Halloween Regatta PYC

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Vamps++OK! MIXED 26
2 Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Green 54
3 West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Goblins 60
4 Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Ahh...Pumpkins MIXED 103
5 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Ghost 112
6 Troy High School Troy High School MIXED OOO? 134
7 Troy High School Troy High School MIXED Candy Corn 156
8 Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Pumpkin Heads MIXED 170
9 West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Blood Types 172
10 Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Blue 183
11 Groves High School Groves High School Bone Voyage MIXED 187
12 East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing MIXED 200
13 Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MIXED MUDJkins 207
14 Everest Collegiate High School & Academy Everest Collegiate High School & Academy MIXED Hallowinners 208
15 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Mixed Skeletons 220
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Vamps++OK! MIXED A 1 2 2 8 13 Liam Hounsell '23
Sophia Worden '23
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Vamps++OK! MIXED B 2 4 4 3 13 Dane Greenwood '23
Miles Laker '23
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Goblins B 3 5 1 5 14 Jack Armstrong '25
Braden Setzer Carmody '25
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Green A 6 3 10 1 20 Walter Miller '23
Charlie Gonzalez '23
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Green B 15 1 11 7 34 Aaron Wang '25
Ritvik Sampath '25
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Goblins A 10 DNF 3 2 46 Vinny Paliga '24
Nicholas Holmes '24
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Ahh...Pumpkins MIXED A 8 DNF 5 4 48 Michael Mullins '23
Monika Torkos '23
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Ahh...Pumpkins MIXED B 5 DNF 8 11 55 Brent Armstrong '25
Nicole Torkos '25
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Ghost A 12 DNF 7 6 56 Sean Ellison '25
Aarush Kapur '25
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Ghost B 4 DNF 9 12 56 Miles Kohn '25
Andrew Wiand '25
Troy High School Troy High School MIXED OOO? A 9 DNF 13 10 63 Rodrigo Flores '24
Diego Kittinger '24
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Blood Types A 7 DNF 14 19 71 Ian Phipps '25
Teddy Mayotte '25
Troy High School Troy High School MIXED OOO? B 16 DNF 15 9 71 Jamie Stewart '27
Maya Nagy '26
Troy High School Troy High School MIXED Candy Corn A 19 DNF 12 13 75 Bella Satterfield '24
Clara Le Moal '24
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing MIXED A 11 DNF 17 17 76 Blake Glazer '27 [1-4]
Logan Miceli '27 [1]
Austin Kovalchick '28 [2-4]
Troy High School Troy High School MIXED Candy Corn B 18 DNF 18 14 81 Jacob Ritter '24
Brigitte Chan '24
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Pumpkin Heads MIXED A 14 DNF 16 21 82 Brennan Breakiron '28
Ryan Ellison '28
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Blue A 13 DNF 23 16 83 Jack Harman '23
Gunnar Dudlar '23
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Pumpkin Heads MIXED B 29 DNF 6 22 88 Erin Degrazia '27
Claire Fagan '26
Groves High School Groves High School Bone Voyage MIXED B 17 DNF 25 18 91 Marko Nedeljkovic '24
Brianna Briggs '25
Everest Collegiate High School & Academy Everest Collegiate High School & Academy MIXED Hallowinners A 24 DNF 22 15 92 Luca Orsini '27
Valentino Orsini '25
Groves High School Groves High School Bone Voyage MIXED A 21 DNF 24 20 96 Luc Messner '27
Isabella Elzon '27
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MIXED MUDJkins A 20 DNF 21 25 97 Maverick Killips '25
Luca Gioia '26
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Blue B 22 DNF 19 28 100 Thomas Chen '25
Henry Chibe '25
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Blood Types B 27 DNF 20 23 101 Cameron Rocco '24
Ashwin Kesliker '26
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Mixed Skeletons B 26 DNF 26 26 109 Isha Ummadi '27
Alex Fox '27
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MIXED MUDJkins B 28 DNF 27 24 110 Matthew Pecis '25
Andre Olejnik '26
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Mixed Skeletons A 25 DNF 28 27 111 Shiv Sahni '28
Yuyang Duan '27
Everest Collegiate High School & Academy Everest Collegiate High School & Academy MIXED Hallowinners B 23 DNS DNS DNS 116 Eric Ellison '24
Cameron Briggs '24
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing MIXED B DNS DNS DNS DNS 124 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Birmingham Public SchoolsBirmingham Public Schools Ahh...Pumpkins MIXED11111111
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MIBrother Rice/Marian High School - MI Pumpkin Heads MIXED8888
Cranbrook KingswoodCranbrook Kingswood Blue4444
Cranbrook KingswoodCranbrook Kingswood Green5555
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School MIXED Ghost22222222
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School Mixed Skeletons1111
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School Vamps++OK! MIXED9999
East Lansing High SchoolEast Lansing High School East Lansing MIXED3333
Everest Collegiate High School & AcademyEverest Collegiate High School & Academy MIXED Hallowinners7777
Groves High SchoolGroves High School Bone Voyage MIXED23232323
Mercy/University of Detroit JesuitMercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MIXED MUDJkins10101010
Troy High SchoolTroy High School MIXED Candy Corn12121212
Troy High SchoolTroy High School MIXED OOO?13131313
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School MIXED Blood Types15151515
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School MIXED Goblins14141414

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Birmingham Public SchoolsBirmingham Public Schools Ahh...Pumpkins MIXED26262626
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MIBrother Rice/Marian High School - MI Pumpkin Heads MIXED16161616
Cranbrook KingswoodCranbrook Kingswood Blue17171717
Cranbrook KingswoodCranbrook Kingswood Green18181818
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School MIXED Ghost21212121
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School Mixed Skeletons2222
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School Vamps++OK! MIXED19191919
East Lansing High SchoolEast Lansing High School East Lansing MIXED6924692469246924
Everest Collegiate High School & AcademyEverest Collegiate High School & Academy MIXED Hallowinners6666
Groves High SchoolGroves High School Bone Voyage MIXED24242424
Mercy/University of Detroit JesuitMercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MIXED MUDJkins25252525
Troy High SchoolTroy High School MIXED Candy Corn27272727
Troy High SchoolTroy High School MIXED OOO?28282828
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School MIXED Blood Types20202020
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School MIXED Goblins29292929
School / Team SkipperCrew
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Michael Mullins '23 Monika Torkos '23
Ahh...Pumpkins MIXED Brent Armstrong '25 Nicole Torkos '25
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brennan Breakiron '28 Ryan Ellison '28
Pumpkin Heads MIXED Erin Degrazia '27 Claire Fagan '26
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Jack Harman '23 Gunnar Dudlar '23
Blue Thomas Chen '25 Henry Chibe '25
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Walter Miller '23 Charlie Gonzalez '23
Green Aaron Wang '25 Ritvik Sampath '25
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Sean Ellison '25 Aarush Kapur '25
MIXED Ghost Miles Kohn '25 Andrew Wiand '25
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Shiv Sahni '28 Yuyang Duan '27
Mixed Skeletons Isha Ummadi '27 Alex Fox '27
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Liam Hounsell '23 Sophia Worden '23
Vamps++OK! MIXED Dane Greenwood '23 Miles Laker '23
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School Blake Glazer '27 [1-4] Logan Miceli '27 [1]
Austin Kovalchick '28 [2-4]
East Lansing MIXED No Show No Show
Everest Collegiate High School & Academy Everest Collegiate High School & Academy Luca Orsini '27 Valentino Orsini '25
MIXED Hallowinners Eric Ellison '24 Cameron Briggs '24
Groves High School Groves High School Luc Messner '27 Isabella Elzon '27
Bone Voyage MIXED Marko Nedeljkovic '24 Brianna Briggs '25
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Maverick Killips '25 Luca Gioia '26
MIXED MUDJkins Matthew Pecis '25 Andre Olejnik '26
Troy High School Troy High School Bella Satterfield '24 Clara Le Moal '24
MIXED Candy Corn Jacob Ritter '24 Brigitte Chan '24
Troy High School Troy High School Rodrigo Flores '24 Diego Kittinger '24
MIXED OOO? Jamie Stewart '27 Maya Nagy '26
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School Ian Phipps '25 Teddy Mayotte '25
MIXED Blood Types Cameron Rocco '24 Ashwin Kesliker '26
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School Vinny Paliga '24 Nicholas Holmes '24
MIXED Goblins Jack Armstrong '25 Braden Setzer Carmody '25

Conditions — 10/29/2022 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 82%  ·  Pressure 1029.1 hPa

Temperature

50°F
↑ 56°F   ↓ 40°F
Feels like 47°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.3 kn
avg  ·  max 5.3 kn
Gusts to 11.7 kn
From ENE (66°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover57% Sunshine7.3 hrs Humidity82% Pressure1029.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Detroit Country Day/West Bloomfield: a favourites’ day (+0.08)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.18
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.16 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Detroit Country Day/West Bloomfield by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Detroit Country Day/West Bloomfield, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →