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Mobile Bay Series 1

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 St. Michael Catholic High School St. Michael Catholic High School Cardinals Red 6 6
2 Fairhope High School Fairhope High School Pirates 7 7
3 Bayshore Christian School Bayshore Christian School Eagles 12 12
4 St. Michael Catholic High School St. Michael Catholic High School Cardinals White 17 17
5 St. Michael Catholic High School St. Michael Catholic High School Cardinals Grey 19 19
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
St. Michael Catholic High School St. Michael Catholic High School Cardinals Red 1 2 2 1 6 Nate Hartwell '24 [1-4]
Anna Christian Moore '26 [1-2]
Gavin Byrnes '27 [3-4]
Fairhope High School Fairhope High School Pirates 2 1 1 3 7 Layton Dugger '26
Ferris Hepworth '27
Bayshore Christian School Bayshore Christian School Eagles 4 3 3 2 12 Cruz Dabney '26 [1, 4]
Aidyn James '25 [2-3]
Aidyn James '25 [1, 4]
Cruz Dabney '26 [2-3]
St. Michael Catholic High School St. Michael Catholic High School Cardinals White 3 4 5 5 17 Ethan Agerton '24
Cole Gunter '24
St. Michael Catholic High School St. Michael Catholic High School Cardinals Grey DNS 5 4 4 19 Graham Rose '24
Fisher Key '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2020 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Bayshore Christian SchoolBayshore Christian School Eagles12121212
Fairhope High SchoolFairhope High School Pirates16161616
St. Michael Catholic High SchoolSt. Michael Catholic High School Cardinals Grey17171717
St. Michael Catholic High SchoolSt. Michael Catholic High School Cardinals Red13131313
St. Michael Catholic High SchoolSt. Michael Catholic High School Cardinals White9999

Conditions — 09/11/2022 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 77%  ·  Pressure 1016.3 hPa

Temperature

82°F
↑ 85°F   ↓ 77°F
Feels like 91°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.4 kn
avg  ·  max 7.0 kn
Gusts to 14.2 kn
From SSW (203°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover29% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity77% Pressure1016.3 hPa Rain0.02 in

What this breeze does at St. Michael Catholic — from fleet racing

Breeze: SW about 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at St. Michael Catholic in this breeze: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.13)
Underdogs’ conditions: in fleet racing here the fleet bunches up and lower-rated boats beat the seeds more often than usual.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.13 means a rating gap counts about 12% less than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at St. Michael Catholic by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at St. Michael Catholic, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →