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Turkey Leg Regatta - 2022

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Holland Christian High School Holland Christian High School Maroon 17 9 26
2 Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools MIXED Stuffing 13 26 39
3 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Mashed Potato 23 16 39
4 Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles 16 24 40
5 Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Grey Mixed 25 21 46
6 Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Mixed 41 24 65
7 Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School White (Mixed) 20 50 70
8 Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red 31 46 77
9 Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Blue Mixed 32 49 81
10 Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School GI Grey - MIXED 54 35 89
11 West Ottawa High School West Ottawa High School Mixed 50 41 91
12 Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Gold Mixed 35 63 98
13 St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Mixed 58 43 101
14 East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing MIXED 37 66 103
15 Mona Shores High School Mona Shores High School Mona Shores Sailors 57 50 107
16 Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School GI Scarlet - MIXED 51 64 115
17 Avondale High School Avondale High School Mixed Sweet Potato 63 58 121
18 Groves High School Groves High School MIXED Corn Bread 83 39 122
19 Traverse City West Traverse City West TCW Mixed 87 43 130
20 Troy High School Troy High School Cranberry MIXED 61 88 149
21 Okemos High School Okemos High School Okemos Puffins Mixed 80 79 159
22 Bath High School Bath High School Fighting Bees MIXED 83 87 170
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools MIXED Stuffing 6 5 1 1 13 Michael Mullins '23
Monika Torkos '23
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles 1 10 3 2 16 Annie Samis '25
Parker Kumler '23
Holland Christian High School Holland Christian High School Maroon 5 4 2 6 17 Greta Traver '23
Sophia Pierce '23
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School White (Mixed) 2 2 7 9 20 Braden Vogel '23
Charlie Bunn '26
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Mashed Potato 8 7 5 3 23 Liam Hounsell '23
Sophia Worden '23
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Grey Mixed 7 1 4 13 25 Nyle Eggert '24
Ryan Bonney '24
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red 3 15 8 5 31 Jack Hubbard '25
Alexis Twa '26
Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Blue Mixed 4 3 11 14 32 Payden Pittman '24
Logan Thien '25
Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Gold Mixed 13 6 6 10 35 Charlie Vink '27
Elsie Torresen '27
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing MIXED 9 9 12 7 37 Michael Kovalchik '23
Joseph Spiller '26
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Mixed 12 11 10 8 41 Cooper Gerber '26
Simon Hegg '24
West Ottawa High School West Ottawa High School Mixed 14 8 16 12 50 Matthew Tevelde '26
Carson Dobb '24
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School GI Scarlet - MIXED 18 14 15 4 51 Anna Mcaughey '24
Michael Butcher '25
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School GI Grey - MIXED 11 18 9 16 54 Norton Coulibaly '23 [1-4]
Sydney Porter '24 [1-2]
Jacob Vasicek '23 [3-4]
Mona Shores High School Mona Shores High School Mona Shores Sailors 15 17 14 11 57 Lila Torresen '25
Kari Taylor '25
St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Mixed 17 13 13 15 58 Frannie Harbold '27
Annabelle Rohe '28
Troy High School Troy High School Cranberry MIXED 10 16 18 17 61 Bella Satterfield '24
Jacob Ritter '24
Avondale High School Avondale High School Mixed Sweet Potato 16 12 17 18 63 Sean Ellison '25
Brigitte Chan '24
Okemos High School Okemos High School Okemos Puffins Mixed 19 19 19 DNF 80 Blake Glazer '27
Maia Lodise '23
Groves High School Groves High School MIXED Corn Bread 21 22 21 19 83 Luc Messner '27
Levi Citron '26
Bath High School Bath High School Fighting Bees MIXED DNF 20 20 20 83 Cara Falkowski '24
Owen Krause '25
Traverse City West Traverse City West TCW Mixed 20 21 DNF DNS 87 Cameron Keillor '24
Evan Dockter '27
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Holland Christian High School Holland Christian High School Maroon 2 3 2 2 9 Amelia Traver '24
Lily Johnson '23
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Mashed Potato 4 4 4 4 16 Jamie Stewart '27
Maya Nagy '26
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Grey Mixed 5 9 6 1 21 Max Eggert '26
Jeremy Selleck '27
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Mixed 9 5 7 3 24 Isley Moshier '25
Jack Baird '25
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles RDG 2 11 5 24 Xinshi (Jerry) Feng '23
Xuqiu (Tina) Wang '23
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools MIXED Stuffing 1 1 1 DSQ 26 Rodrigo Flores '24
Nicole Torkos '25
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School GI Grey - MIXED 3 16 8 8 35 Jimmy Souilliere '23 [1-4]
Nicholas Ranka '28 [1-2]
Griffin Wilcox '25 [3-4]
Groves High School Groves High School MIXED Corn Bread 10 10 9 10 39 Marko Nedeljkovic '24
Teddy Mayotte '25
West Ottawa High School West Ottawa High School Mixed 15 6 14 6 41 Cameron Bert '26
Cassius Ingram '27
Traverse City West Traverse City West TCW Mixed 12 19 5 7 43 Lenix Kuhlman-Allgaier '27
Max Braund '24
St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Mixed 18 7 3 15 43 Emma Warren '26
Sophia Barbas '26
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red 6 12 12 16 46 Andrew Twa '24
Ani Hough '24
Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Blue Mixed 7 8 DNS 11 49 Gavin Yonker '24
Elijah Parker Baldus '23
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School White (Mixed) 8 13 15 14 50 Peter Horst '26
Courtney Cowan '27
Mona Shores High School Mona Shores High School Mona Shores Sailors 13 15 10 12 50 Lucas Williams '26
Brady Wallace '27
Avondale High School Avondale High School Mixed Sweet Potato 11 11 DNS 13 58 Erin Degrazia '27
Clara Le Moal '24
Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Gold Mixed 17 21 16 9 63 Joshua Hacker '24
Parker Bonney '27
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School GI Scarlet - MIXED 16 18 13 17 64 Gillian Bellard '25 [1-4]
Gianna Lagina '28 [1-2]
Serafim Dionyssopoulos '23 [3-4]
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing MIXED 14 17 17 18 66 Clayton Debruyn '26 [1-4]
Austin Kovalchick '28 [1-2]
Logan Miceli '27 [3-4]
Okemos High School Okemos High School Okemos Puffins Mixed 19 14 DNF DNS 79 William Quick-Severin '26
Allison Treanor '26
Bath High School Bath High School Fighting Bees MIXED 21 20 DNF DNS 87 Mitchell Hammond '25
Giulia Battista '23
Troy High School Troy High School Cranberry MIXED 20 22 DNF DNS 88 Sophia Barbas '26 [1-4]
Braden Setzer Carmody '25 [1-2]
Nicholas Holmes '24 [3-4]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Bath High SchoolBath High School Fighting Bees MIXED408408
Birmingham Public SchoolsBirmingham Public Schools MIXED Stuffing992020
Grand Haven High SchoolGrand Haven High School GH Blue Mixed406406
Grand Haven High SchoolGrand Haven High School GH Gold Mixed701701
Grosse Ile High SchoolGrosse Ile High School GI Grey - MIXED70170166
Grosse Ile High SchoolGrosse Ile High School GI Scarlet - MIXED40640655
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School White (Mixed)5577
Groves High SchoolGroves High School MIXED Corn Bread66703703
Holland Christian High SchoolHolland Christian High School Maroon7799
Mona Shores High SchoolMona Shores High School Mona Shores Sailors7037031919
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Grey Mixed20202323
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Red19192121
St. Francis High School Traverse CitySt. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Mixed21218080
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central TCC Mixed232380658065
Traverse City WestTraverse City West TCW Mixed80805353
Troy High SchoolTroy High School Cranberry MIXED80658065
West Ottawa High SchoolWest Ottawa High School Mixed5353408408

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Avondale High SchoolAvondale High School Mixed Sweet Potato408408
Birmingham Public SchoolsBirmingham Public Schools MIXED Stuffing19192121
East Lansing High SchoolEast Lansing High School East Lansing MIXED406406
Grand Haven High SchoolGrand Haven High School GH Blue Mixed701701
Grand Haven High SchoolGrand Haven High School GH Gold Mixed40640655
Grosse Ile High SchoolGrosse Ile High School GI Grey - MIXED5577
Grosse Ile High SchoolGrosse Ile High School GI Scarlet - MIXED70170166
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School White (Mixed)66703703
Groves High SchoolGroves High School MIXED Corn Bread7799
Holland Christian High SchoolHolland Christian High School Maroon7037031919
Mona Shores High SchoolMona Shores High School Mona Shores Sailors992020
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Grey Mixed21218080
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Red20202323
St. Francis High School Traverse CitySt. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Mixed232380658065
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central TCC Mixed80805353
Traverse City WestTraverse City West TCW Mixed80658065
Troy High SchoolTroy High School Cranberry MIXED5353408408
School / Team SkipperCrew
Avondale High School Avondale High School Sean Ellison '25 Brigitte Chan '24
Mixed Sweet Potato Erin Degrazia '27 Clara Le Moal '24
Bath High School Bath High School Cara Falkowski '24 Owen Krause '25
Fighting Bees MIXED Mitchell Hammond '25 Giulia Battista '23
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Michael Mullins '23 Monika Torkos '23
MIXED Stuffing Rodrigo Flores '24 Nicole Torkos '25
Culver Academies Culver Academies Annie Samis '25 Parker Kumler '23
Eagles Xinshi (Jerry) Feng '23 Xuqiu (Tina) Wang '23
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Liam Hounsell '23 Sophia Worden '23
MIXED Mashed Potato Jamie Stewart '27 Maya Nagy '26
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School Michael Kovalchik '23 Joseph Spiller '26
East Lansing MIXED Clayton Debruyn '26 [1-4] Austin Kovalchick '28 [1-2]
Logan Miceli '27 [3-4]
Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School Payden Pittman '24 Logan Thien '25
GH Blue Mixed Gavin Yonker '24 Elijah Parker Baldus '23
Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School Charlie Vink '27 Elsie Torresen '27
GH Gold Mixed Joshua Hacker '24 Parker Bonney '27
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School Norton Coulibaly '23 [1-4] Sydney Porter '24 [1-2]
Jacob Vasicek '23 [3-4]
GI Grey - MIXED Jimmy Souilliere '23 [1-4] Nicholas Ranka '28 [1-2]
Griffin Wilcox '25 [3-4]
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School Anna Mcaughey '24 Michael Butcher '25
GI Scarlet - MIXED Gillian Bellard '25 [1-4] Gianna Lagina '28 [1-2]
Serafim Dionyssopoulos '23 [3-4]
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Braden Vogel '23 Charlie Bunn '26
White (Mixed) Peter Horst '26 Courtney Cowan '27
Groves High School Groves High School Luc Messner '27 Levi Citron '26
MIXED Corn Bread Marko Nedeljkovic '24 Teddy Mayotte '25
Holland Christian High School Holland Christian High School Greta Traver '23 Sophia Pierce '23
Maroon Amelia Traver '24 Lily Johnson '23
Mona Shores High School Mona Shores High School Lila Torresen '25 Kari Taylor '25
Mona Shores Sailors Lucas Williams '26 Brady Wallace '27
Okemos High School Okemos High School Blake Glazer '27 Maia Lodise '23
Okemos Puffins Mixed William Quick-Severin '26 Allison Treanor '26
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Nyle Eggert '24 Ryan Bonney '24
Grey Mixed Max Eggert '26 Jeremy Selleck '27
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Jack Hubbard '25 Alexis Twa '26
Red Andrew Twa '24 Ani Hough '24
St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City Frannie Harbold '27 Annabelle Rohe '28
TCSF Mixed Emma Warren '26 Sophia Barbas '26
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central Cooper Gerber '26 Simon Hegg '24
TCC Mixed Isley Moshier '25 Jack Baird '25
Traverse City West Traverse City West Cameron Keillor '24 Evan Dockter '27
TCW Mixed Lenix Kuhlman-Allgaier '27 Max Braund '24
Troy High School Troy High School Bella Satterfield '24 Jacob Ritter '24
Cranberry MIXED Sophia Barbas '26 [1-4] Braden Setzer Carmody '25 [1-2]
Nicholas Holmes '24 [3-4]
West Ottawa High School West Ottawa High School Matthew Tevelde '26 Carson Dobb '24
Mixed Cameron Bert '26 Cassius Ingram '27

Conditions — 11/05/2022 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 82%  ·  Pressure 998.7 hPa

Temperature

58°F
↑ 62°F   ↓ 54°F
Feels like 48°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
22.2 kn
avg  ·  max 27.7 kn
Gusts to 53.1 kn
From S (184°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.3 hrs Humidity82% Pressure998.7 hPa Rain0.15 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 22 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Spring Lake Yacht Club: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.11)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.14
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.12 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 10% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Spring Lake Yacht Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Spring Lake Yacht Club, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →