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Sunday Series #1

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Devo Team 1 Devo Team 1 Devo Team 1 3 2 5
2 Portland High School Portland High School Bullpups 1 7 7 14
3 Navigators Navigators Navigators 3 16 19
4 Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 8 12 20
5 Southern Maine Southern Maine Southern Maine 14 9 23
6 Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Clippers 13 14 27
7 Devo Team 2 Devo Team 2 Devo Team 2 14 14 28
8 Devo Team 3 Devo Team 3 Devo Team 3 22 7 29
9 Varsity Varsity Varsity 13 17 30
10 Portland High School Portland High School Bullpups 2 19 13 32
11 Portland High School Portland High School Bullpups 3 16 21 37
SchoolTeam R1 R2 TOT Sailors
Devo Team 1 Devo Team 1 Devo Team 1 1 2 3
Navigators Navigators Navigators 2 1 3
Portland High School Portland High School Bullpups 1 3 4 7 Charlotte Mcdonald '25
Elizabeth Tierney '25
Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 5 3 8 Callie Mccarley '27
Story Straw '25
Varsity Varsity Varsity 7 6 13
Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Clippers 8 5 13 Patrick Lynch '26
Solomon Mcguffie '26
Devo Team 2 Devo Team 2 Devo Team 2 4 10 14
Southern Maine Southern Maine Southern Maine 6 8 14
Portland High School Portland High School Bullpups 3 9 7 16 Vaughn Levinsky '25
Lucas Perez '25
Portland High School Portland High School Bullpups 2 10 9 19 Lizzy Wallace '25
Charlotte Bushell '26
Devo Team 3 Devo Team 3 Devo Team 3 11 11 22
SchoolTeam R1 R2 TOT Sailors
Devo Team 1 Devo Team 1 Devo Team 1 1 1 2
Devo Team 3 Devo Team 3 Devo Team 3 2 5 7
Portland High School Portland High School Bullpups 1 4 3 7 Kristen Mailloux '26
Adrian Darlington '24
Southern Maine Southern Maine Southern Maine 7 2 9
Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 6 6 12 Andrew Balgley '23
Andrew Deniz '25
Portland High School Portland High School Bullpups 2 9 4 13 Koen Van Wert '26
Isla Norton '26
Devo Team 2 Devo Team 2 Devo Team 2 3 11 14
Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Clippers 5 9 14 Finn Marianski '26
Gavin Rich '26
Navigators Navigators Navigators 8 8 16
Varsity Varsity Varsity 10 7 17
Portland High School Portland High School Bullpups 3 11 10 21 Harriet Mishkin '25
Ian Gallagher '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.200+0.20
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A
Cape Elizabeth High SchoolCape Elizabeth High School Capers11
VarsityVarsity Varsity22
NavigatorsNavigators Navigators33
Portland High SchoolPortland High School Bullpups 144
Portland High SchoolPortland High School Bullpups 255
Portland High SchoolPortland High School Bullpups 366
Devo Team 1Devo Team 1 Devo Team 188
Devo Team 2Devo Team 2 Devo Team 299
Devo Team 3Devo Team 3 Devo Team 31010
Southern MaineSouthern Maine Southern Maine77
Yarmouth High SchoolYarmouth High School Clippers1111

Division B

Team1B2B
Cape Elizabeth High SchoolCape Elizabeth High School Capers22
VarsityVarsity Varsity33
NavigatorsNavigators Navigators44
Portland High SchoolPortland High School Bullpups 155
Portland High SchoolPortland High School Bullpups 266
Portland High SchoolPortland High School Bullpups 377
Devo Team 1Devo Team 1 Devo Team 199
Devo Team 2Devo Team 2 Devo Team 21010
Devo Team 3Devo Team 3 Devo Team 31111
Southern MaineSouthern Maine Southern Maine88
Yarmouth High SchoolYarmouth High School Clippers11

Conditions — 09/11/2022 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 34%  ·  Pressure 1015.7 hPa

Temperature

80°F
↑ 90°F   ↓ 67°F
Feels like 79°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.7 kn
avg  ·  max 5.1 kn
Gusts to 13.2 kn
From SW (214°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover61% Sunshine9.6 hrs Humidity34% Pressure1015.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Portland: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.14)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.21 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.53 ± 0.88)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.14 means a rating gap counts about 12% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Portland by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Portland, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →