Nor Cal 1 Gold

HostRichmond Yacht Club
Date09/24/2022
TypeIn-League
BoatCFJ
Scoring1 Division

#	School	Team	A	TOT
1	The Urban School	Blues	7	7
2	Redwood	Giants 1	9	9
3	Acalanes High School	Dons 1	10	10
4	Encinal High School	Jets 2	11	11
5	The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 1	12	12
6	The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 2	12	12
7	Aragon High School	Aragon	15	15
8	Encinal High School	Jets 1	18	18
9	Redwood	Giants 3	18	18
10	Alameda High School	Hornets 2	19	19
11	Stevenson School	Pirates	20	20
12	SF University High School	Red Devils 2	31	31
13	San Domenico High School	Panthers 1	31	31
14	Pacific Collegiate School	Varsity 1	31	31
15	Berkeley High School	Yellowjackets	34	34
16	Design Tech High School	d.tech 1	35	35
17	Menlo-Atherton	Varsity	38	38
18	SF University High School	Red Devils 1	38	38
19	Design Tech High School	d.tech 2	39	39
20	Redwood	Giants 2	39	39
21	Archbishop Riordan	Riordan	43	43
22	St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco	Wildcats	44	44
23	Carlmont	The Scots	44	44
24	The Nueva School	The Nueva	44	44
25	Design Tech High School	d.tech 3	44	44
26	San Domenico High School	Panthers 2	46	46
27	Alameda High School	Hornets 1	46	46
28	Acalanes High School	Dons 2	49	49
29	Pacific Collegiate School	Varsity 2	50	50
30	Crystal Springs Uplands School	Griffins	53	53

School	Team	R1	R2	TOT	Sailors
The Urban School	Blues	5	2	7	Tucker Lamoreux '23 Henry Scalise '26
Redwood	Giants 1	6	3	9	Morgan Headington '24 Henry Vare '26
Acalanes High School	Dons 1	1	9	10	Brendan Connelly '23 Jenna Englehart '24
Encinal High School	Jets 2	10	1	11	Emi Puertas '27 [1] Marco Puertas '24 [2] Marco Puertas '24 [1] Ava Estilaei '27 [2]
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 1	2	10	12	Cody Lamoreux '23 [1-2] Jaiden Gimminck '25 [1] Anna Rauh '26 [2]
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 2	4	8	12	Caleb Everett '26 Nico Anders '26
Aragon High School	Aragon	11	4	15	Lucas Kasper '23 Marie Peroulas '29
Encinal High School	Jets 1	3	15	18	Kyle Nguyen '24 Ellie Tucker '27
Redwood	Giants 3	7	11	18	Nathan Posard '26 Lauren Olsen '24
Alameda High School	Hornets 2	14	5	19	Reid Sojka '26 Joby Overton '26
Stevenson School	Pirates	8	12	20	Max Mccormick '24 Stevie Thomsen '23
SF University High School	Red Devils 2	12	19	31	Alice Newmeyer '25 Andrew James '25
San Domenico High School	Panthers 1	24	7	31	Evie Littler '24 [1-2] Nina Polyakova '23 [1] Alex Collier-Lake '24 [2]
Pacific Collegiate School	Varsity 1	25	6	31	Garrett Koontz '26 [1-2] Mateo Krok '23 [1] Eduardo Elzy-Loving '26 [2]
Berkeley High School	Yellowjackets	21	13	34	Sage Dillemuth '23 Jade Richheimer '23
Design Tech High School	d.tech 1	13	22	35	Melanie Magnani '23 Simone Karlon '23
Menlo-Atherton	Varsity	15	23	38	Dominic Lin '25 Anne Burg '25
SF University High School	Red Devils 1	18	20	38	Arthur Serra '23 Audrey Mcbride '26
Design Tech High School	d.tech 2	9	30	39	Matthew Huskins '23 Peyton Wright '25
Redwood	Giants 2	23	16	39	Rhett Krawitt '26 [1] Mark Xu '26 [2] Parker Stacy '26 [1]
Archbishop Riordan	Riordan	17	26	43	Antonio Priskich '23 Eva Bennett '25
St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco	Wildcats	16	28	44	Marina Priskich '25 Mikah Panisik '25
Carlmont	The Scots	26	18	44	Anna Stolyarova '25 Ward Brouwer '24
The Nueva School	The Nueva	27	17	44	Max Kaufman '26 Sasha Gordon '24
Design Tech High School	d.tech 3	30	14	44	Nathan Friedman '23 John Nix '25
San Domenico High School	Panthers 2	19	27	46	Anton Gavrilov '23 [1] Owen Chan '23 [2] Owen Chan '23 [1] Matilda Hull '26 [2]
Alameda High School	Hornets 1	22	24	46	Makenan Smith '23 Kelly Benson '24
Acalanes High School	Dons 2	20	29	49	Molly Connelly '26 Jay Shoenhair '26
Pacific Collegiate School	Varsity 2	29	21	50	Amanda Turner '23 [1] Casey Strattan '23 [2] Casey Strattan '23 [1] Amanda Turner '23 [2]
Crystal Springs Uplands School	Griffins	28	25	53	Stefan Luedtke '24 [1-2] Cameron Hicks '24 [1] Romy Szeszkowski '26 [2]

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.130+0.13

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A
Acalanes High School Dons 1	52	52
Acalanes High School Dons 2	51	51
Alameda High School Hornets 1	57	57
Alameda High School Hornets 2	42	42
Aragon High School Aragon	20	20
Archbishop Riordan Riordan	10	10
Berkeley High School Yellowjackets	67	67
Carlmont The Scots	21	21
Crystal Springs Uplands School Griffins	22	22
Design Tech High School d.tech 1	23	23
Design Tech High School d.tech 2	24	24
Design Tech High School d.tech 3	25	25
Encinal High School Jets 1	50	50
Encinal High School Jets 2	49	49
Menlo-Atherton Varsity	31	31
Pacific Collegiate School Varsity 1	101	101
Pacific Collegiate School Varsity 2	102	102
Redwood Giants 1	121	121
Redwood Giants 2	122	122
Redwood Giants 3	123	123
San Domenico High School Panthers 1	16	16
San Domenico High School Panthers 2	17	17
SF University High School Red Devils 1	1	1
SF University High School Red Devils 2	2	2
St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco Wildcats	3	3
Stevenson School Pirates	99	99
The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 1	81	81
The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 2	82	82
The Nueva School The Nueva	32	32
The Urban School Blues	6	6

School	Team	Skipper	Crew
Acalanes High School	Dons 1	Brendan Connelly '23	Jenna Englehart '24
Acalanes High School	Dons 2	Molly Connelly '26	Jay Shoenhair '26
Alameda High School	Hornets 1	Makenan Smith '23	Kelly Benson '24
Alameda High School	Hornets 2	Reid Sojka '26	Joby Overton '26
Aragon High School	Aragon	Lucas Kasper '23	Marie Peroulas '29
Archbishop Riordan	Riordan	Antonio Priskich '23	Eva Bennett '25
Berkeley High School	Yellowjackets	Sage Dillemuth '23	Jade Richheimer '23
Carlmont	The Scots	Anna Stolyarova '25	Ward Brouwer '24
Crystal Springs Uplands School	Griffins	Stefan Luedtke '24 [1-2]	Cameron Hicks '24 [1] Romy Szeszkowski '26 [2]
Design Tech High School	d.tech 1	Melanie Magnani '23	Simone Karlon '23
Design Tech High School	d.tech 2	Matthew Huskins '23	Peyton Wright '25
Design Tech High School	d.tech 3	Nathan Friedman '23	John Nix '25
Encinal High School	Jets 1	Kyle Nguyen '24	Ellie Tucker '27
Encinal High School	Jets 2	Emi Puertas '27 [1] Marco Puertas '24 [2]	Marco Puertas '24 [1] Ava Estilaei '27 [2]
Menlo-Atherton	Varsity	Dominic Lin '25	Anne Burg '25
Pacific Collegiate School	Varsity 1	Garrett Koontz '26 [1-2]	Mateo Krok '23 [1] Eduardo Elzy-Loving '26 [2]
Pacific Collegiate School	Varsity 2	Amanda Turner '23 [1] Casey Strattan '23 [2]	Casey Strattan '23 [1] Amanda Turner '23 [2]
Redwood	Giants 1	Morgan Headington '24	Henry Vare '26
Redwood	Giants 2	Rhett Krawitt '26 [1] Mark Xu '26 [2]	Parker Stacy '26 [1]
Redwood	Giants 3	Nathan Posard '26	Lauren Olsen '24
SF University High School	Red Devils 1	Arthur Serra '23	Audrey Mcbride '26
SF University High School	Red Devils 2	Alice Newmeyer '25	Andrew James '25
San Domenico High School	Panthers 1	Evie Littler '24 [1-2]	Nina Polyakova '23 [1] Alex Collier-Lake '24 [2]
San Domenico High School	Panthers 2	Anton Gavrilov '23 [1] Owen Chan '23 [2]	Owen Chan '23 [1] Matilda Hull '26 [2]
St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco	Wildcats	Marina Priskich '25	Mikah Panisik '25
Stevenson School	Pirates	Max Mccormick '24	Stevie Thomsen '23
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 1	Cody Lamoreux '23 [1-2]	Jaiden Gimminck '25 [1] Anna Rauh '26 [2]
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 2	Caleb Everett '26	Nico Anders '26
The Nueva School	The Nueva	Max Kaufman '26	Sasha Gordon '24
The Urban School	Blues	Tucker Lamoreux '23	Henry Scalise '26

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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Nor Cal 1 Gold

Division A

From the notes