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MI 420 State Championships

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue Devils 12 12 24
2 West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School Lakers Varsity 44 14 58
3 Holland Christian High School Holland Christian High School Maroon 54 19 73
4 Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Varsity 21 57 78
5 Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red 52 28 80
6 Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Varsity Black 54 32 86
7 Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Blue 33 60 93
8 Black River Public School Black River Public School Varsity 28 75 103
9 East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Pioneers 75 60 135
10 Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Cubs 69 67 136
11 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Varsity 77 65 142
12 St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Varsity Blue 76 66 142
13 Traverse City West Traverse City West TCW Varsity Green 73 83 156
14 Troy High School Troy High School Varsity 68 100 168
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue Devils 1 2 1 4 1 2 1 12 Gavin Webster '24
Colin Hexter '23
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Varsity 3 4 5 1 2 4 2 21 Michael Mullins '23
Sean Ellison '25
Black River Public School Black River Public School Varsity 9 3 3 3 3 3 4 28 Lj Nykamp '25
Anneke Hackney '25
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Blue 2 1 11 8 5 1 5 33 Charlie Gonzalez '23 [1-7]
Walter Miller '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Max Crozier '23 [3-4, 7]
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School Lakers Varsity 4 8 7 2 10 10 3 44 Brent Armstrong '25 [1-7]
Jack Armstrong '25 [1-6]
Alex Wszolek '25 [7]
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red 5 9 2 12 8 6 10 52 Nyle Eggert '24 [1-7]
Ani Hough '24 [1-2, 7]
Andrew Twa '24 [3-6]
Holland Christian High School Holland Christian High School Maroon 6 5 6 5 DSQ 11 6 54 Greta Traver '23
Sophia Pierce '23
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Varsity Black 8 6 12 10 4 5 9 54 Quinn Gerber '26 [1-7]
Grace Vanstratt '27 [1-4]
Simon Hegg '24 [5-7]
Troy High School Troy High School Varsity 11 7 13 7 9 7 14 68 Dane Greenwood '23
Matthew Pecis '25
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Cubs 10 10 10 6 13 13 7 69 Graham Rebain '25 [1-7]
Liam Dowling '24 [1-4, 7]
Declan O'Brien '24 [5-6]
Traverse City West Traverse City West TCW Varsity Green 12 13 9 11 6 9 13 73 Alex Reynolds '24
Max Braund '24
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Pioneers 13 12 14 9 7 12 8 75 Elizabeth Grin '23
Catherine Grin '26
St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Varsity Blue 14 11 8 13 11 8 11 76 Luke Adams '24
Anna Cate Maday '25
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Varsity 7 14 4 14 12 14 12 77 Liam Hounsell '23 [1-7]
Andrew Wiand '25 [1-2, 7]
Cameron Rocco '24 [3-5]
Bryan Lu '25 [6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue Devils 1 1 RDG 2 4 1 1 12 Braden Vogel '23 [1-4, 6-7]
Eric Brieden '24 [5]
Charlie Gmeiner '23 [1-4, 6-7]
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School Lakers Varsity 2 2 1 1 2 4 2 14 Vinny Paliga '24
Ian Phipps '25
Holland Christian High School Holland Christian High School Maroon 4 4 2 3 1 2 3 19 Amelia Traver '24
Lily Johnson '23
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red 3 3 4 6 3 5 4 28 Jack Hubbard '25
Alexis Twa '26
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Varsity Black 7 5 3 4 5 3 5 32 Lucas Rodenroth '24 [1-7]
Simon Hegg '24 [1-2]
Cooper Gerber '26 [3-7]
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Varsity 11 6 9 7 9 8 7 57 Nasser Awada '23
Nate Bacheller '24
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Pioneers 6 10 10 9 8 9 8 60 Ella Towner '23
Emily Grin '26
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Blue 12 9 8 12 7 6 6 60 Aaron Wang '25 [1-7]
Jack Harman '23 [1-4]
Gunnar Dudlar '23 [5-7]
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Varsity 10 7 5 10 11 11 11 65 Aarush Kapur '25 [1-7]
Miles Laker '23 [1-4, 7]
Miles Kohn '25 [5-6]
St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Varsity Blue 8 RAF 6 8 10 10 9 66 Tyler Winowiecki '23
Sophia Barbas '26
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Cubs RAF 8 7 5 12 7 13 67 Gabe Morreale '24 [1-7]
Quinn Elliott '26 [1-4, 7]
Maverick Killips '25 [5-6]
Black River Public School Black River Public School Varsity 9 12 13 11 6 12 12 75 Kiarra Bracelly '25 [1-7]
Jonas Pearson '25 [1-2, 5-7]
Ruby Muehlenz '25 [3-4]
Traverse City West Traverse City West TCW Varsity Green 5 11 12 DNS DNS DNS 10 83 Cameron Keillor '24 [1-7]
Brady Mohr '26 [1-6]
Max Braund '24 [7]
Troy High School Troy High School Varsity 13 13 14 DNS DNS DNS DNS 100 Jacob Ritter '24
Teddy Mayotte '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2015 (13 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Birmingham Public SchoolsBirmingham Public Schools Varsity18182020222224
Black River Public SchoolBlack River Public School Varsity11111313151517
Cranbrook KingswoodCranbrook Kingswood Blue12121414161618
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School Varsity13131515171719
East Grand RapidsEast Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Pioneers14141616181820
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Blue Devils15151717191921
Holland Christian High SchoolHolland Christian High School Maroon16161818202022
Mercy/University of Detroit JesuitMercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Cubs17171919212123
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Red19192121232311
St. Francis High School Traverse CitySt. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Varsity Blue20202222242412
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central TCC Varsity Black21212323111113
Traverse City WestTraverse City West TCW Varsity Green22222424121214
Troy High SchoolTroy High School Varsity23231111131315
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School Lakers Varsity24241212141416

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Birmingham Public SchoolsBirmingham Public Schools Varsity19192121232311
Black River Public SchoolBlack River Public School Varsity12121414161618
Cranbrook KingswoodCranbrook Kingswood Blue13131515171719
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School Varsity14141616181820
East Grand RapidsEast Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Pioneers15151717191921
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Blue Devils16161818202022
Holland Christian High SchoolHolland Christian High School Maroon17171919212123
Mercy/University of Detroit JesuitMercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Cubs18182020222224
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Red20202222242412
St. Francis High School Traverse CitySt. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Varsity Blue21212323111113
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central TCC Varsity Black22222424121214
Traverse City WestTraverse City West TCW Varsity Green23231111131315
Troy High SchoolTroy High School Varsity24241212141416
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School Lakers Varsity11111313151517
School / Team SkipperCrew
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Michael Mullins '23 Sean Ellison '25
Varsity Nasser Awada '23 Nate Bacheller '24
Black River Public School Black River Public School Lj Nykamp '25 Anneke Hackney '25
Varsity Kiarra Bracelly '25 [1-7] Jonas Pearson '25 [1-2, 5-7]
Ruby Muehlenz '25 [3-4]
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Charlie Gonzalez '23 [1-7] Walter Miller '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Max Crozier '23 [3-4, 7]
Blue Aaron Wang '25 [1-7] Jack Harman '23 [1-4]
Gunnar Dudlar '23 [5-7]
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Liam Hounsell '23 [1-7] Andrew Wiand '25 [1-2, 7]
Cameron Rocco '24 [3-5]
Bryan Lu '25 [6]
Varsity Aarush Kapur '25 [1-7] Miles Laker '23 [1-4, 7]
Miles Kohn '25 [5-6]
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids Elizabeth Grin '23 Catherine Grin '26
EGR Varsity Pioneers Ella Towner '23 Emily Grin '26
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Gavin Webster '24 Colin Hexter '23
Blue Devils Braden Vogel '23 [1-4, 6-7]
Eric Brieden '24 [5]		 Charlie Gmeiner '23 [1-4, 6-7]
Holland Christian High School Holland Christian High School Greta Traver '23 Sophia Pierce '23
Maroon Amelia Traver '24 Lily Johnson '23
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Graham Rebain '25 [1-7] Liam Dowling '24 [1-4, 7]
Declan O'Brien '24 [5-6]
Cubs Gabe Morreale '24 [1-7] Quinn Elliott '26 [1-4, 7]
Maverick Killips '25 [5-6]
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Nyle Eggert '24 [1-7] Ani Hough '24 [1-2, 7]
Andrew Twa '24 [3-6]
Red Jack Hubbard '25 Alexis Twa '26
St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City Luke Adams '24 Anna Cate Maday '25
TCSF Varsity Blue Tyler Winowiecki '23 Sophia Barbas '26
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central Quinn Gerber '26 [1-7] Grace Vanstratt '27 [1-4]
Simon Hegg '24 [5-7]
TCC Varsity Black Lucas Rodenroth '24 [1-7] Simon Hegg '24 [1-2]
Cooper Gerber '26 [3-7]
Traverse City West Traverse City West Alex Reynolds '24 Max Braund '24
TCW Varsity Green Cameron Keillor '24 [1-7] Brady Mohr '26 [1-6]
Max Braund '24 [7]
Troy High School Troy High School Dane Greenwood '23 Matthew Pecis '25
Varsity Jacob Ritter '24 Teddy Mayotte '25
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School Brent Armstrong '25 [1-7] Jack Armstrong '25 [1-6]
Alex Wszolek '25 [7]
Lakers Varsity Vinny Paliga '24 Ian Phipps '25

Conditions — 10/15/2022 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 51%  ·  Pressure 1011.5 hPa

Temperature

48°F
↑ 53°F   ↓ 42°F
Feels like 38°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
12.6 kn
avg  ·  max 14.1 kn
Gusts to 29.2 kn
From WSW (257°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover47% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity51% Pressure1011.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 15 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Detroit Country Day: an underdogs’ day (−0.07)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.06
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.40 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 7% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Detroit Country Day by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Detroit Country Day, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →