
Aaron Ziegler '26
Henry M. Gunn High School Henry M. Gunn High School Titans 1 1 5 25 7 3 41 Jaiden Jacobs '24
Jaehyoung Park '24
Aragon High School Aragon High School Aragon 4 13 3 17 18 55 Marie Peroulas '29
Chloe Park '24
Archbishop Riordan Archbishop Riordan Riordan 11 11 17 6 10 55 Eva Bennett '25 [1-5]
Sophie Bucker '24 [1-2, 5]
Elizabeth Walsh '26 [3-4]
Stevenson School Stevenson School Pirates 2 8 16 4 8 20 56 Tibet Kilic '24
Tim Zhao '24
SOTA 2 SOTA 2 SOTA 2 25 2 7 13 11 58
Marin Academy Marin Academy Wildcats 29 3 9 2 19 62 Colin Holzwarth '25
William Larson '25
Design Tech High School Design Tech High School d.tech 12 8 16 14 15 65 Will Kizer '25
Skye Crawford '25
SOTA 1 SOTA 1 SOTA 1 23 20 15 1 6 65
Varsity Varsity Varsity 7 22 8 21 9 67
Stevenson School Stevenson School Pirates 1 5 14 OCS 5 17 75 Abbie Zhang '24 [1-5]
Sadie Marinerstein '24 [1-2, 4-5]
Brady Wang '23 [3]
Stevenson School Stevenson School Pirates 3 6 17 DNS 3 16 76 Patrick O'Hara '27
Sarah Brewster '23
Alameda High School Alameda High School Hornets 16 7 DNF 19 8 84 Camille Dawson '23
Kelly Benson '24
Berkeley High School Berkeley High School Yellowjackets 9 12 13 28 23 85 Nolan Whitehill '24
Jack Brencic '27
Piedmont High School Piedmont High School Varsity 21 18 20 16 12 87 Conor Kim '23
Peter Stokes '24
Miramonte High School Miramonte High School Matadors 20 15 24 27 7 93 Giulia Delling '26 [1-3]
Tristan Anderle '24 [4-5]
Tristan Anderle '24 [1-2]
Cyrus Alexander '27 [3-5]
The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 1 15 26 19 11 24 95 Milo Sperry '25 [1-5]
Coral Buono '24 [1-2, 5]
Jaiden Gimminck '25 [3-4]
Tamalpais High School Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 24 27 10 22 13 96 Reid Imwalle '26
Genevieve Cantin '25
The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 3 10 21 18 23 25 97 Max Borgiotti '25 [1, 3, 5]
Lelio Maurillo '25 [2, 4]
Lelio Maurillo '25 [1, 3, 5]
Max Borgiotti '25 [2, 4]
The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 2 18 OCS 11 9 26 98 Nico Anders '26
Kearney Spillane '24
Henry M. Gunn High School Henry M. Gunn High School Titans 2 19 28 22 25 5 99 David Hervy '25
Kai Lee '24
Encinal High School Encinal High School Jets 2 26 6 OCS 20 14 100 Ellie Tucker '27
Ava Estilaei '27
Campolindo High School Campolindo High School Cougars 17 OCS 12 18 22 103 Liam Hearn '24 [1-5]
Sage Balducci '26 [1-2]
Patricia Davila Gil '26 [3-5]
Palo Alto High Palo Alto High Vikings 14 24 26 12 28 104 Cal Currier '24
Maxwell Warren '27
Encinal High School Encinal High School Jets 1 22 19 21 26 21 109 Cyrus Estilaei '27
Ben Brownlee '27
Crystal Springs Uplands School Crystal Springs Uplands School Griffins 27 25 23 24 29 128 Rohaan Iyer '25
Audrey Xu '26
The Athenian School The Athenian School Owls 28 23 14 29 DNS 128 California Nunes '24
Matthew Daco '26
Irish Irish Irish DNS DNS 2 DNS DNS 138
Head-Royce School Head-Royce School Jayhawks DNF 9 DNF DNS 27 138 Gus Jenkins '27
Ferris Warner '27
Red Devils Red Devils Red Devils DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 170
Saint Mary's (Berkeley, CA) Saint Mary's (Berkeley, CA) Varsity DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 170 Claire Abboud '24
Finn Mutrux '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (12 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Alameda High SchoolAlameda High School Hornets5757575757
Aragon High SchoolAragon High School Aragon3636363636
Archbishop RiordanArchbishop Riordan Riordan1010101010
Berkeley High SchoolBerkeley High School Yellowjackets5959595959
Campolindo High SchoolCampolindo High School Cougars4646464646
Crystal Springs Uplands SchoolCrystal Springs Uplands School Griffins3232323232
Design Tech High SchoolDesign Tech High School d.tech3030303030
Encinal High SchoolEncinal High School Jets 14949494949
Encinal High SchoolEncinal High School Jets 25050505050
Henry M. Gunn High SchoolHenry M. Gunn High School Titans 13333333333
Henry M. Gunn High SchoolHenry M. Gunn High School Titans 23434343434
Head-Royce SchoolHead-Royce School Jayhawks4343434343
Marin AcademyMarin Academy Wildcats6767676767
Miramonte High SchoolMiramonte High School Matadors4848484848
Oakland Technical High SchoolOakland Technical High School Varsity4545454545
Palo Alto HighPalo Alto High Vikings3838383838
Piedmont High SchoolPiedmont High School Varsity5151515151
IrishIrish Irish7272727272
VarsityVarsity Varsity3939393939
SOTA 1SOTA 1 SOTA 17373737373
SOTA 2SOTA 2 SOTA 27575757575
Red DevilsRed Devils Red Devils11111
St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San FranciscoSt. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco Wildcats44444
Saint Mary's (Berkeley, CA)Saint Mary's (Berkeley, CA) Varsity00000
Stevenson SchoolStevenson School Pirates 19797979797
Stevenson SchoolStevenson School Pirates 29898989898
Stevenson SchoolStevenson School Pirates 39999999999
Tamalpais High SchoolTamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks7979797979
The Athenian SchoolThe Athenian School Owls4747474747
The Bay School of San FranciscoThe Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 18383838383
The Bay School of San FranciscoThe Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 28282828282
The Bay School of San FranciscoThe Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 38181818181
Willow Glen High SchoolWillow Glen High School Willow Glen110110110110110
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Alameda High School Alameda High School Hornets Camille Dawson '23 Kelly Benson '24
Aragon High School Aragon High School Aragon Marie Peroulas '29 Chloe Park '24
Archbishop Riordan Archbishop Riordan Riordan Eva Bennett '25 [1-5] Sophie Bucker '24 [1-2, 5]
Elizabeth Walsh '26 [3-4]
Berkeley High School Berkeley High School Yellowjackets Nolan Whitehill '24 Jack Brencic '27
Campolindo High School Campolindo High School Cougars Liam Hearn '24 [1-5] Sage Balducci '26 [1-2]
Patricia Davila Gil '26 [3-5]
Crystal Springs Uplands School Crystal Springs Uplands School Griffins Rohaan Iyer '25 Audrey Xu '26
Design Tech High School Design Tech High School d.tech Will Kizer '25 Skye Crawford '25
Encinal High School Encinal High School Jets 1 Cyrus Estilaei '27 Ben Brownlee '27
Encinal High School Encinal High School Jets 2 Ellie Tucker '27 Ava Estilaei '27
Head-Royce School Head-Royce School Jayhawks Gus Jenkins '27 Ferris Warner '27
Henry M. Gunn High School Henry M. Gunn High School Titans 1 Jaiden Jacobs '24 Jaehyoung Park '24
Henry M. Gunn High School Henry M. Gunn High School Titans 2 David Hervy '25 Kai Lee '24
Marin Academy Marin Academy Wildcats Colin Holzwarth '25 William Larson '25
Miramonte High School Miramonte High School Matadors Giulia Delling '26 [1-3]
Tristan Anderle '24 [4-5]		 Tristan Anderle '24 [1-2]
Cyrus Alexander '27 [3-5]
Oakland Technical High School Oakland Technical High School Varsity Garrett Connorton '27 Aaron Ziegler '26
Palo Alto High Palo Alto High Vikings Cal Currier '24 Maxwell Warren '27
Piedmont High School Piedmont High School Varsity Conor Kim '23 Peter Stokes '24
Saint Mary's (Berkeley, CA) Saint Mary's (Berkeley, CA) Varsity Claire Abboud '24 Finn Mutrux '26
St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco Wildcats Miles Coleman '25 [1-5] Helen Plam '26 [1-2, 5]
Mikah Panisik '25 [3-4]
Stevenson School Stevenson School Pirates 1 Abbie Zhang '24 [1-5] Sadie Marinerstein '24 [1-2, 4-5]
Brady Wang '23 [3]
Stevenson School Stevenson School Pirates 2 Tibet Kilic '24 Tim Zhao '24
Stevenson School Stevenson School Pirates 3 Patrick O'Hara '27 Sarah Brewster '23
Tamalpais High School Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks Reid Imwalle '26 Genevieve Cantin '25
The Athenian School The Athenian School Owls California Nunes '24 Matthew Daco '26
The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 1 Milo Sperry '25 [1-5] Coral Buono '24 [1-2, 5]
Jaiden Gimminck '25 [3-4]
The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 2 Nico Anders '26 Kearney Spillane '24
The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 3 Max Borgiotti '25 [1, 3, 5]
Lelio Maurillo '25 [2, 4]		 Lelio Maurillo '25 [1, 3, 5]
Max Borgiotti '25 [2, 4]
Willow Glen High School Willow Glen High School Willow Glen Yasmine Crum '25 [1-2, 4-5]
Isabelle Greunke '24 [3]		 Isabelle Greunke '24 [1-2, 4-5]
Yasmine Crum '25 [3]

Conditions — 11/06/2022 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 74%  ·  Pressure 1013.0 hPa

Temperature

55°F
↑ 58°F   ↓ 52°F
Feels like 51°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.6 kn
avg  ·  max 9.4 kn
Gusts to 20.6 kn
From WSW (251°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover85% Sunshine9.0 hrs Humidity74% Pressure1013.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Alameda: a typical day (−0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.15 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.13
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.15 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Alameda by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at Alameda, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →