2023 Cornwell Memorial

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Black River Public School Black River Public School Mixed Gold 16 27 43
2 West Ottawa High School West Ottawa High School Mixed 28 16 44
3 West Michigan Aviation Academy West Michigan Aviation Academy Mixed-Blue 39 22 61
4 Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red Mixed 51 41 92
5 Mona Shores High School Mona Shores High School MS Mixed Blue 39 61 100
6 East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Gold 50 53 103
7 Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Grey Mixed 37 72 109
8 Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Mixed 67 44 111
9 Grand Rapids West Catholic Grand Rapids West Catholic Mixed 58 66 124
10 Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC ms 88 58 146
11 East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Blue 73 78 151
12 Black River Public School Black River Public School Mixed Silver 78 87 165
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Black River Public School Black River Public School Mixed Gold 1 4 1 1 1 3 4 1 16 Lj Nykamp '25
Bryson Chrisman '29
West Ottawa High School West Ottawa High School Mixed 4 2 2 8 2 7 1 2 28 Amelia Traver '24
Olive Mcgough '27
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Grey Mixed 5 1 5 2 5 5 8 6 37 Max Eggert '26
Alexis Twa '26
Mona Shores High School Mona Shores High School MS Mixed Blue 2 6 7 6 3 4 3 8 39 Lila Torresen '25
Kari Taylor '25
West Michigan Aviation Academy West Michigan Aviation Academy Mixed-Blue 6 5 10 3 6 1 5 3 39 Grayson Sikkema '27
Nate Van Otterern '24
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Gold 3 3 8 5 8 12 6 5 50 John Scott '25
Matthew Rogier '29
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red Mixed 7 11 6 7 4 10 2 4 51 Cole Blum '27
Elsie Torresen '27
Grand Rapids West Catholic Grand Rapids West Catholic Mixed 9 8 4 9 7 2 12 7 58 Patrick Latchana '27
Cohen Koops '27
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Mixed 8 9 3 10 11 6 10 10 67 Daniel Kotsekon '25
Holden Trapp '26
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Blue 10 7 12 11 9 8 7 9 73 Henry Feyen '25
Sam Feyen '28
Black River Public School Black River Public School Mixed Silver 11 10 9 4 10 11 11 12 78 Jonas Pearson '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Kiarra Bracelly '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Anneke Hackney '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC ms 12 12 11 12 12 9 9 11 88 Nickolaus Goodwin '27
John Streit '28
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
West Ottawa High School West Ottawa High School Mixed 1 3 3 1 5 1 1 1 16 Matthew Tevelde '26
Carson Dobb '24
West Michigan Aviation Academy West Michigan Aviation Academy Mixed-Blue 3 5 1 2 1 2 3 5 22 Charlie Molesta '29
Brycen Clark '27
Black River Public School Black River Public School Mixed Gold 2 2 2 3 3 3 9 3 27 Cameron Bert '26
Isaac Eklov '27
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red Mixed 7 1 4 8 9 8 2 2 41 Thomas Dahlquist '28
Jackson Donner '29
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Mixed 6 4 7 5 8 4 6 4 44 Frannie Harbold '27
Jenny Baker '14
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Gold 4 7 6 6 7 11 5 7 53 Will Rogier '25
Emily Grin '26
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC ms 10 9 11 11 2 5 4 6 58 Griffin Kelly '27
Franklin Andrews '27
Mona Shores High School Mona Shores High School MS Mixed Blue 5 6 5 10 4 9 10 12 61 Brady Wallace '27 [1-6]
Toby Smart '25 [7-8]
Toby Smart '25 [1-6]
Brady Wallace '27 [7-8]
Grand Rapids West Catholic Grand Rapids West Catholic Mixed 11 12 9 7 6 6 7 8 66 Oliver Vanderground '29
Aiden Wriggelsworth '25
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Grey Mixed 12 8 8 4 10 DSQ 8 9 72 Annalise Vink '27 [1-7]
Logan Thien '25 [8]
Logan Thien '25 [1-7]
Annalise Vink '29 [8]
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Blue 9 11 10 9 11 7 11 10 78 Titus Storrs '25
Hayes Dudley '29
Black River Public School Black River Public School Mixed Silver 8 10 12 12 12 10 12 11 87 Cassius Ingham '29
Asher Albers Contant '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.290+0.29
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Black River Public SchoolBlack River Public School Mixed Gold11335577
Black River Public SchoolBlack River Public School Mixed Silver22446688
East Grand RapidsEast Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Blue4466881010
East Grand RapidsEast Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Gold33557799
Grand Rapids West CatholicGrand Rapids West Catholic Mixed5577991111
Mona Shores High SchoolMona Shores High School MS Mixed Blue668810101212
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Grey Mixed7799111111
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Red Mixed881010121222
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central TCC Mixed9911111133
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central TCC ms101012122244
West Michigan Aviation AcademyWest Michigan Aviation Academy Mixed-Blue1111113355
West Ottawa High SchoolWest Ottawa High School Mixed1212224466

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Black River Public SchoolBlack River Public School Mixed Gold22446688
Black River Public SchoolBlack River Public School Mixed Silver33557799
East Grand RapidsEast Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Blue5577991111
East Grand RapidsEast Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Gold4466881010
Grand Rapids West CatholicGrand Rapids West Catholic Mixed668810101212
Mona Shores High SchoolMona Shores High School MS Mixed Blue7799111111
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Grey Mixed881010121222
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Red Mixed9911111133
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central TCC Mixed101012122244
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central TCC ms1111113355
West Michigan Aviation AcademyWest Michigan Aviation Academy Mixed-Blue1212224466
West Ottawa High SchoolWest Ottawa High School Mixed11335577

Conditions — 10/28/2023 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 58%  ·  Pressure 1025.7 hPa

Temperature

43°F
↑ 45°F   ↓ 42°F
Feels like 36°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.7 kn
avg  ·  max 10.6 kn
Gusts to 22.0 kn
From NNW (336°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover99% Sunshine3.5 hrs Humidity58% Pressure1025.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at St. Francis Travers/Traverse City Centra/Traverse City West: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.10 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at St. Francis Travers/Traverse City Centra/Traverse City West by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (19 labelled days at St. Francis Travers/Traverse City Centra/Traverse City West).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →