2023 Cider Cup

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Okemos High School Okemos High School Okemos Puffins Mixed 11 11
2 East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing HS 13 13
3 Black River Public School Black River Public School Gold 18 18
4 East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing ATMIXED 25 25
5 Bath High School Bath High School Fighting Bees 26 26
6 Saugatuck High School Saugatuck High School Mixed 35 35
7 Bath High School Bath High School Fighting Bees MIXED 44 44
8 East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing WSMIXED 46 46
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Okemos High School Okemos High School Okemos Puffins Mixed 3 1 2 2 1 2 11 Blake Glazer '27
Maia Lodise '28
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing HS 1 3 1 1 6 1 13 Clayton Debruyn '26
Zack Moring '29
Black River Public School Black River Public School Gold 2 2 3 3 5 3 18 Jonas Pearson '25
Bryson Chrisman '27
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing ATMIXED 4 4 4 6 2 5 25 William Quick-Severin '26
David Catarino '29
Bath High School Bath High School Fighting Bees 5 5 5 4 3 4 26 Cara Falkowski '24
Abbey Toner '24
Saugatuck High School Saugatuck High School Mixed 8 6 6 5 4 6 35 Cassius Ingham '29
Isaac Eklov '27
Bath High School Bath High School Fighting Bees MIXED 6 DNS 7 7 8 7 44 Savana Harte '26
Owen Watkins '30
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing WSMIXED 7 7 8 DNF 7 8 46 Austin Kovalchick '28
Anneke Hackney '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2022 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Bath High SchoolBath High School Fighting Bees111111
Bath High SchoolBath High School Fighting Bees MIXED222222
Black River Public SchoolBlack River Public School Gold333333
East Lansing High SchoolEast Lansing High School East Lansing ATMIXED444444
East Lansing High SchoolEast Lansing High School East Lansing HS666666
East Lansing High SchoolEast Lansing High School East Lansing WSMIXED555555
Okemos High SchoolOkemos High School Okemos Puffins Mixed777777
Saugatuck High SchoolSaugatuck High School Mixed111111111111

Conditions — 10/07/2023 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 68%  ·  Pressure 1014.6 hPa

Temperature

50°F
↑ 53°F   ↓ 44°F
Feels like 42°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
12.1 kn
avg  ·  max 14.5 kn
Gusts to 29.4 kn
From WNW (299°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover61% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity68% Pressure1014.6 hPa Rain0.03 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 14 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Lansing Sailing Club: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.15 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.15
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.03 ± 0.28)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Lansing Sailing Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Lansing Sailing Club, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →