MISSA Great Oaks Qualifier

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 New Albany High School New Albany High School Eagles 86 86
2 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Varsity 103 103
3 Holland Christian High School Holland Christian High School Maroon 137 137
4 West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School Lakers Varsity 140 140
5 Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Cubs 144 144
6 Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Blue 149 149
7 Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman Rocks 156 156
8 Olentangy Berlin HS Olentangy Berlin HS Varsity 158 158
9 Glenbrook South High School Glenbrook South High School Titans 163 163
10 Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Varsity 169 169
11 Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red 200 200
12 Troy High School Troy High School Colts 202 202
13 Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Gold 210 210
14 East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing HS 251 251
15 Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 257 257
16 Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Trailblazers 265 265
17 Thomas Worthington High School Thomas Worthington High School Cardinals 270 270
18 Bexley High School Bexley High School Lions 295 295
19 Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Varsity 316 316
20 Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue 374 374
21 Bloomfield Hills High School Bloomfield Hills High School Black Hawks 377 377
22 Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Patriots 389 389
23 Avondale High School Avondale High School Avondale 443 443
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 R17 R18 R19 TOT Sailors
New Albany High School New Albany High School Eagles 7 7 1 3 3 1 13 2 3 7 11 1 2 2 11 7 2 2 1 86 Beylan Gode '25 [1-19]
Bobby Ream '26 [1-2, 5, 10-11, 16-19]
Lily Broklof '24 [3-4, 6-9, 12-15]
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Varsity 2 4 5 2 4 2 2 7 6 3 10 4 9 12 7 3 12 5 4 103 Liam Hounsell '23 [1-19]
Miles Laker '23 [1-14]
Aarush Kapur '25 [15-19]
Holland Christian High School Holland Christian High School Maroon RDG 10 9 4 9 6 8 8 7 11 3 14 11 3 9 4 1 8 5 137 Greta Traver '23
Amelia Traver '24
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School Lakers Varsity 6 3 2 13 2 5 DSQ 5 13 13 5 8 8 10 6 10 4 1 2 140 Vinny Paliga '24 [1-12, 15-19]
Brent Armstrong '25 [13-14]
Liam Gilin '25 [1-7, 10-14]
Jack Armstrong '25 [8-9, 15-19]
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Cubs 1 8 4 1 12 8 3 6 4 8 4 12 3 11 12 17 18 4 RDG 144 Graham Rebain '25 [1-19]
Liam Dowling '24 [1-4, 6-11, 16-17]
Gabe Morreale '24 [5, 12-15, 18-19]
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Blue 9 5 7 9 11 7 7 19 1 5 12 3 4 5 14 11 6 7 7 149 Charlie Gonzalez '23 [1-19]
Walter Miller '23 [1-10]
Gunnar Dudlar '23 [11-19]
Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman Rocks 8 2 12 15 10 13 15 4 2 2 1 7 1 4 3 12 17 16 12 156 Emerson Becker '24
Gavin Grundei '25
Olentangy Berlin HS Olentangy Berlin HS Varsity 4 12 8 6 RDG 18 5 1 12 4 9 11 17 1 1 5 9 12 15 158 Liam Rodriguez '24 [1-19]
Nicholas Robertson '23 [1-4, 7-19]
Aiden Rodriguez '26 [5-6]
Glenbrook South High School Glenbrook South High School Titans 12 9 13 18 6 3 10 14 5 9 7 2 10 13 5 8 10 3 6 163 Jakub Fuja '23
Colin Herbolsheimer '23
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Varsity 16 11 14 5 13 19 12 3 8 15 14 9 5 9 2 2 3 6 3 169 Nasser Awada '23 [1-9]
Michael Mullins '23 [10, 12-19]
Sean Ellison '25 [11]
Nate Bacheller '24 [1-9, 11-19]
Sean Ellison '25 [10]
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red 10 14 11 12 7 11 4 15 17 10 15 5 7 8 10 9 14 11 10 200 Jack Hubbard '25 [1-2, 6-9, 12-15]
Max Eggert '26 [3-5, 10-11, 16-19]
Lucas Williams '26 [1-2, 5, 10-11, 16-19]
Alexis Twa '26 [3-4, 6-9, 12-15]
Troy High School Troy High School Colts 3 1 3 10 5 16 1 9 19 6 8 13 14 17 DSQ 16 11 18 8 202 Rodrigo Flores '24 [1-13, 15-18]
Dane Greenwood '23 [14, 19]
Dane Greenwood '23 [1-13, 18]
Jacob Ritter '24 [14-17, 19]
Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Gold 15 6 10 7 16 22 14 20 11 1 2 10 18 18 8 1 7 13 11 210 Payden Pittman '24 [1-4, 8-12, 15-18]
Gavin Yonker '24 [5-7, 13-14, 19]
Kari Taylor '25 [1-3, 8-9, 13-15, 19]
Joshua Hacker '24 [4-7, 10-12, 16-18]
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing HS 18 18 15 8 8 14 9 13 9 16 17 6 13 16 13 18 8 14 18 251 Michael Kovalchik '23
Clayton Debruyn '26
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 13 13 16 17 14 17 21 11 16 14 16 15 15 7 17 6 5 15 9 257 Eva Decastro '24
Finn Mcdaniel '24
Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Trailblazers 5 16 17 14 1 10 18 17 14 17 19 19 16 15 16 14 15 9 13 265 Noah Blake '23
Stella Brown '23
Thomas Worthington High School Thomas Worthington High School Cardinals 11 17 19 16 18 4 16 16 15 21 18 16 6 14 4 15 13 17 14 270 Finn Mahoney '25 [1-19]
Ellie Hutchings '26 [1-4, 6-7, 10-11, 14-19]
Jack Calfee '26 [5, 8-9, 12-13]
Bexley High School Bexley High School Lions 19 19 18 19 17 9 19 10 10 12 20 18 19 6 18 20 16 10 16 295 Henry Elmore '25
Teddy Weiland '28
Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Varsity 14 15 6 21 15 15 6 18 21 19 6 21 21 DNF OCS 13 19 19 19 316 Olivia Schaffner '26 [1-19]
Stephanie Hwodeky '23 [1-2, 5, 8-9, 12-13, 16-17]
Allison Pruss '25 [3-4, 6-7, 10-11, 14-15, 18-19]
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue 22 23 21 11 22 12 17 21 22 22 22 22 22 20 19 19 20 20 17 374 Brian Totonchi '24 [1-4]
Alexandra Hafley '23 [5-7, 10-11]
Andrew Melchior '26 [8-9, 12-19]
Andrew Melchior '26 [1-2, 10-11]
Alexandra Hafley '23 [3-4, 8-9, 12-19]
Claire Fagan '26 [5-7]
Bloomfield Hills High School Bloomfield Hills High School Black Hawks 21 20 20 22 19 21 11 22 20 18 13 20 20 19 15 DNS DNS DNS DNS 377 Karen Callahan '23
Isabella Elzon '27
Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Patriots 17 22 23 20 23 20 20 12 18 20 21 17 12 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 389 Connor Coate '25
Jacob Hartong '26
Avondale High School Avondale High School Avondale 20 21 22 23 21 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 443 Brigitte Chan '24
Jessa Chan '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A16A17A18A19A
Avondale High SchoolAvondale High School Avondale112234455667788991010
Beacon AcademyBeacon Academy Trailblazers22334556677889910101111
Bexley High SchoolBexley High School Lions3344566778899101011111212
Birmingham Public SchoolsBirmingham Public Schools Varsity1919202021222223231122334455
Bloomfield Hills High SchoolBloomfield Hills High School Black Hawks445567788991010111112121313
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MIBrother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue55667889910101111121213131414
Cranbrook KingswoodCranbrook Kingswood Blue6677899101011111212131314141515
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School Varsity778891010111112121313141415151616
Dublin CoffmanDublin Coffman Rocks8899101111121213131414151516161717
East Lansing High SchoolEast Lansing High School East Lansing HS991010111212131314141515161617171818
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits10101111121313141415151616171718181919
Glenbrook South High SchoolGlenbrook South High School Titans11111212131414151516161717181819192020
Grand Haven High SchoolGrand Haven High School GH Gold12121313141515161617171818191920202121
Holland Christian High SchoolHolland Christian High School Maroon13131414151616171718181919202021212222
Mercy/University of Detroit JesuitMercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Cubs14141515161717181819192020212122222323
New Albany High SchoolNew Albany High School Eagles151516161718181919202021212222232311
Olentangy Berlin HSOlentangy Berlin HS Varsity1616171718191920202121222223231122
Olentangy Liberty High SchoolOlentangy Liberty High School Patriots17171818192020212122222323112233
Saint Joseph Academy (OH)Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Varsity181819192021212222232311223344
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Red20202121222323112233445566
Thomas Worthington High SchoolThomas Worthington High School Cardinals212122222311223344556677
Troy High SchoolTroy High School Colts22222323122334455667788
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School Lakers Varsity232311233445566778899
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Avondale High School Avondale High School Avondale Brigitte Chan '24 Jessa Chan '23
Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Trailblazers Noah Blake '23 Stella Brown '23
Bexley High School Bexley High School Lions Henry Elmore '25 Teddy Weiland '28
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Varsity Nasser Awada '23 [1-9]
Michael Mullins '23 [10, 12-19]
Sean Ellison '25 [11]
Nate Bacheller '24 [1-9, 11-19]
Sean Ellison '25 [10]
Bloomfield Hills High School Bloomfield Hills High School Black Hawks Karen Callahan '23 Isabella Elzon '27
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue Brian Totonchi '24 [1-4]
Alexandra Hafley '23 [5-7, 10-11]
Andrew Melchior '26 [8-9, 12-19]
Andrew Melchior '26 [1-2, 10-11]
Alexandra Hafley '23 [3-4, 8-9, 12-19]
Claire Fagan '26 [5-7]
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Blue Charlie Gonzalez '23 [1-19] Walter Miller '23 [1-10]
Gunnar Dudlar '23 [11-19]
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Varsity Liam Hounsell '23 [1-19] Miles Laker '23 [1-14]
Aarush Kapur '25 [15-19]
Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman Rocks Emerson Becker '24 Gavin Grundei '25
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing HS Michael Kovalchik '23 Clayton Debruyn '26
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits Eva Decastro '24 Finn Mcdaniel '24
Glenbrook South High School Glenbrook South High School Titans Jakub Fuja '23 Colin Herbolsheimer '23
Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Gold Payden Pittman '24 [1-4, 8-12, 15-18]
Gavin Yonker '24 [5-7, 13-14, 19]
Kari Taylor '25 [1-3, 8-9, 13-15, 19]
Joshua Hacker '24 [4-7, 10-12, 16-18]
Holland Christian High School Holland Christian High School Maroon Greta Traver '23 Amelia Traver '24
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Cubs Graham Rebain '25 [1-19] Liam Dowling '24 [1-4, 6-11, 16-17]
Gabe Morreale '24 [5, 12-15, 18-19]
New Albany High School New Albany High School Eagles Beylan Gode '25 [1-19] Bobby Ream '26 [1-2, 5, 10-11, 16-19]
Lily Broklof '24 [3-4, 6-9, 12-15]
Olentangy Berlin HS Olentangy Berlin HS Varsity Liam Rodriguez '24 [1-19] Nicholas Robertson '23 [1-4, 7-19]
Aiden Rodriguez '26 [5-6]
Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Patriots Connor Coate '25 Jacob Hartong '26
Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Varsity Olivia Schaffner '26 [1-19] Stephanie Hwodeky '23 [1-2, 5, 8-9, 12-13, 16-17]
Allison Pruss '25 [3-4, 6-7, 10-11, 14-15, 18-19]
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red Jack Hubbard '25 [1-2, 6-9, 12-15]
Max Eggert '26 [3-5, 10-11, 16-19]
Lucas Williams '26 [1-2, 5, 10-11, 16-19]
Alexis Twa '26 [3-4, 6-9, 12-15]
Thomas Worthington High School Thomas Worthington High School Cardinals Finn Mahoney '25 [1-19] Ellie Hutchings '26 [1-4, 6-7, 10-11, 14-19]
Jack Calfee '26 [5, 8-9, 12-13]
Troy High School Troy High School Colts Rodrigo Flores '24 [1-13, 15-18]
Dane Greenwood '23 [14, 19]
Dane Greenwood '23 [1-13, 18]
Jacob Ritter '24 [14-17, 19]
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School Lakers Varsity Vinny Paliga '24 [1-12, 15-19]
Brent Armstrong '25 [13-14]
Liam Gilin '25 [1-7, 10-14]
Jack Armstrong '25 [8-9, 15-19]

Conditions — 09/24/2022 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 66%  ·  Pressure 1014.5 hPa

Temperature

61°F
↑ 64°F   ↓ 57°F
Feels like 57°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.2 kn
avg  ·  max 9.1 kn
Gusts to 16.5 kn
From S (189°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover88% Sunshine3.7 hrs Humidity66% Pressure1014.5 hPa Rain0.13 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 10 kn · W 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Detroit Country Day/West Bloomfield: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.00 ± 0.08)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Detroit Country Day/West Bloomfield by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Detroit Country Day/West Bloomfield, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →