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North Regionals

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 2 61 13 74
2 Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Bayhawks 1 40 39 79
3 Squalicum High School Squalicum High School Storm 1 46 33 79
4 Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 1 41 44 85
5 Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 1 40 47 87
6 Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 1 11 80 91
7 Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 2 41 76 117
8 Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 2 78 45 123
9 Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 3 75 53 128
10 Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Bayhawks 2 53 85 138
11 Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 3 69 70 139
12 Squalicum High School Squalicum High School Storm 2 76 82 158
13 Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 4 98 64 162
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 1 1 1 2 1 1 3 1 1 11 Sammy Farkas '23
Bella Norwood '26
Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Bayhawks 1 4 11 3 2 2 4 7 7 40 Max Day '26
Alex Dick '23
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 1 6 3 4 10 6 1 6 4 40 Dagny Kruger '25
Lola Walker '26
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 2 2 5 1 6 5 6 11 5 41 Will Peters '25 [1-8]
Bradyn Rueb '24 [1-4, 7-8]
Lucas Cornelius '25 [5-6]
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 1 5 6 7 5 10 2 3 3 41 Kayla Strandberg '23 [1-8]
Hannah Mcreynolds '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Cynthia Zimmerman '26 [3-4, 7-8]
Squalicum High School Squalicum High School Storm 1 7 7 8 4 8 8 2 2 46 Elliott Brigham '23
Atticus Andress '26
Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Bayhawks 2 11 2 6 11 4 7 4 8 53 Mia Clarke '24
Avery O'Donnell '26
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 2 9 8 5 7 3 5 12 12 61 Katy Woo '24
Britton Sanford '23
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 3 3 4 10 DNF 7 10 10 11 69 Dawson Meyers '26
Byron Andress '26
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 3 10 10 11 9 9 11 5 10 75 Silas Kok '25
Orlando Ljubic '27
Squalicum High School Squalicum High School Storm 2 8 9 9 8 11 9 9 13 76 Elliott Brigham '23
Atticus Andress '26
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 2 12 12 12 3 12 13 8 6 78 Moose Kinsey '24 [1-8]
Hans Sprenger '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Skye Bouchard '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 4 13 13 13 12 13 12 13 9 98 Celia Weight '26
Izzy Mullaly '25
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 4 2 13 Keagan Carrigan '24
Hewson Denbeste '26
Squalicum High School Squalicum High School Storm 1 6 2 1 4 3 8 6 3 33 August Montiel '25
Edward (Graeme) Hendricks '26
Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Bayhawks 1 3 3 11 5 12 3 1 1 39 Bryce Lutz '23
Tristan Haines '26
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 1 2 4 8 8 5 7 3 7 44 Aeden Peterson '25 [1-8]
Lucas Cornelius '25 [1-2]
Mj Anderson '25 [3-8]
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 2 4 8 7 2 4 4 7 9 45 Else Ranker '26 [1-8]
Wren Ontjes '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Miranda Wallace Jones '27 [3-4, 7-8]
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 1 7 6 6 7 6 2 9 4 47 Emmett Beadnall '27
Theo Johnson '27
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 3 5 7 13 10 2 5 5 6 53 Soren '26
No Show
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 4 11 5 10 11 8 6 8 5 64 Emma Moore '25
Evan Maudlin '23
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 3 8 12 4 6 7 10 10 13 70
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 2 12 11 12 9 10 12 2 8 76 Cameron Furin '25 [1-8]
Fio Nicosai-Joachim '26 [1-2, 7-8]
Michael Tabor '25 [3-4]
Hannah Mcreynolds '24 [5-6]
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 1 9 9 9 DNS 9 9 11 10 80 Cole Stebbens '24
Hans Vondrell '26
Squalicum High School Squalicum High School Storm 2 10 10 5 12 11 11 12 11 82 Axel Hayley '25
Kodiak Bryant '26
Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Bayhawks 2 DNF DNF 3 3 13 13 13 12 85 Cassin Bates '26
Clementine Hong '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Anacortes High SchoolAnacortes High School Seahawks 11010121217171919
Anacortes High SchoolAnacortes High School Seahawks 21111161618185050
Bellingham High SchoolBellingham High School Bayhawks 11212171719195151
Bellingham High SchoolBellingham High School Bayhawks 21616181850505252
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings 11717191951515353
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings 21818505052525454
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings 31919515153535555
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners 15050525254541010
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners 25151535355551111
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners 35252545410101212
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners 45353555511111616
Squalicum High SchoolSqualicum High School Storm 15454101012121717
Squalicum High SchoolSqualicum High School Storm 25555111116161818

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Anacortes High SchoolAnacortes High School Seahawks 11111161618185050
Anacortes High SchoolAnacortes High School Seahawks 21212171719195151
Bellingham High SchoolBellingham High School Bayhawks 11616181850505252
Bellingham High SchoolBellingham High School Bayhawks 21717191951515353
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings 11818505052525454
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings 21919515153535555
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings 35050525254541010
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners 15151535355551111
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners 25252545410101212
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners 35353555511111616
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners 45454101012121717
Squalicum High SchoolSqualicum High School Storm 15555111116161818
Squalicum High SchoolSqualicum High School Storm 21010121217171919
School / Team SkipperCrew
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Kayla Strandberg '23 [1-8] Hannah Mcreynolds '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Cynthia Zimmerman '26 [3-4, 7-8]
Seahawks 1 Aeden Peterson '25 [1-8] Lucas Cornelius '25 [1-2]
Mj Anderson '25 [3-8]
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Will Peters '25 [1-8] Bradyn Rueb '24 [1-4, 7-8]
Lucas Cornelius '25 [5-6]
Seahawks 2 Cameron Furin '25 [1-8] Fio Nicosai-Joachim '26 [1-2, 7-8]
Michael Tabor '25 [3-4]
Hannah Mcreynolds '24 [5-6]
Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Max Day '26 Alex Dick '23
Bayhawks 1 Bryce Lutz '23 Tristan Haines '26
Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Mia Clarke '24 Avery O'Donnell '26
Bayhawks 2 Cassin Bates '26 Clementine Hong '26
Orcas High School Orcas High School Dagny Kruger '25 Lola Walker '26
Vikings 1 Emmett Beadnall '27 Theo Johnson '27
Orcas High School Orcas High School Moose Kinsey '24 [1-8] Hans Sprenger '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Skye Bouchard '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Vikings 2 Else Ranker '26 [1-8] Wren Ontjes '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Miranda Wallace Jones '27 [3-4, 7-8]
Orcas High School Orcas High School Silas Kok '25 Orlando Ljubic '27
Vikings 3 Soren '26 No Show
Sehome High School Sehome High School Sammy Farkas '23 Bella Norwood '26
Mariners 1 Cole Stebbens '24 Hans Vondrell '26
Sehome High School Sehome High School Katy Woo '24 Britton Sanford '23
Mariners 2 Keagan Carrigan '24 Hewson Denbeste '26
Sehome High School Sehome High School Dawson Meyers '26 Byron Andress '26
Mariners 3
Sehome High School Sehome High School Celia Weight '26 Izzy Mullaly '25
Mariners 4 Emma Moore '25 Evan Maudlin '23
Squalicum High School Squalicum High School Elliott Brigham '23 Atticus Andress '26
Storm 1 August Montiel '25 Edward (Graeme) Hendricks '26
Squalicum High School Squalicum High School Elliott Brigham '23 Atticus Andress '26
Storm 2 Axel Hayley '25 Kodiak Bryant '26

Conditions — 09/24/2022 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Partly cloudy
Humidity 76%  ·  Pressure 1024.0 hPa

Temperature

63°F
↑ 66°F   ↓ 55°F
Feels like 62°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.1 kn
avg  ·  max 5.8 kn
Gusts to 15.7 kn
From NW (311°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover66% Sunshine10.7 hrs Humidity76% Pressure1024.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 8 kn · NW 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Bellingham/Sehome/Squalicum: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.15 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.11
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.39 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Bellingham/Sehome/Squalicum by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Bellingham/Sehome/Squalicum: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →